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A Quasi-Stationary Distribution (QSD)for a Markov process with an almost surely hit absorbing state is a time-invariant initial distribution for the process conditioned on not being absorbed by any given time. An initial distribution for…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-01-18 SangJoon Lee , Iddo Ben-Ari

Over the past few years, ride-sharing has emerged as an effective way to relieve traffic congestion. A key problem for these platforms is to come up with a revenue-optimal (or GMV-optimal) pricing scheme and an induced vehicle dispatching…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-03-02 Mengjing Chen , Weiran Shen , Pingzhong Tang , Song Zuo

By adopting a distributional viewpoint on law-invariant convex risk measures, we construct dynamics risk measures (DRMs) at the distributional level. We then apply these DRMs to investigate Markov decision processes, incorporating latent…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-04-24 Ziteng Cheng , Sebastian Jaimungal

This paper studies the optimal VIX futures trading problems under a regime-switching model. We consider the VIX as mean reversion dynamics with dependence on the regime that switches among a finite number of states. For the trading…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-06-15 Jiao Li

This work concerns controlled Markov chains with finite state and action spaces. The transition law satisfies the simultaneous Doeblin condition, and the performance of a control policy is measured by the (long-run) risk-sensitive average…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Rolando Cavazos-Cadena , Daniel Hernandez-Hernandez

We consider an inventory system in which inventory level fluctuates as a Brownian motion in the absence of control. The inventory continuously accumulates cost at a rate that is a general convex function of the inventory level, which can be…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2014-01-21 Jim Dai , Dacheng Yao

This article investigates a regime-switching investment strategy aimed at mitigating downside risk by reducing market exposure during anticipated unfavorable market regimes. We highlight the statistical jump model (JM) for market regime…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-09-18 Yizhan Shu , Chenyu Yu , John M. Mulvey

We consider a general class of dynamic resource allocation problems within a stochastic optimal control framework. This class of problems arises in a wide variety of applications, each of which intrinsically involves resources of different…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-01-08 Xuefeng Gao , Yingdong Lu , Mayank Sharma , Mark S. Squillante , Joost W. Bosman

We consider the bail-out optimal dividend problem under fixed transaction costs for a L\'evy risk model. Furthermore, we consider the version with a constraint expected net present value of injected capital. To characterize the solution to…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-09-19 Mauricio Junca , Harold Moreno-Franco , José Luis Pérez

A moment constraint that limits the number of dividends in the optimal dividend problem is suggested. This leads to a new type of time-inconsistent stochastic impulse control problem. First, the optimal solution in the precommitment sense…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-09-25 Sören Christensen , Kristoffer Lindensjö

This paper studies the risk-adjusted optimal timing to liquidate an option at the prevailing market price. In addition to maximizing the expected discounted return from option sale, we incorporate a path-dependent risk penalty based on…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-03-31 Tim Leung , Yoshihiro Shirai

In this paper, we establish a general stochastic maximum principle for optimal control for systems described by a continuous-time Markov regime-switching stochastic recursive utilities model. The control domain is postulated not to be…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-05-02 Liangquan Zhang , Xun Li

We revisit the dividend payment problem in the dual model of Avanzi et al. ([2], [1], and [3]). Using the fluctuation theory of spectrally positive L\'{e}vy processes, we give a short exposition in which we show the optimality of barrier…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-06-22 Erhan Bayraktar , Andreas Kyprianou , Kazutoshi Yamazaki

We consider reinforcement learning in changing Markov Decision Processes where both the state-transition probabilities and the reward functions may vary over time. For this problem setting, we propose an algorithm using a sliding window…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-05-28 Pratik Gajane , Ronald Ortner , Peter Auer

The problem of detecting a change in the drift of a Brownian motion is considered. The change point is assumed to have a modified exponential prior distribution with unknown parameters. A worst-case analysis with respect to these parameters…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-10-11 Taposh Banerjee , George V. Moustakides

In Bai and Paulsen (SIAM J. Control optim. 48, 2010) the optimal dividend problem under transaction costs was analyzed for a rather general class of diffusion processes. It was divided into several subclasses, and for the majority of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2012-03-26 Lihua Bai , Jostein Paulsen

We consider the valuation problem of an (insurance) company under partial information. Therefore we use the concept of maximizing discounted future dividend payments. The firm value process is described by a diffusion model with constant…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-02-16 Gunther Leobacher , Michaela Szölgyenyi , Stefan Thonhauser

Regime detection is vital for the effective operation of trading and investment strategies. However, the most popular means of doing this, the two-state Markov-switching regression model (MSR), is not an optimal solution, as two volatility…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2022-08-25 Piotr Pomorski , Denise Gorse

We consider the optimal stopping problem consisting in, given a strong Markov process, a reward function and a discount rate, finding the stopping time such that the expected reward at the stopping time is maximum. The approach we follow,…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-05-30 Fabián Crocce

We consider the problem of maximizing the discounted utility of dividend payments of an insurance company whose reserves are modeled as a classical Cram\'er-Lundberg risk process. We investigate this optimization problem under the…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-05-08 Zbigniew Palmowski , Sebastian Baran