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Uniform convergence rates are provided for asymptotic representations of sample extremes. These bounds which are universal in the sense that they do not depend on the extreme value index are meant to be extended to arbitrary samples…

Biggins [Uniform convergence of martingales in the branching random walk. {\em Ann. Probab.}, 20(1):137--151, 1992] proved local uniform convergence of additive martingales in $d$-dimensional supercritical branching random walks at complex…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-11-17 Konrad Kolesko , Matthias Meiners

Confidence sequences, anytime p-values (called p-processes in this paper), and e-processes all enable sequential inference for composite and nonparametric classes of distributions at arbitrary stopping times. Examining the literature, one…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-11-08 Aaditya Ramdas , Johannes Ruf , Martin Larsson , Wouter Koolen

We provide a systematic approach to stable central limit theorems for d-dimensional martingale difference arrays and martingale difference sequences. The conditions imposed are straightforward extensions of the univariate case.

Probability · Mathematics 2024-07-29 Erich Häusler , Harald Luschgy

We consider the problem of finding a real valued martingale fitting specified marginal distributions. For this to be possible, the marginals must be increasing in the convex order and have constant mean. We show that, under the extra…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-08-19 George Lowther

We introduce the notion of uniform exactness, or uniform amenability at infinity, for discrete groups and prove it for a wide class of groups containing free groups and their limit groups. This shows a novel strong convergence phenomenon…

Group Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-01 Narutaka Ozawa

Obtaining accurate field statistics continues to be one of the major challenges in turbulence theory and modeling. From the various existing modeling approaches, multifractal models have been successful in capturing intermittency in…

In this paper we introduce the concept of conic martingales}. This class refers to stochastic processes having the martingale property, but that evolve within given (possibly time-dependent) boundaries. We first review some results about…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-03-25 Frédéric Vrins , Monique Jeanblanc

The now classical convergence in distribution theorem for well normalized sums ofstationary martingale increments has been extended to multi-indexed martingaleincrements (see Voln\'{y} (2019) and references in there). In the presentarticle…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-05-24 Davide Giraudo , Emmanuel Lesigne , Dalibor Volny

A proof of the continuous martingale convergence theorem is provided. It relies on a classical martingale inequality and the almost sure convergence of a uniformly bounded non-negative super-martingale, after a truncation argument.

Probability · Mathematics 2021-11-25 Joe Ghafari

Given a sequence $(M^n)^{\infty}_{n=1}$ of nonnegative martingales starting at $M^n_0=1$, we find a sequence of convex combinations $(\widetilde{M}^n)^{\infty}_{n=1}$ and a limiting process $X$ such that…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-02-23 Christoph Czichowsky , Walter Schachermayer

A novel approach is proposed to establish a sharp upper bound on the expected supremum of a separable martingale random field, serving as an alternative to classical universal chaining-based methods. The proposed approach begins by deriving…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-07 Yoichi Nishiyama

We give optimal convergence rates in the central limit theorem for a large class of martingale difference sequences with bounded third moments. The rates depend on the behaviour of the conditional variances and for stationary sequences the…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Mohamed El Machkouri , Lahcen Ouchti

We obtain a condition for the $L^q$-convergence of martingales generated by random multiplicative cascade measures for $q>1$ without any self-similarity requirements on the cascades.

Probability · Mathematics 2013-11-04 K. J. Falconer

Given a martingale sequence of random fields that satisfies a natural assumption of boundedness, it is shown that the pointwise limit of this sequence can be modified in such a way that a certain class of moduli of continuity is preserved.…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-12-10 Azat Miftakhov

In this paper we construct random conformal snowflakes with large integral means spectrum at different points. These new estimates are significant improvement over previously known lower bound of the universal spectrum. Our estimates are…

Complex Variables · Mathematics 2009-11-13 D. Beliaev

The t-statistic is a widely-used scale-invariant statistic for testing the null hypothesis that the mean is zero. Martingale methods enable sequential testing with the t-statistic at every sample size, while controlling the probability of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-02-10 Peter D. Grünwald , Wouter M. Koolen

In the paper, the martingales and super-martingales relative to a regular set of measures are systematically studied. The notion of local regular super-martingale relative to a set of equivalent measures is introduced and the necessary and…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-10-23 N. S. Gonchar

We define a class of random measures, spatially independent martingales, which we view as a natural generalisation of the canonical random discrete set, and which includes as special cases many variants of fractal percolation and Poissonian…

Classical Analysis and ODEs · Mathematics 2015-02-27 Pablo Shmerkin , Ville Suomala

This paper introduces a martingale that characterizes two properties of evolving forecast distributions. Ideal forecasts of a future event behave as martingales, sequen- tially updating the forecast to leverage the available information as…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-05-17 Dean P. Foster , Robert A. Stine