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We study a new class of time inhomogeneous P\'olya-type urn schemes and give optimal rates of convergence for the distribution of the properly scaled number of balls of a given color to nearly the full class of generalized gamma…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-06-28 Erol A. Peköz , Adrian Röllin , Nathan Ross

It is well known that under general regularity conditions the distribution of the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) is asymptotically normal. Very recently, bounds of the optimal order $O(1/\sqrt n)$ on the closeness of the distribution of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-12-15 Iosif Pinelis

This paper provides a quantitative version of de Finetti law of large numbers. Given an infinite sequence $\{X_n\}_{n \geq 1}$ of exchangeable Bernoulli variables, it is well-known that $\frac{1}{n} \sum_{i = 1}^n X_i…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-09-22 Emanuele Dolera , Stefano Favaro

We consider a version of the classical P\'olya urn scheme which incorporates innovations. The space $S$ of colors is an arbitrary measurable set. After each sampling of a ball in the urn, one returns $C$ balls of the same color and…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-11-17 Jean Bertoin

We consider a variant of the randomly reinforced urn where more balls can be simultaneously drawn out and balls of different colors can be simultaneously added. More precisely, at each time-step, the conditional distribution of the number…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-07-09 Irene Crimaldi

The generalized P\`olya urn (GPU) models and their variants have been investigated in several disciplines. However, typical assumptions made with respect to the GPU do not include urn models with diagonal replacement matrix, which arise in…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-02-24 Andrea Ghiglietti , Anand N. Vidyashankar , William F. Rosenberger

In this paper, we obtain uniform and non-uniform bounds on the Kolmogorov distance in the normal approximation for Jack deformations of the character ratio, by using Stein's method and zero-bias couplings. Our uniform bound comes very close…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-06-16 Louis H. Y. Chen , Martin Raič , Lê Văn Thành

The paper is concerned with the classical occupancy scheme with infinitely many boxes, in which $n$ balls are thrown independently into boxes $1,2,...$, with probability $p_j$ of hitting the box $j$, where $p_1\geq p_2\geq...>0$ and…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-09-26 A. D. Barbour , A. V. Gnedin

In this paper, we prove that the Euclidean distance between two independent random vectors uniformly distributed on $l_p^n$-balls $(1 \leq p \leq \infty)$ or on its boundary satisfies a central limit theorem as $n$ tends to $\infty$. Also,…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-01 David Alonso-Gutiérrez , Javier Martín Goñi , Joscha Prochno

We study an urn process with two urns, initialized with a ball each. Balls are added sequentially, the urn being chosen independently with probability proportional to the $\alpha^{th}$ power $(\alpha >1)$ of the existing number of balls. We…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-14 Svante Janson , Subhabrata Sen , Joel Spencer

We obtain estimates for the Kolmogorov distance to appropriately chosen gaussians, of linear functions \[ \sum_{i\in [n]^d} \theta_i X_i \] of random tensors $\boldsymbol{X}=\langle X_i:i\in [n]^d\rangle$ which are symmetric and…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-09-12 Pandelis Dodos , Konstantinos Tyros

We prove a general theorem to bound the total variation distance between the distribution of an integer valued random variable of interest and an appropriate discretized normal distribution. We apply the theorem to 2-runs in a sequence of…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-07-07 Xiao Fang

We prove a limit theorem for the the maximal interpoint distance (also called the diameter) for a sample of n i.i.d. points in the unit ball of dimension 2 or more. The exact form of the limit distribution and the required normalisation are…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Michael Mayer , Ilya Molchanov

We obtain explicit error bounds for the $d$-dimensional normal approximation on hyperrectangles for a random vector that has a Stein kernel, or admits an exchangeable pair coupling, or is a non-linear statistic of independent random…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-09-08 Xiao Fang , Yuta Koike

We derive tight non-asymptotic bounds for the Kolmogorov distance between the probabilities of two Gaussian elements to hit a ball in a Hilbert space. The key property of these bounds is that they are dimension-free and depend on the…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-03-08 Friedrich Götze , Alexey Naumov , Vladimir Spokoiny , Vladimir Ulyanov

We give error bounds which demonstrate optimal rates of convergence in the CLT for the total covered volume and the number of isolated shapes, for germ-grain models with fixed grain radius over a binomial point process of $n$ points in a…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-09-30 Larry Goldstein , Mathew D. Penrose

It is well known that in a small P\'olya urn, i.e., an urn where second largest real part of an eigenvalue is at most half the largest eigenvalue, the distribution of the numbers of balls of different colours in the urn is asymptotically…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-14 Svante Janson

The central limit theorem (CLT) is one of the most fundamental results in probability; and establishing its rate of convergence has been a key question since the 1940s. For independent random variables, a series of recent works established…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-09-12 Tianle Liu , Morgane Austern

This paper studies a very general urn model stimulated by designs in clinical trials, where the number of balls of different types added to the urn at trial n depends on a random outcome directed by the composition at trials 1,2,...,n-1.…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Zhi-Dong Bai , Feifang Hu

The asymptotic behaviour of a generalised P\'olya--Eggenberger urn is well--known to depend on the spectrum of its replacement matrix: If its dominant eigenvalue $r$ is simple and no other eigenvalue is `large' in the sense that its real…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-03-13 Noela Müller