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We extend the exploration regarding dynamical approach of macroeconomic variables by tackling systematically expenditure using Statistical Physics models (for the first time to the best of our knowledge). Also, using polynomial distribution…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-03-29 Elvis Oltean , Fedor Kusmartsev

Entropy is a measure of self-information which is used to quantify losses. Entropy was developed in thermodynamics, but is also used to compare probabilities based on their deviating information content. Corresponding model uncertainty is…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-01-23 Alois Pichler , Ruben Schlotter

The problem of assigning probability distributions which objectively reflect the prior information available about experiments is one of the major stumbling blocks in the use of Bayesian methods of data analysis. In this paper the method of…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2009-11-10 Ariel Caticha , Roland Preuss

We show that the naive application of the maximum entropy principle can yield answers which depend on the level of description, i.e. the result is not invariant under coarse-graining. We demonstrate that the correct approach, even for…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Jayanth Banavar , Amos Maritan

Economic systems are similar with physic systems for their large number of individuals and the exist of equilibrium. In this paper, we present a model applying the equilibrium statistical model in economic systems. Consistent with…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-04-17 Zhiwu Zheng

The author solves two problems: formation of object of econophysics, creation of the general theory of financial-economic monitoring. In the first problem he studied two fundamental tasks: a choice of conceptual model and creation of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2007-07-25 A. N. Panchenkov

How can econophysics contribute to economics? Since the relation between basic principles of physics and economics is not established, there is no reason why physical theories should be of any value for economic theory. While economic…

Physics and Society · Physics 2007-05-23 S. Reimann

Maximum Entropy is a powerful concept that entails a sharp separation between relevant and irrelevant variables. It is typically invoked in inference, once an assumption is made on what the relevant variables are, in order to estimate a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2018-01-09 Luigi Gresele , Matteo Marsili

In this letter we propose the use of physics techniques for entropy determination on constrained parameter optimization problems. The main feature of such techniques, the construction of an unbiased walk on energy space, suggests their use…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 A. R. Lima , M. Argollo de Menezes

The statistical description and modeling of volatility plays a prominent role in econometrics, risk management and finance. GARCH and stochastic volatility models have been extensively studied and are routinely fitted to market data, albeit…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2018-03-13 Nils Bertschinger , Iurii Mozzhorin , Sitabhra Sinha

A maximum entropy-based framework is presented for the synthesis of projections from multiple Earth climate models. This identifies the most representative (most probable) model from a set of climate models -- as defined by specified…

Geophysics · Physics 2017-08-23 Robert K. Niven

The principle of maximum entropy is a broadly applicable technique for computing a distribution with the least amount of information possible constrained to match empirical data, for instance, feature expectations. We seek to generalize…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2022-05-30 Kenneth Bogert

Econophysics embodies the recent upsurge of interest by physicists into financial economics, driven by the availability of large amount of data, job shortage in physics and the possibility of applying many-body techniques developed in…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-02 G. Daniel , D. Sornette

Halfway between the experiment and the focus group, between the quiz and a game, we have experienced a new format to "focus" on sustainability and the fundamental laws of thermodynamics and its principles. Concepts as reversibility,…

Physics Education · Physics 2019-07-09 D. Domenici , G. Mazzitelli

Multi-instance data, in which each object (bag) contains a collection of instances, are widespread in machine learning, computer vision, bioinformatics, signal processing, and social sciences. We present a maximum entropy (ME) framework for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-03-15 Behrouz Behmardi , Forrest Briggs , Xiaoli Z. Fern , Raviv Raich

Efficient approximation lies at the heart of large-scale machine learning problems. In this paper, we propose a novel, robust maximum entropy algorithm, which is capable of dealing with hundreds of moments and allows for computationally…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-06-05 Diego Granziol , Binxin Ru , Stefan Zohren , Xiaowen Doing , Michael Osborne , Stephen Roberts

This paper introduces an approach to gas-like models, from the concept of entropy, using the money stock data of two economic agents, in this case of two countries, which carry out market actions (trading) in two theoretical scenarios: in…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-06-25 Henry D. Vera Ramirez

The ecologist H. T. Odum introduced a principle of physics, called Maximum Empower, in order to explain self-organization in a system (e.g. physical, biological, social, economical, mathematical, ...). The concept of empower relies on…

Discrete Mathematics · Computer Science 2018-02-19 Chams Lahlou , Laurent Truffet

This paper addresses the critical challenge of estimating the reliability of an Electric Vehicle (EV) charging systems when facing risks such as overheating, unpredictable, weather, and cyberattacks. Traditional methods for predicting…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-08-19 Himanshu Tripathi , Subash Neupane , Shahram Rahimi , Noorbakhsh Amiri Golilarz , Sudip Mittal , Mohammad Sepehrifar

Econophysics is a science in its infancy, born about ten years ago at this time of writing, at the crossing roads of physics, mathematics, computing and of course economics and finance. It also covers human sciences, because all economics…

Physics and Society · Physics 2012-09-25 Marcel Ausloos