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We study Bayesian inverse problems with mixed noise, modeled as a combination of additive and multiplicative Gaussian components. While traditional inference methods often assume fixed or known noise characteristics, real-world…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-17 Paul Hagemann , Robert Gruhlke , Bernhard Stankewitz , Claudia Schillings , Gabriele Steidl

We define a one-parameter family of entropies, each assigning a real number to any probability measure on a compact metric space (or, more generally, a compact Hausdorff space with a notion of similarity between points). These entropies…

Metric Geometry · Mathematics 2020-12-17 Tom Leinster , Emily Roff

The major problem in information theoretic analysis of neural responses and other biological data is the reliable estimation of entropy--like quantities from small samples. We apply a recently introduced Bayesian entropy estimator to…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2009-09-29 Ilya Nemenman , William Bialek , Rob de Ruyter van Steveninck

One of the most important aspects in any treatment of uncertain information is the rule of combination for updating the degrees of uncertainty. The theory of belief functions uses the Dempster rule to combine two belief functions defined by…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-04-05 Michael S. K. M. Wong , P. Lingras

We study maximum-entropy inference for finite-dimensional quantum states under linear moment constraints. Given expectation values of finitely many observables, the feasible set of states is convex but typically non-unique. The…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2025-10-27 James Tian

The synthetic control method has become a widely popular tool to estimate causal effects with observational data. Despite this, inference for synthetic control methods remains challenging. Often, inferential results rely on linear factor…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-09 Ignacio Martinez , Jaume Vives-i-Bastida

Estimating the entropy rate of discrete time series is a challenging problem with important applications in numerous areas including neuroscience, genomics, image processing and natural language processing. A number of approaches have been…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-22 Ioannis Papageorgiou , Ioannis Kontoyiannis

This study introduces a novel framework for estimating industrial heterogeneity by integrating maximum entropy (ME) estimation of production functions with Zonotope-based measures. Traditional production function estimations often rely on…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-12-02 Ting-Yen Wang

Implementing Bayesian inference is often computationally challenging in applications involving complex models, and sometimes calculating the likelihood itself is difficult. Synthetic likelihood is one approach for carrying out inference…

Computation · Statistics 2021-03-15 David T. Frazier , David J. Nott , Christopher Drovandi , Robert Kohn

Belief updating in Bayes nets, a well known computationally hard problem, has recently been approximated by several deterministic algorithms, and by various randomized approximation algorithms. Deterministic algorithms usually provide…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-02-18 Eugene Santos , Solomon Eyal Shimony , Edward Williams

By suitable reformulations, we review the mathematical frameworks of six different approaches to the description of non-equilibrium dynamics with the purpose to set up a unified formulation of the Maximum Entropy Production (MEP) principle…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2013-06-27 Gian Paolo Beretta

This paper proposes a way to combine the Mesh Adaptive Direct Search (MADS) algorithm with the Cross-Entropy (CE) method for non smooth constrained optimization. The CE method is used as a Search step by the MADS algorithm. The result of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-08-15 Charles Audet , Romain Couderc , Jean Bigeon

Most of the existing classification methods are aimed at minimization of empirical risk (through some simple point-based error measured with loss function) with added regularization. We propose to approach this problem in a more information…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-01-22 Wojciech Marian Czarnecki , Jacek Tabor

There are three ways to conceptualize entropy: entropy as an extensive thermodynamic quantity of physical systems (Clausius, Boltzmann, Gibbs), entropy as a measure for information production of ergodic sources (Shannon), and entropy as a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2018-11-05 Stefan Thurner , Bernat Corominas-Murtra , Rudolf Hanel

We discuss how maximum entropy methods may be applied to the reconstruction of Markov processes underlying empirical time series and compare this approach to usual frequency sampling. It is shown that, at least in low dimension, there…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2015-06-23 Gregor Chliamovitch , Alexandre Dupuis , Bastien Chopard , Anton Golub

We propose a novel information-theoretic approach for Bayesian optimization called Predictive Entropy Search (PES). At each iteration, PES selects the next evaluation point that maximizes the expected information gained with respect to the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-06-11 José Miguel Hernández-Lobato , Matthew W. Hoffman , Zoubin Ghahramani

This paper examines the conditions under which Bayesian conditioning aligns with Maximum Entropy. Specifically, I address cases in which newly learned information does not correspond to an event in the probability space defined on the…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2025-12-01 Boning Yu

Problems of probabilistic inference and decision making under uncertainty commonly involve continuous random variables. Often these are discretized to a few points, to simplify assessments and computations. An alternative approximation is…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-03-08 William B. Poland , Ross D. Shachter

Algebraic statistics is a recently evolving field, where one would treat statistical models as algebraic objects and thereby use tools from computational commutative algebra and algebraic geometry in the analysis and computation of…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2007-07-13 Ambedkar Dukkipati

This article presents new methodology for sample-based Bayesian inference when data are partitioned and communication between the parts is expensive, as arises by necessity in the context of "big data" or by choice in order to take…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-11-01 Marc Box