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The inferential models (IM) framework provides prior-free, frequency-calibrated, posterior probabilistic inference. The key is the use of random sets to predict unobservable auxiliary variables connected to the observable data and unknown…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-01-26 Ryan Martin , Chuanhai Liu

In probabilistic coherence spaces, a denotational model of probabilistic functional languages, mor-phisms are analytic and therefore smooth. We explore two related applications of the corresponding derivatives. First we show how derivatives…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2021-08-24 Thomas Ehrhard

For many optimization problems it is possible to define a distance metric between problem variables that correlates with the likelihood and strength of interactions between the variables. For example, one may define a metric so that the…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2012-01-12 Martin Pelikan , Mark W. Hauschild

In the past couple of years, various approaches to representing and quantifying different types of predictive uncertainty in machine learning, notably in the setting of classification, have been proposed on the basis of second-order…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-05 Yusuf Sale , Viktor Bengs , Michele Caprio , Eyke Hüllermeier

A broad class of informationally complete symmetric measurements is introduced. It can be understood as a common generalization of symmetric, informationally complete POVMs and mutually unbiased bases. Additionally, it provides a natural…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2022-04-27 Katarzyna Siudzińska

This paper develops a novel unified framework for testing mutual independence among random objects residing in possibly different metric spaces. The framework generalizes existing methodologies and introduces new measures of mutual…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-22 Yaqing Chen , Paromita Dubey

1. Complex systems of moving and interacting objects are ubiquitous in the natural and social sciences. Predicting their behavior often requires models that mimic these systems with sufficient accuracy, while accounting for their inherent…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2014-12-02 Jonathan R. Potts , Marie Auger-Méthé , Karl Mokross , Mark A. Lewis

The paper proposes a new approach to model risk measurement based on the Wasserstein distance between two probability measures. It formulates the theoretical motivation resulting from the interpretation of fictitious adversary of robust…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-03-05 Yu Feng , Erik Schlögl

Providing various machine learning (ML) applications in the real world, concerns about discrimination hidden in ML models are growing, particularly in high-stakes domains. Existing techniques for assessing the discrimination level of ML…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-16 Yijun Bian , Yujie Luo

For statistical inference on an infinite-dimensional Hilbert space $\H $ with no moment conditions we introduce a new class of energy distances on the space of probability measures on $\H$. The proposed distances consist of the integrated…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-03-19 Holger Dette , Jiajun Tang

Clustering categorical distributions in the finite-dimensional probability simplex is a fundamental task met in many applications dealing with normalized histograms. Traditionally, the differential-geometric structures of the probability…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-22 Frank Nielsen , Ke Sun

The study of the closest point(s) on a statistical model from a given distribution in the probability simplex with respect to a fixed Wasserstein metric gives rise to a polyhedral norm distance optimization problem. There are two components…

Algebraic Geometry · Mathematics 2025-01-20 Greg DePaul , Serkan Hoşten , Nilava Metya , Ikenna Nometa

Distances to compact sets are widely used in the field of Topological Data Analysis for inferring geometric and topological features from point clouds. In this context, the distance to a probability measure (DTM) has been introduced by…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-03-17 Frédéric Chazal , Pascal Massart , Bertrand Michel

This paper is devoted to the stochastic approximation of entropically regularized Wasserstein distances between two probability measures, also known as Sinkhorn divergences. The semi-dual formulation of such regularized optimal…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-12-10 Bernard Bercu , Jérémie Bigot

Motivated by the success of Sinkhorn's algorithm for entropic optimal transport, we study convergence properties of iterative proportional fitting procedures (IPFP) used to solve more general information projection problems. We establish…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-04-14 Stephan Eckstein , Aziz Lakhal

Following the renewed interest in the topic [1], we revisit the problem of assigning probabilities to classes of Feynman paths passing through specified space-time regions. We show that by assigning of probabilities to interfering…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2015-06-12 Dmitri Sokolovski

In this work we study systems consisting of a group of moving particles. In such systems, often some important parameters are unknown and have to be estimated from observed data. Such parameter estimation problems can often be solved via a…

Applications · Statistics 2023-07-11 Chen Cheng , Linjie Wen , Jinglai Li

In safety-critical applications a probabilistic model is usually required to be calibrated, i.e., to capture the uncertainty of its predictions accurately. In multi-class classification, calibration of the most confident predictions only is…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-09-30 David Widmann , Fredrik Lindsten , Dave Zachariah

In this paper we generalize the Interior Point-Proximal Method of Multipliers (IP-PMM) presented in [An Interior Point-Proximal Method of Multipliers for Convex Quadratic Programming, Computational Optimization and Applications, 78,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-09-09 Spyridon Pougkakiotis , Jacek Gondzio

We consider a sequence of identically independently distributed random samples from an absolutely continuous probability measure in one dimension with unbounded density. We establish a new rate of convergence of the $\infty-$Wasserstein…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-08-03 Anning Liu , Jian-Guo Liu , Yulong Lu
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