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A central problem in Binary Hypothesis Testing (BHT) is to determine the optimal tradeoff between the Type I error (referred to as false alarm) and Type II (referred to as miss) error. In this context, the exponential rate of convergence of…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2021-11-29 Sebastian Espinosa , Jorge F. Silva , Pablo Piantanida

Mixture distributions arise in many parametric and non-parametric settings -- for example, in Gaussian mixture models and in non-parametric estimation. It is often necessary to compute the entropy of a mixture, but, in most cases, this…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2022-11-22 Artemy Kolchinsky , Brendan D. Tracey

Causal effect estimation has been studied by many researchers when only observational data is available. Sound and complete algorithms have been developed for pointwise estimation of identifiable causal queries. For non-identifiable causal…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-06-26 Ziwei Jiang , Lai Wei , Murat Kocaoglu

The optimum quality that can be asymptotically achieved in the estimation of a probability p using inverse binomial sampling is addressed. A general definition of quality is used in terms of the risk associated with a loss function that…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-05-01 Luis Mendo

The bias of an estimator is defined as the difference of its expected value from the parameter to be estimated, where the expectation is with respect to the model. Loosely speaking, small bias reflects the desire that if an experiment is…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-02-16 Ioannis Kosmidis

This paper investigates robust versions of the general empirical risk minimization algorithm, one of the core techniques underlying modern statistical methods. Success of the empirical risk minimization is based on the fact that for a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-10-17 Stanislav Minsker , Timothée Mathieu

We analyze the properties of matching estimators when there are few treated, but many control observations. We show that, under standard assumptions, the nearest neighbor matching estimator for the average treatment effect on the treated is…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-03-24 Bruno Ferman

We propose a general theorem providing upper bounds for the risk of an empirical risk minimizer (ERM).We essentially focus on the binary classification framework. We extend Tsybakov's analysis of the risk of an ERM under margin type…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-08-14 Pascal Massart , Élodie Nédélec

This paper presents a new estimator of the intercept of a linear regression model in cases where the outcome varaible is observed subject to a selection rule. The intercept is often in this context of inherent interest; for example, in a…

Econometrics · Economics 2018-09-26 Chuan Goh

In statistical inference, confidence set procedures are typically evaluated based on their validity and width properties. Even when procedures achieve rate-optimal widths, confidence sets can still be excessively wide in practice due to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-03-20 Kenta Takatsu

We propose two families of asymptotically local minimax lower bounds on parameter estimation performance. The first family of bounds applies to any convex, symmetric loss function that depends solely on the difference between the estimate…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-09-20 Neri Merhav

This paper studies a class of exponential family models whose canonical parameters are specified as linear functionals of an unknown infinite-dimensional slope function. The optimal minimax rates of convergence for slope function estimation…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-12-25 Winston Wei Dou , David Pollard , Harrison H. Zhou

We consider a broad class of permutation invariant statistical problems by extending the standard decision theoretic definition to allow also selective inference tasks, where the target is specified only after seeing the data. For any such…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-02-06 Asaf Weinstein

We consider the problem of estimating the Optimized Certainty Equivalent (OCE) risk from independent and identically distributed (i.i.d.) samples. For the classic sample average approximation (SAA) of OCE, we derive mean-squared error as…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-03 Ayon Ghosh , L. A. Prashanth , Krishna Jagannathan

The creation and justification of the methods for minimax estimation of parameters of the external boundary value problems for the Helmholtz equation in unbounded domains are considered. When observations are distributed in subdomains, the…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2009-10-14 Yury Podlipenko , Yury Shestopalov , Vladimir Prishlyak

Two types of errors can occur when discriminating pairs of quantum states. Asymmetric state discrimination involves minimizing the probability of one type of error, subject to a constraint on the other. We give explicit expressions bounding…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2023-11-23 Jason L. Pereira , Leonardo Banchi , Stefano Pirandola

The exponential random graph model (ERGM) is a central object in the study of clustering properties in social networks as well as canonical ensembles in statistical physics. Despite some breakthrough works in the mathematical understanding…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-08-06 Shirshendu Ganguly , Kyeongsik Nam

Parameters defined via general estimating equations (GEE) can be estimated by maximizing the empirical likelihood (EL). Newey and Smith [Econometrica 72 (2004) 219--255] have recently shown that this EL estimator exhibits desirable…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-07-19 Susanne M. Schennach

We present some extensions of Bernstein's concentration inequality for random matrices. This inequality has become a useful and powerful tool for many problems in statistics, signal processing and theoretical computer science. The main…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-04-18 Stanislav Minsker

We study the estimation error of constrained M-estimators, and derive explicit upper bounds on the expected estimation error determined by the Gaussian width of the constraint set. Both of the cases where the true parameter is on the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-06-29 Yen-Huan Li , Ya-Ping Hsieh , Nissim Zerbib , Volkan Cevher