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The performance of Markov chain Monte Carlo samplers strongly depends on the properties of the target distribution such as its covariance structure, the location of its probability mass and its tail behavior. We explore the use of bijective…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-08-06 Philip Schär , Michael Habeck , Daniel Rudolf

A polynomial transform is the multiplication of an input vector $x\in\C^n$ by a matrix $\PT_{b,\alpha}\in\C^{n\times n},$ whose $(k,\ell)$-th element is defined as $p_\ell(\alpha_k)$ for polynomials $p_\ell(x)\in\C[x]$ from a list…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2011-07-14 Aliaksei Sandryhaila , Jelena Kovacevic , Markus Pueschel

Inspired by recent progress in quantum algorithms for ordinary and partial differential equations, we study quantum algorithms for stochastic differential equations (SDEs). Firstly we provide a quantum algorithm that gives a quadratic…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2021-06-30 Dong An , Noah Linden , Jin-Peng Liu , Ashley Montanaro , Changpeng Shao , Jiasu Wang

We propose a highly efficient and accurate methodology for generating synthetic financial market data using a diffusion model approach. The synthetic data produced by our methodology align closely with observed market data in several key…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-02-04 Andrew Lesniewski , Giulio Trigila

Let ${\cal X }=XX^{\prime}$ be a random matrix associated with a centered $r$-column centered Gaussian vector $X$ with a covariance matrix $P$. In this article we compute expectations of matrix-products of the form $\prod_{1\leq i\leq…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-03-03 Pierre Del Moral , Adrian N. Bishop

In this paper we present elementary computations for some Markov modulated counting processes, also called counting processes with regime switching. Regime switching has become an increasingly popular concept in many branches of science. In…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-02-27 Michel Mandjes , Peter Spreij

There has been substantial interest in developing Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithms based on piecewise-deterministic Markov processes. However existing algorithms can only be used if the target distribution of interest is differentiable…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-11-12 Augustin Chevallier , Sam Power , Andi Q. Wang , Paul Fearnhead

The discrete class algorithm presented in this paper is an efficient simulation tool for stochastic processes governed by a reasonably small set of transition rates. The algorithm is presented, its performance compared to prevailing methods…

Computational Physics · Physics 2008-02-03 Hans E. Plesser , Dietmar Wendt

A highly efficient formulation of moment equations for stochastic reaction networks is introduced. It is based on a set of binomial moments that capture the combinatorics of the reaction processes. The resulting set of equations can be…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-05-20 Baruch Barzel , Ofer Biham

Parameter estimation for discretely observed Markov processes is a challenging problem. However, simulation of Markov processes is straightforward using the Gillespie algorithm. We exploit this ease of simulation to develop an effective…

Computation · Statistics 2014-04-17 Peter Neal

This paper focuses on the study of an original combination of the Multilevel Monte Carlo method introduced by Giles [10] and the popular importance sampling technique. To compute the optimal choice of the parameter involved in the…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-09-05 Mohamed Ben Alaya , Kaouther Hajji , Ahmed Kebaier

Exceptional orthogonal Laguerre polynomials can be viewed as an extension of the classical Laguerre polynomials per excluding polynomials of certain order(s) from being eigenfunctions for the corresponding exceptional differential operator.…

Classical Analysis and ODEs · Mathematics 2017-10-10 Constanze Liaw , John Osborn

Multivariate Hawkes Processes (MHPs) are a class of point processes that can account for complex temporal dynamics among event sequences. In this work, we study the accuracy and computational efficiency of three classes of algorithms which,…

Computation · Statistics 2025-02-24 Alex Ziyu Jiang , Abel Rodríguez

In this paper we propose a semi-Markov modulated model of interest rates. We assume that the switching process is a semi-Markov process with finite state space E and the modulated process is a diffusive process. We derive recursive…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2012-10-12 Guglielmo D'Amico , Raimondo Manca , Giovanni Salvi

Let $G$ be a graph and let $m_{ij}(G)$, $i,j\ge 1$, be the number of edges $uv$ of $G$ such that $\{d_v(G), d_u(G)\} = \{i,j\}$. The {\em $M$-polynomial} of $G$ is introduced with $\displaystyle{M(G;x,y) = \sum_{i\le j} m_{ij}(G)x^iy^j}$.…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2014-07-08 Emeric Deutsch , Sandi Klavžar

In this article, we present a review of the recent developments on the topic of Multilevel Monte Carlo (MLMC) algorithm, in the paradigm of applications in financial engineering. We specifically focus on the recent studies conducted in two…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-09-30 Devang Sinha , Siddhartha P. Chakrabarty

In stochastic multi-factor commodity models, it is often the case that futures prices are explained by two latent state variables which represent the short and long term stochastic factors. In this work, we develop the family of stochastic…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-10-01 Peilun He , Nino Kordzakhia , Gareth W. Peters , Pavel V. Shevchenko

Bayesian inference for Markov processes has become increasingly relevant in recent years. Problems of this type often have intractable likelihoods and prior knowledge about model rate parameters is often poor. Markov Chain Monte Carlo…

Computation · Statistics 2014-10-23 Jamie Owen , Darren J. Wilkinson , Colin S. Gillespie

We discuss several techniques for the evaluation of the generalised Lyapunov exponents which characterise the growth of products of random matrices in the large-deviation regime. A Monte Carlo algorithm that performs importance sampling…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2011-12-22 J. Vanneste

At the scale of the individual cell, protein production is a stochastic process with multiple time scales, combining quick and slow random steps with discontinuous and smooth variation. Hybrid stochastic processes, in particular…

Molecular Networks · Quantitative Biology 2019-05-02 Guilherme C. P. Innocentini , Fernando Antoneli , Arran Hodgkinson , Ovidiu Radulescu