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We propose a new Monte Carlo technique in which the degeneracy of energy states is obtained with a Markovian process analogous to that of Metropolis used currently in canonical simulations. The obtained histograms are much broader than…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-30 P. M. C. de Oliveira , T. J. P. Penna , H. J. Herrmann

An introduction to numerical large-deviation sampling is provided. First, direct biasing with a known distribution is explained. As simple example, the Bernoulli experiment is used throughout the text. Next, Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC)…

Computational Physics · Physics 2025-10-01 Alexander K. Hartmann

State-space models are commonly used to describe different forms of ecological data. We consider the case of count data with observation errors. For such data the system process is typically multi-dimensional consisting of coupled Markov…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-08-15 Axel Finke , Ruth King , Alexandros Beskos , Petros Dellaportas

We present a new Monte Carlo scheme for the efficient simulation of multi-polymer systems. The method permits chains to be inserted into the system using a biased growth technique. The growth proceeds via the use of a retractable feeler,…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 S. Consta , N. B. Wilding , D. Frenkel , Z. Alexandrowicz

Drawing a sample from a discrete distribution is one of the building components for Monte Carlo methods. Like other sampling algorithms, discrete sampling suffers from the high computational burden in large-scale inference problems. We…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-04-29 Yutian Chen , Zoubin Ghahramani

We propose to use deep neural networks for generating samples in Monte Carlo integration. Our work is based on non-linear independent components estimation (NICE), which we extend in numerous ways to improve performance and enable its…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-09-04 Thomas Müller , Brian McWilliams , Fabrice Rousselle , Markus Gross , Jan Novák

Cyber-physical systems (CPS) are increasingly becoming driven by data, using multiple types of sensors to capture huge amounts of data. Extraction and characterization of useful information from big streams of data is a challenging problem.…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2021-06-22 Nicolas Basset , Thao Dang , Felix Gigler , Cristinel Mateis , Dejan Nickovic

In this paper we demonstrate that multi-modal Probability Distribution Functions (PDFs) may be efficiently sampled using an algorithm originally developed for numerical integrations by Monte-Carlo methods. This algorithm can be used to…

Computational Physics · Physics 2009-10-31 K. J. Abraham , L. M. Haines

Sequential Monte Carlo methods, also known as particle methods, are a popular set of techniques for approximating high-dimensional probability distributions and their normalizing constants. These methods have found numerous applications in…

Computation · Statistics 2021-06-23 Jeremy Heng , Adrian N. Bishop , George Deligiannidis , Arnaud Doucet

Recursive Monte Carlo filters, also called particle filters, are a powerful tool to perform computations in general state space models. We discuss and compare the accept--reject version with the more common sampling importance resampling…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Hans R. Künsch

The computational cost of a Monte Carlo algorithm can only be meaningfully discussed when taking into account the magnitude of the resulting statistical error. Aiming for a fixed error per particle, we study the scaling behavior of the…

Computational Physics · Physics 2010-02-11 Norbert Nemec

Statistical model checking avoids the exponential growth of states associated with probabilistic model checking by estimating properties from multiple executions of a system and by giving results within confidence bounds. Rare properties…

Performance · Computer Science 2012-01-26 Cyrille Jégourel , Axel Legay , Sean Sedwards

In parameter estimation problems one computes a posterior distribution over uncertain parameters defined jointly by a prior distribution, a model, and noisy data. Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) is often used for the numerical solution of…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2017-11-15 Matthias Morzfeld , Marcus S. Day , Ray W. Grout , George Shu Heng Pau , Stefan A. Finsterle , John B. Bell

We propose a new framework for how to use sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) algorithms for inference in probabilistic graphical models (PGM). Via a sequential decomposition of the PGM we find a sequence of auxiliary distributions defined on a…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-10-07 Christian A. Naesseth , Fredrik Lindsten , Thomas B. Schön

We propose the misclassified Ising Model; a framework for analyzing dependent binary data where the binary state is susceptible to error. We extend the theoretical results of the model selection method presented in Ravikumar et. al. (2010)…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-04-21 David G. Sinclair , Giles Hooker

Seam carving is a computational method capable of resizing images for both reduction and expansion based on its content, instead of the image geometry. Although the technique is mostly employed to deal with redundant information, i.e.,…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-03-08 Thierry P. Moreira , Marcos Cleison S. Santana , Leandro A. Passos João Paulo Papa , Kelton Augusto P. da Costa

We propose a novel class of Sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) algorithms, appropriate for inference in probabilistic graphical models. This class of algorithms adopts a divide-and-conquer approach based upon an auxiliary tree-structured…

We present a procedure for reconstructing the decision function of an artificial neural network as a simple function of the input, provided the decision function is sufficiently symmetric. In this case one can easily deduce the quantity by…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2017-11-15 Sebastian Johann Wetzel , Manuel Scherzer

State-space models can be used to incorporate subject knowledge on the underlying dynamics of a time series by the introduction of a latent Markov state-process. A user can specify the dynamics of this process together with how the state…

Computation · Statistics 2017-09-14 Paul Fearnhead , Hans Künsch

We present an implementation of a Monte Carlo algorithm that generates points randomly and uniformly on a set of arbitrary surfaces. The algorithm is completely general and only requires the geometry modeling software to provide the…

Nuclear Experiment · Physics 2009-03-19 J. A. Detwiler , R. Henning , R. A. Johnson , M. G. Marino
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