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In parameter estimation problems one computes a posterior distribution over uncertain parameters defined jointly by a prior distribution, a model, and noisy data. Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) is often used for the numerical solution of…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2017-11-15 Matthias Morzfeld , Marcus S. Day , Ray W. Grout , George Shu Heng Pau , Stefan A. Finsterle , John B. Bell

I show how Markov chain sampling with the Metropolis-Hastings algorithm can be modified so as to take bigger steps when the distribution being sampled from has the characteristic that its density can be quickly recomputed for a new point if…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Radford M. Neal

We investigate the properties of the Hybrid Monte-Carlo algorithm (HMC) in high dimensions. HMC develops a Markov chain reversible w.r.t. a given target distribution $\Pi$ by using separable Hamiltonian dynamics with potential $-\log\Pi$.…

Parallel tempering is a generic Markov chain Monte Carlo sampling method which allows good mixing with multimodal target distributions, where conventional Metropolis-Hastings algorithms often fail. The mixing properties of the sampler…

Computation · Statistics 2012-05-08 Blazej Miasojedow , Eric Moulines , Matti Vihola

Monte Carlo methods, such as Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC), remain the most regularly-used approach for implementing Bayesian inference. However, the computational cost of these approaches usually scales worse than linearly with the…

Computation · Statistics 2024-11-12 Leonardo Ripoli , Richard G. Everitt

We consider Metropolis Hastings MCMC in cases where the log of the ratio of target distributions is replaced by an estimator. The estimator is based on m samples from an independent online Monte Carlo simulation. Under some conditions on…

Computation · Statistics 2012-06-01 Geoff K. Nicholls , Colin Fox , Alexis Muir Watt

We investigate lower bounds on the subgeometric convergence of adaptive Markov chain Monte Carlo under any adaptation strategy. In particular, we prove general lower bounds in total variation and on the weak convergence rate under general…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-06-17 Austin Brown , Jeffrey S. Rosenthal

The popularity of Adaptive MCMC has been fueled on the one hand by its success in applications, and on the other hand, by mathematically appealing and computationally straightforward optimisation criteria for the Metropolis algorithm…

Computation · Statistics 2018-01-30 Cyril Chimisov , Krzysztof Latuszynski , Gareth Roberts

We consider adaptive increasingly rare Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms, which are adaptive MCMC methods, where the adaptation concerning the "past'' happens less and less frequently over time. Under a contraction assumption with…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-02-24 Julian Hofstadler , Krzysztof Latuszynski , Gareth O. Roberts , Daniel Rudolf

We introduce a framework for efficient Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms targeting discrete-valued high-dimensional distributions, such as posterior distributions in Bayesian variable selection (BVS) problems. We show that many…

Computation · Statistics 2021-10-28 Xitong Liang , Samuel Livingstone , Jim Griffin

Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) sampling methods are widely used but often encounter either slow convergence or biased sampling when applied to multimodal high dimensional distributions. In this paper, we present a general framework of…

Computation · Statistics 2017-09-12 Ricky Fok , Aijun An , Xiaogang Wang

Parallel Markov Chain Monte Carlo (pMCMC) algorithms generate clouds of proposals at each step to efficiently resolve a target probability distribution. We build a rigorous foundational framework for pMCMC algorithms that situates these…

Pseudo-marginal Markov chain Monte Carlo methods for sampling from intractable distributions have gained recent interest and have been theoretically studied in considerable depth. Their main appeal is that they are exact, in the sense that…

Computation · Statistics 2015-03-25 Felipe J. Medina-Aguayo , Anthony Lee , Gareth O. Roberts

There has been considerable interest in designing Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithms by exploiting numerical methods for Langevin dynamics, which includes Hamiltonian dynamics as a deterministic case. A prominent approach is Hamiltonian…

Computation · Statistics 2021-06-08 Zexi Song , Zhiqiang Tan

Gaussian processes are valuable tools for non-parametric modelling, where typically an assumption of stationarity is employed. While removing this assumption can improve prediction, fitting such models is challenging. In this work,…

Computation · Statistics 2019-05-02 Karla Monterrubio-Gómez , Lassi Roininen , Sara Wade , Theo Damoulas , Mark Girolami

Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (HMC) is a widely used sampler for continuous probability distributions. In many cases, the underlying Hamiltonian dynamics exhibit a phenomenon of resonance which decreases the efficiency of the algorithm and makes…

Computation · Statistics 2023-02-23 Lionel Riou-Durand , Pavel Sountsov , Jure Vogrinc , Charles C. Margossian , Sam Power

The ability to generate samples of the random effects from their conditional distributions is fundamental for inference in mixed effects models. Random walk Metropolis is widely used to conduct such sampling, but such a method can converge…

Applications · Statistics 2019-10-29 Belhal Karimi , Marc Lavielle

Sampling from heavy-tailed and multimodal distributions is challenging when neither the target density nor the proposal density can be evaluated, as in $\alpha$-stable L\'evy-driven fractional Langevin algorithms. While the target…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-03 Ahmed Aloui , Junyi Liao , Ali Hasan , Jose Blanchet , Vahid Tarokh

A generalized method of moments (GMM) estimator is unreliable for a large number of moment conditions, that is, it is comparable, or larger than the sample size. While classical GMM literature proposes several provisions to this problem,…

Computation · Statistics 2021-03-11 Masahiro Tanaka

We study the integration of functions with respect to an unknown density. We compare the simple Monte Carlo method (which is almost optimal for a certain large class of inputs) and compare it with the Metropolis algorithm (based on a…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Peter Mathe , Erich Novak