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Non-equilibrium phenomena occur not only in physical world, but also in finance. In this work, stochastic relaxational dynamics (together with path integrals) is applied to option pricing theory. A recently proposed model (by Ilinski et…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 Matthias Otto

We attempt to explain stock market dynamics in terms of the interaction among three variables: market price, investor opinion and information flow. We propose a framework for such interaction and apply it to build a model of stock market…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-09-23 Maxim Gusev , Dimitri Kroujiline , Boris Govorkov , Sergey V. Sharov , Dmitry Ushanov , Maxim Zhilyaev

We explore a stochastic model that enables capturing external influences in two specific ways. The model allows for the expression of uncertainty in the parametrisation of the stochastic dynamics and incorporates patterns to account for…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2024-04-11 Felix L. Wolf , Griselda Deelstra , Lech A. Grzelak

Volatility-based trading strategies have attracted a lot of attention in financial markets due to their ability to capture opportunities for profit from market dynamics. In this article, we propose a new volatility-based trading strategy…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2023-08-21 Ivan Letteri

We introduce a statistical test for simultaneous jumps in the price of a financial asset and its volatility process. The proposed test is based on high-frequency data and is robust to market microstructure frictions. For the test, local…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-06-12 Markus Bibinger , Lars Winkelmann

Recent empirical studies suggest that the volatilities associated with financial time series exhibit short-range correlations. This entails that the volatility process is very rough and its autocorrelation exhibits sharp decay at the…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2018-04-17 Josselin Garnier , Knut Solna

The Hawkes model is suitable for describing self and mutually exciting random events. In addition, the exponential decay in the Hawkes process allows us to calculate the moment properties in the model. However, due to the complexity of the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-09-24 Kyungsub Lee

Various parametric volatility models for financial data have been developed to incorporate high-frequency realized volatilities and better capture market dynamics. However, because high-frequency trading data are not available during the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-06-20 Donggyu Kim , Minseok Shin , Yazhen Wang

This paper presents a novel approach to stochastic volatility (SV) modeling by utilizing nonparametric techniques that enhance our ability to capture the volatility of financial time series data, with a particular emphasis on the…

Computation · Statistics 2025-02-18 Yudong Feng , Ashis Gangopadhyay

The Stochastic Volatility (SV) model and its variants are widely used in the financial sector while recurrent neural network (RNN) models are successfully used in many large-scale industrial applications of Deep Learning. Our article…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-01-25 Trong-Nghia Nguyen , Minh-Ngoc Tran , David Gunawan , R. Kohn

We study the volatility of the MIB30-stock-index high-frequency data from November 28, 1994 through September 15, 1995. Our aim is to empirically characterize the volatility random walk in the framework of continuous-time finance. To this…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-02 Marco Raberto , Enrico Scalas , Gianaurelio Cuniberti , Massimo Riani

Barrier options are one of the most widely traded exotic options on stock exchanges. In this paper, we develop a new stochastic simulation method for pricing barrier options and estimating the corresponding execution probabilities. We show…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2018-03-29 Keegan Mendonca , Vasileios E. Kontosakos , Athanasios A. Pantelous , Konstantin M. Zuev

Spatial and spatiotemporal volatility models are a class of models designed to capture spatial dependence in the volatility of spatial and spatiotemporal data. Spatial dependence in the volatility may arise due to spatial spillovers among…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-08-28 Philipp Otto , Osman Doğan , Süleyman Taşpınar , Wolfgang Schmid , Anil K. Bera

A statistical generalization is made of microeconomics in the spirit of going from classical to statistical mechanics. The price and quantity of every commodity1 traded in the market, at each instant of time, is considered to be an…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2012-12-03 Belal E. Baaquie

In previous works Avellaneda et al. pioneered the pricing and hedging of index options - products highly sensitive to implied volatility and correlation assumptions - with large deviations methods, assuming local volatility dynamics for all…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2022-12-16 Peter K. Friz , Thomas Wagenhofer

In this paper new analytical and numerical approaches to valuating path-dependent options of European type have been developed. The model of stochastic volatility as a basic model has been chosen. For European options we could improve the…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2010-09-24 Yu. A. Kuperin , P. A. Poloskov

We introduce a multivariate stochastic volatility model for asset returns that imposes no restrictions to the structure of the volatility matrix and treats all its elements as functions of latent stochastic processes. When the number of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-01-09 P. Dellaportas , A. Plataniotis , M. K. Titsias

This paper develops a two-step estimation methodology, which allows us to apply catastrophe theory to stock market returns with time-varying volatility and model stock market crashes. Utilizing high frequency data, we estimate the daily…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2013-05-23 Jozef Barunik , Jiri Kukacka

In financial markets, greater volatility is usually considered synonym of greater risk and instability. However, large market downturns and upturns are often preceded by long periods where price returns exhibit only small fluctuations. To…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-06-13 Davide Valenti , Giorgio Fazio , Bernardo Spagnolo

Econophysics and econometrics agree that there is a correlation between volume and volatility in a time series. Using empirical data and their distributions, we further investigate this correlation and discover new ways that volatility and…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-03-21 Zeyu Zheng , Zhi Qiao , Joel N. Tenenbaum , H. Eugene Stanley , Baowen Li