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Modern technologies not only provide a variety of communication modes, e.g., texting, cellphone conversation, and online instant messaging, but they also provide detailed electronic traces of these communications between individuals. These…

Physics and Society · Physics 2013-01-31 Zhi-Qiang Jiang , Wen-Jie Xie , Ming-Xia Li , Boris Podobnik , Wei-Xing Zhou , H. Eugene Stanley

We propose a class of strongly efficient rare event simulation estimators for random walks and compound Poisson processes with a regularly varying increment/jump-size distribution in a general large deviations regime. Our estimator is based…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-06-14 Bohan Chen , Jose Blanchet , Chang-Han Rhee , Bert Zwart

This paper considers population processes in which general, not necessarily Markovian, multivariate Hawkes processes dictate the stochastic arrivals. We establish results to determine the corresponding time-dependent joint probability…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-06-08 Raviar Karim , Roger J. A. Laeven , Michel Mandjes

In this paper, we investigate and develop a new approach to the numerical analysis and characterization of random fluctuations with heavy-tailed probability distribution function (PDF), such as turbulent heat flow and solar flare…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2017-03-22 Mohsen Ghasemi Nezhadhaghighi , Abbas Nakhlband

Human social interactions in local settings can be experimentally detected by recording the physical proximity and orientation of people. Such interactions, approximating face-to-face communications, can be effectively represented as time…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-10-08 Giulia Cencetti , Federico Battiston , Bruno Lepri , Márton Karsai

Recent research has shown the deep impact of the dynamics of human interactions (or temporal social networks) on the spreading of information, opinion formation, etc. In general, the bursty nature of human interactions lowers the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-06-16 Giovanna Miritello , Rubén Lara , Esteban Moro

In this paper, we investigate the arising communication patterns on social media, and in particular the series of events happening for a single user. While the distribution of inter-event times is often assimilated to power-law density…

The increasing availability of large-scale data on human behavior has catalyzed simultaneous advances in network theory, capturing the scaling properties of the interactions between a large number of individuals, and human dynamics,…

Physics and Society · Physics 2013-04-10 Chaoming Song , Dashun Wang , Albert-Laszlo Barabasi

There is a commonality among contagious diseases, tweets, urban crimes, nuclear reactions, and neuronal firings that past events facilitate the future occurrence of events. The spread of events has been extensively studied such that the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-09-16 Tomokatsu Onaga , Shigeru Shinomoto

Queuing models provide insight into the temporal inhomogeneity of human dynamics, characterized by the broad distribution of waiting times of individuals performing tasks. We study the queuing model of an agent trying to execute a task of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2012-06-05 Hang-Hyun Jo , Raj Kumar Pan , Kimmo Kaski

Current models for opinion dynamics typically utilize a Poisson process for speaker selection, making the waiting time between events exponentially distributed. Human interaction tends to be bursty, though, having higher probabilities of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2017-07-28 Casey Doyle , Boleslaw Szymanski , Gyorgy Korniss

Large parts of professional human communication proceed in a request-reply fashion, whereby requests contain specifics of the information desired while replies can deliver the required information. However, time limitations often force…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2013-12-25 Kristian Moss Bendtsen , Florian Uekermann , Jan O. Haerter

Social activities display bursty behavior characterized by heavy-tailed inter-event time distributions. We examine the bursty behavior of airplanes' arrivals in hub airports. The analysis indicates that the air transportation system…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-12-16 Hidetaka Ito , Katsuhiro Nishinari

Intermittent transitions, associated with critical dynamics and characterized by power-law distributions, are commonly observed during sleep. These critical behaviors are evident at the microscopic level through neuronal avalanches and at…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-03-28 Xiyun Zhang , Bojun Wang , Hongjie Bi

We study a stochastic process defined by the interaction strength for the return to the mean and a stochastic term proportional to the magnitude of the variable. Its steady-state distribution is the Inverse Gamma distribution, whose…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2019-08-01 Z. Liu , R. A. Serota

Many social, technological and biological interactions involve network relationships whose outcome intimately depends on the structure of the network and on the strengths of the connections. Yet, although much information is now available…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-10 Guido Caldarelli , Fabrizio Coccetti , Paolo De Los Rios

The goal of developing a firmer theoretical understanding of inhomogenous temporal processes -- in particular, the waiting times in some collective dynamical system -- is attracting significant interest among physicists. Quantifying the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-06-12 Guannan Zhao , Mark McDonald , Dan Fenn , Stacy Williams , Neil F. Johnson

Traditional models of opinion dynamics, in which the nodes of a network change their opinions based on their interactions with neighboring nodes, consider how opinions evolve either on time-independent networks or on temporal networks with…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-03-13 Weiqi Chu , Mason A. Porter

Information flow provides a natural measure for the causal interaction between dynamical events. This study extends our previous rigorous formalism of componentwise information flow to the bulk information flow between two complex…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2021-12-30 X. San Liang

Robots rely on motion planning to navigate safely and efficiently while performing various tasks. In this paper, we investigate motion planning through Bayesian inference, where motion plans are inferred based on planning objectives and…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-06-02 Ali Vaziri , Iman Askari , Huazhen Fang