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There is a history of simple forecast error growth models designed to capture the key properties of error growth in operational numerical weather prediction (NWP) models. We propose here such a scalar model that relies on the previous ones…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-10-02 Eviatar Bach , Dan Crisan , Michael Ghil

Model Predictive Control is an extremely effective control method for systems with input and state constraints. Model Predictive Control performance heavily depends on the accuracy of the open-loop prediction. For systems with uncertainty…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-07-27 Francesco Micheli , John Lygeros

The nature of statistics, statistical mechanics and consequently the thermodynamics of stochastic systems is largely determined by how the number of states $W(N)$ depends on the size $N$ of the system. Here we propose a scaling expansion of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2018-09-13 Jan Korbel , Rudolf Hanel , Stefan Thurner

This paper investigates how models of spatiotemporal dynamics in the form of nonlinear partial differential equations can be identified directly from noisy data using a combination of sparse regression and weak formulation. Using the…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2020-01-08 Daniel R. Gurevich , Patrick A. K. Reinbold , Roman O. Grigoriev

Coupled partial differential equation (PDE) systems, which often represent multi-physics models, are naturally suited for modular numerical solution methods. However, several challenges yet remain in extending the benefits of modularization…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2014-10-21 Akshay Mittal , Gianluca Iaccarino

The Stochastic Backscatter Model involves the generation of a set of random variables characterised by prescribed correlations in space and time. These variables are obtained by smoothing an initially uncorrelated random field, which…

Computational Physics · Physics 2025-11-12 Angelo Passariello

The physical sciences are replete with dynamical systems that require the resolution of a wide range of length and time scales. This presents significant computational challenges since direct numerical simulation requires discretization at…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-11 Andrew F. Ilersich , Prasanth B. Nair

Physical systems whose dynamics are governed by partial differential equations (PDEs) find applications in numerous fields, from engineering design to weather forecasting. The process of obtaining the solution from such PDEs may be…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-21 Pratyush Bhatt , Yash Kumar , Azzeddine Soulaimani

A numerical analysis for the fully discrete approximation of an operator Lyapunov equation related to linear SPDEs (stochastic partial differential equations) driven by multiplicative noise is considered. The discretization of the Lyapunov…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-05-04 Adam Andersson , Annika Lang , Andreas Petersson , Leander Schroer

Rapidly developing machine learning methods has stimulated research interest in computationally reconstructing differential equations (DEs) from observational data which may provide additional insight into underlying causative mechanisms.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-12 Mingtao Xia , Xiangting Li , Qijing Shen , Tom Chou

Partial differential equations (PDEs) are used, with huge success, to model phenomena arising across all scientific and engineering disciplines. However, across an equally wide swath, there exist situations in which PDE models fail to…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-12-16 Marta D'Elia , Qiang Du , Christian Glusa , Max Gunzburger , Xiaochuan Tian , Zhi Zhou

A system of interacting particles described by stochastic differential equations is considered. As oppopsed to the usual model, where the noise perturbations acting on different particles are independent, here the particles are subject to…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2016-06-23 Michele Coghi , Franco Flandoli

Accurate forecasting of spatiotemporal data remains challenging due to complex spatial dependencies and temporal dynamics. The inherent uncertainty and variability in such data often render deterministic models insufficient, prompting a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-05 Mingze Gong , Lei Chen , Jia Li

Previous works have shown numerically that the response of a ``stochastic resonator'' is enhanced as a consequence of spatial coupling. Also, similar results have been obtained in a reaction-diffusion model by studying the phenomenon of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 H. S. Wio , S. Bouzat , B. von Haeften

A parabolic stochastic PDE is studied analytically and numerically, when a bifurcation parameter is slowly increased through its critical value. The aim is to understand the effect of noise on delayed bifurcations in systems with spatial…

adap-org · Physics 2008-02-03 G. D. Lythe

We propose a predictor-corrector adaptive method for the study of hyperbolic partial differential equations (PDEs) under uncertainty. Constructed around the framework of stochastic finite volume (SFV) methods, our approach circumvents…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-01-24 Jake J. Harmon , Svetlana Tokareva , Anatoly Zlotnik , Pieter J. Swart

In many scientific fields, the generation and evolution of data are governed by partial differential equations (PDEs) which are typically informed by established physical laws at the macroscopic level to describe general and predictable…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-01 Ziyuan Chen , Shunxing Yan , Fang Yao

This paper addresses the estimation of uncertain distributed diffusion coefficients in elliptic systems based on noisy measurements of the model output. We formulate the parameter identification problem as an infinite dimensional…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2015-06-11 Jeff Borggaard , Hans-Werner van Wyk

In this article spatial and temporal regularity of the solution process of a stochastic partial differential equation (SPDE) of evolutionary type with nonlinear multiplicative trace class noise is analyzed.

Probability · Mathematics 2011-11-07 Arnulf Jentzen , Michael Roeckner

A framework to establish response theory for a class of nonlinear stochastic partial differential equations (SPDEs) is provided. More specifically, it is shown that for a certain class of observables, the averages of those observables…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2022-10-24 Giulia Carigi , Tobias Kuna , Jochen Bröcker