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We give simple proofs, under minimal hypotheses, of the Weak Law of Large Numbers and the Central Limit Theorem for independent identically distributed random variables. These proofs use only the elementary calculus, together with the most…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-07-26 Nicholas Pippenger

As a rigorous statistical approach, statistical Taylor expansion extends the conventional Taylor expansion by replacing precise input variables with random variables of known distributions and sample counts to compute the mean, the…

Computation · Statistics 2026-05-19 Chengpu Wang

Ordinary differential equations obtained as limits of Markov processes appear in many settings. They may arise by scaling large systems, or by averaging rapidly fluctuating systems, or in systems involving multiple time-scales, by a…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-03-24 Hye-Won Kang , Thomas G. Kurtz , Lea Popovic

We consider sequences of random variables whose probability generating functions are polynomials all of whose roots lie on the unit circle. The distribution of such random variables has only been sporadically studied in the literature. We…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-01-11 Hsien-Kuei Hwang , Vytas Zacharovas

The most fundamental problem in statistics is the inference of an unknown probability distribution from a finite number of samples. For a specific observed data set, answers to the following questions would be desirable: (1) Estimation:…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-01-23 Ali Kinkhabwala

A simple test is proposed for examining the correctness of a given completely specified response function against unspecified general alternatives in the context of univariate regression. The usual diagnostic tools based on residuals plots…

Methodology · Statistics 2010-04-27 Jean-Baptiste Aubin , Samuela Leoni-Aubin

The following problem is considered: given a joint distribution $P_{XY}$ and an event $E$, bound $P_{XY}(E)$ in terms of $P_XP_Y(E)$ (where $P_XP_Y$ is the product of the marginals of $P_{XY}$) and a measure of dependence of $X$ and $Y$.…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2019-03-12 Ibrahim Issa , Amedeo Roberto Esposito , Michael Gastpar

In this work, we introduce a modified (rescaled) likelihood for imbalanced logistic regression. This new approach makes easier the use of exponential priors and the computation of lasso regularization path. Precisely, we study a limiting…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-04-19 Vincent Runge

A fundamental tool in network information theory is the covering lemma, which lower bounds the probability that there exists a pair of random variables, among a give number of independently generated candidates, falling within a given set.…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2019-04-18 Jingbo Liu , Mohammad H. Yassaee , Sergio Verdú

We study the number of random records in an arbitrary split tree (or equivalently, the number of random cuttings required to eliminate the tree). We show that a classical limit theorem for convergence of sums of triangular arrays to…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-05-26 Cecilia Holmgren

It is known that the fluctuations of suitable linear statistics of Haar distributed elements of the compact classical groups satisfy a central limit theorem. We show that if the corresponding test functions are sufficiently smooth, a rate…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-09-25 Christian Döbler , Michael Stolz

This paper develops new limit theory for data that are generated by networks or more generally display cross-sectional dependence structures that are governed by observable and unobservable characteristics. Strategic network formation…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-08-08 Guido M. Kuersteiner

We present a novel approach to estimating discrete distributions with (potentially) infinite support in the total variation metric. In a departure from the established paradigm, we make no structural assumptions whatsoever on the sampling…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-10-16 Doron Cohen , Aryeh Kontorovich , Geoffrey Wolfer

In this paper, we study a non-linear filtering problem in the presence of signal model uncertainty. The model ambiguity is characterized by a class of probability measures from which the true one is taken. After interchanging the order of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-08-23 Jiaqi Zhang , Jie Xiong

In this paper, we consider the empirical spectral distribution of the sample correlation matrix and investigate its asymptotic behavior under mild assumptions on the data's distribution, when dimension and sample size increase at the same…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-09-01 Nina Dörnemann , Johannes Heiny

The nonequilibrium Time-Reversible Baker Map provides simple illustrations of the Fluctuation Theorem, the Central Limit Theorem, and the Biased Random Walk. This is material in preparation for the Book form of Carol's and my 2016 Kharagpur…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2017-08-15 William Graham Hoover

The support recovery problem consists of determining a sparse subset of a set of variables that is relevant in generating a set of observations, and arises in a diverse range of settings such as compressive sensing, and subset selection in…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2016-08-31 Jonathan Scarlett , Volkan Cevher

Statistical learning theory is the foundation of machine learning, providing theoretical bounds for the risk of models learned from a (single) training set, assumed to issue from an unknown probability distribution. In actual deployment,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-25 Michele Caprio , Maryam Sultana , Eleni Elia , Fabio Cuzzolin

There are many ways of establishing upper bounds on fluctuations of random variables, but there is no systematic approach for lower bounds. As a result, lower bounds are unknown in many important problems. This paper introduces a general…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-07-30 Sourav Chatterjee

Ecological and evolutionary processes show various population dynamics depending on internal interactions and environmental changes. While crucial in predicting biological processes, discovering general relations for such nonlinear dynamics…

Biological Physics · Physics 2022-06-23 Kyosuke Adachi , Ryosuke Iritani , Ryusuke Hamazaki
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