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The exponential random graph model (ERGM) is a central object in the study of clustering properties in social networks as well as canonical ensembles in statistical physics. Despite some breakthrough works in the mathematical understanding…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-08-06 Shirshendu Ganguly , Kyeongsik Nam

We study the large-deviation properties of minimum spanning trees for two ensembles of random graphs with $N$ nodes. First, we consider complete graphs. Second, we study Erd\H{o}s-R\'{e}nyi (ER) random graphs with edge probability $p=c/N$…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2025-12-16 Mahdi Sarikhani , Alexander K. Hartmann

We study the lower tail large deviation problem for subgraph counts in a random graph. Let $X_H$ denote the number of copies of $H$ in an Erd\H{o}s-R\'enyi random graph $\mathcal{G}(n,p)$. We are interested in estimating the lower tail…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2019-04-12 Yufei Zhao

We consider an Erdos-Renyi random graph consisting of N vertices connected by randomly and independently drawing an edge between every pair of them with probability c/N so that at N->infinity one obtains a graph of finite mean degree c. In…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2022-03-29 Pawat Akara-pipattana , Thiparat Chotibut , Oleg Evnin

We present a general technique for computing large deviations of nonlinear functions of independent Bernoulli random variables. The method is applied to compute the large deviation rate functions for subgraph counts in sparse random graphs.…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-05-02 Sourav Chatterjee , Amir Dembo

The classical random graph model $G(n,\lambda/n)$ satisfies a `duality principle', in that removing the giant component from a supercritical instance of the model leaves (essentially) a subcritical instance. Such principles have been proved…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2011-11-07 Svante Janson , Oliver Riordan

Supervised learning on graphs is a challenging task due to the high dimensionality and inherent structural dependencies in the data, where each edge depends on a pair of vertices. Existing conventional methods are designed for standard…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-06-27 Cencheng Shen , Shangsi Wang , Alexandra Badea , Carey E. Priebe , Joshua T. Vogelstein

We consider the problem of detecting a random walk on a graph, based on observations of the graph nodes. When visited by the walk, each node of the graph observes a signal of elevated mean, which we assume can be different across different…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2018-10-03 Dragana Bajovic , José M. F. Moura , Dejan Vukobratovic

Record numbers are basic statistics in random walks, whose deviation principles are not very clear so far. In this paper, the asymptotic probabilities of large and moderate deviations for numbers of weak records in right continuous or left…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-01-10 Yuqiang Li , Qiang Yao

We initiate a study of large deviations for block model random graphs in the dense regime. Following Chatterjee-Varadhan(2011), we establish an LDP for dense block models, viewed as random graphons. As an application of our result, we study…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-09-17 Christian Borgs , Jennifer Chayes , Julia Gaudio , Samantha Petti , Subhabrata Sen

Inference on vertex-aligned graphs is of wide theoretical and practical importance.There are, however, few flexible and tractable statistical models for correlated graphs, and even fewer comprehensive approaches to parametric inference on…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-04-01 Donniell E. Fishkind , Avanti Athreya , Lingyao Meng , Vince Lyzinski , Carey E. Priebe

We study the asymptotic behaviour of sequences of multivariate random variables representing the number of occurrences of a given set of symbols in a word of length $n$ generated at random according to a rational stochastic model. Assuming…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-03 Massimiliano Goldwurm , Claudio Macci , Marco Vignati , Elena Villa

We prove moderate deviations bounds for the lower tail of the number of odd cycles in a $\calG(n, m)$ random graph. We show that the probability of decreasing triangle density by $t^3$, is $\exp(-\Theta(n^2 t^2))$ whenever $n^{-3/4} \ll t^3…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-01-07 Joe Neeman , Charles Radin , Lorenzo Sadun

Ewens-Pitman model has been successfully applied to various fields including Bayesian statistics. There are four important estimators $K_{n},M_{l,n}$,$K_{m}^{(n)},M_{l,m}^{(n)}$. In particular, $M_{1,n}, M_{1,m}^{(n)}$ are related to…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-11-20 Youzhou Zhou

The purpose of the present paper is to establish moment estimates of Rosenthal type for a rather general class of random variables satisfying certain bounds on the cumulants. We consider sequences of random variables which satisfy a central…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-01-16 Peter Eichelsbacher , Lukas Knichel

Distributions of the resilience of transport networks are studied numerically, in particular the large-deviation tails. Thus, not only typical quantities like average or variance but the distributions over the (almost) full support can be…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-06-18 Alexander K. Hartmann

We consider random graphs with a given degree sequence and show, under weak technical conditions, asymptotic normality of the number of components isomorphic to a given tree, first for the random multigraph given by the configuration model…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-02-01 Svante Janson

The upper tail problem in a random graph asks to estimate the probability that the number of copies of some fixed subgraph in an Erd\H{o}s--R\'enyi random graph exceeds its expectation by some constant factor. There has been much exciting…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2020-10-27 Yang P. Liu , Yufei Zhao

We prove a large deviation principle for the sum of n independent heavy-tailed random variables, which are subject to a moving cut-off boundary at location n. Conditional on the sum being large at scale n, we show that a finite number of…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-12-17 Céline Kerriou , Peter Mörters

We consider an inhomogeneous Erd\H{o}s-R\'enyi random graph $G_N$ with vertex set $[N] = \{1,\dots,N\}$ for which the pair of vertices $i,j \in [N]$, $i\neq j$, is connected by an edge with probability $r_N(\tfrac{i}{N},\tfrac{j}{N})$,…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-01-08 Rajat Subhra Hazra , Frank den Hollander , Maarten Markering
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