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Related papers: Estimation of the instantaneous volatility

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We study a new measure of codependency in the second moment of a continuous-time multivariate asset price process, which we name the realized copula of volatility. The statistic is based on local volatility estimates constructed from…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-04-22 Kim Christensen , Wenjing Liu , Zhi Liu , Yoann Potiron

We consider Stochastic Volatility processes with heavy tails and possible long memory in volatility. We study the limiting conditional distribution of future events given that some present or past event was extreme (i.e. above a level which…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-08-17 Rafał Kulik , Philippe Soulier

A new robust stochastic volatility (SV) model having Student-t marginals is proposed. Our process is defined through a linear normal regression model driven by a latent gamma process that controls temporal dependence. This gamma process is…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-05-28 Raanju R. Sundararajan , Wagner Barreto-Souza

Volatility estimation is a central problem in financial econometrics, but becomes particularly challenging when jump activity is high, a phenomenon observed empirically in highly traded financial securities. In this paper, we revisit the…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-05-13 B. Cooper Boniece , José E. Figueroa-López , Tianwei Zhou

We study the asymptotic normality of two feasible estimators of the integrated volatility of volatility based on the Fourier methodology, which does not require the pre-estimation of the spot volatility. We show that the bias-corrected…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-09-07 Giacomo Toscano , Giulia Livieri , Maria Elvira Mancino , Stefano Marmi

We consider a stochastic volatility model where the moment generating function of the logarithmic price is finite only on part of the real line. Using a new Tauberian result obtained in [1] and [2], we show that the knowledge of the moment…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2016-08-08 Sidi Mohamed Aly

In this short paper, we study the simulation of a large system of stochastic processes subject to a common driving noise and fast mean-reverting stochastic volatilities. This model may be used to describe the firm values of a large pool of…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-10-13 Andrei Cozma , Christoph Reisinger

In this paper, we establish sample path large and moderate deviation principles for log-price processes in Gaussian stochastic volatility models, and study the asymptotic behavior of exit probabilities, call pricing functions, and the…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-06-17 Archil Gulisashvili

Based on a criterium of mathematical simplicity and consistency with empirical market data, a stochastic volatility model has been obtained with the volatility process driven by fractional noise. Depending on whether the stochasticity…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2010-07-28 R. Vilela Mendes , Maria João Oliveira

We develop a framework for composite likelihood estimation of parametric continuous-time stationary Gaussian processes. We derive the asymptotic theory of the associated maximum composite likelihood estimator. We implement our approach on a…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-01-21 Mikkel Bennedsen , Kim Christensen , Peter Christensen

We study stochastic volatility models in which the volatility process is a function of a continuous fractional stochastic process, which is an integral transform of the solution of an SDE satisfying the Yamada-Watanabe condition. We…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-03-31 Stefan Gerhold , Christoph Gerstenecker , Archil Gulisashvili

We propose a new method for the estimation of a semiparametric tempered stable L\'{e}vy model. The estimation procedure combines iteratively an approximate semiparametric method of moment estimator, Truncated Realized Quadratic Variations…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-02-25 José E. Figueroa-López , Ruoting Gong , Yuchen Han

We provide a nonparametric method for the computation of instantaneous multivariate volatility for continuous semi-martingales, which is based on Fourier analysis. The co-volatility is reconstructed as a stochastic function of time by…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-08-14 Paul Malliavin , Maria Elvira Mancino

We introduce time-inhomogeneous stochastic volatility models, in which the volatility is described by a nonnegative function of a Volterra type continuous Gaussian process that may have very rough sample paths. The main results obtained in…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-01-01 Archil Gulisashvili

Volatility models of price fluctuations are well studied in the econometrics literature, with more than 50 years of theoretical and empirical findings. The recent advancements in neural networks (NN) in the deep learning field have…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-05-17 German Rodikov , Nino Antulov-Fantulin

In this paper, we first investigate the estimation of the empirical joint Laplace transform of volatilities of two semi-martingales within a fixed time interval [0, T] by using overlapped increments of high-frequency data. The proposed…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-03-05 XinWei Feng , Yu Jiang , Zhi Liu , Zhe Meng

This paper provides rate-efficient estimators of the volatility parameter in the presence of L\'{e}vy jumps

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-08-16 Yacine Aït-Sahalia , Jean Jacod

We study the parameter estimation for parabolic, linear, second-order, stochastic partial differential equations (SPDEs) observing a mild solution on a discrete grid in time and space. A high-frequency regime is considered where the mesh of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-09-11 Markus Bibinger , Mathias Trabs

This article studies the finite sample behaviour of a number of estimators for the integrated power volatility process of a Brownian semistationary process in the non semi-martingale setting. We establish three consistent feasible…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-06-18 Phillip Murray , Riccardo Passeggeri , Almut E. D. Veraart , Mikko S. Pakkanen

In a model driven by a multi-dimensional local diffusion, we study the behavior of implied volatility {\sigma} and its derivatives with respect to log-strike k and maturity T near expiry and at the money. We recover explicit limits of these…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-10-06 Stefano Pagliarani , Andrea Pascucci