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Credit Suisse First Boston (CSFB) launched in 1997 the model CreditRisk+ which aims at calculating the loss distribution of a credit portfolio on the basis of a methodology from actuarial mathematics. Knowing the loss distribution, it is…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-02 Hermann Haaf , Dirk Tasche

We study a continuous-time portfolio optimization problem under an explicit constraint on the Deviation Conditional Value-at-Risk (DCVaR), defined as the difference between the CVaR and the expected terminal wealth. While the mean-CVaR…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-10-01 Jérôme Lelong , Véronique Maume-Deschamps , William Thevenot

In this paper, we study a novel episodic risk-sensitive Reinforcement Learning (RL) problem, named Iterated CVaR RL, which aims to maximize the tail of the reward-to-go at each step, and focuses on tightly controlling the risk of getting…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-12 Yihan Du , Siwei Wang , Longbo Huang

This paper focuses on a class of variational inequalities (VIs), where the map defining the VI is given by the component-wise conditional value-at-risk (CVaR) of a random function. We focus on solving the VI using sample average…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-08-25 Ashish Cherukuri

In this paper, we introduce an efficient and end-to-end quantum algorithm tailored for computing the Value-at-Risk (VaR) and conditional Value-at-Risk (CVar) for a portfolio of European options. Our focus is on leveraging quantum…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2024-06-04 Yusen Wu , Jingbo B. Wang , Yuying Li

This paper formulates algorithms to upper-bound the maximum Value-at-Risk (VaR) of a state function along trajectories of stochastic processes. The VaR is upper bounded by two methods: minimax tail-bounds (Cantelli/Vysochanskij-Petunin) and…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-02-05 Jared Miller , Matteo Tacchi , Mario Sznaier , Ashkan Jasour

We study a class of stochastic optimal design problems for elliptic partial differential equations in divergence form, where the coefficients represent mixtures of two conducting materials. The objective is to minimize a generalized risk…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-02-24 Amal Alphonse , Petar Kunštek , Marko Vrdoljak

We consider a class of optimization problems with Cartesian variational inequality (CVI) constraints, where the objective function is convex and the CVI is associated with a monotone mapping and a convex Cartesian product set. This…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-02-16 Harshal D. Kaushik , Farzad Yousefian

Estimation of the value-at-risk (VaR) of a large portfolio of assets is an important task for financial institutions. As the joint log-returns of asset prices can often be projected to a latent space of a much smaller dimension, the use of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-06 Robert Sicks , Stefanie Grimm , Ralf Korn , Ivo Richert

The standard approach to risk-averse control is to use the Exponential Utility (EU) functional, which has been studied for several decades. Like other risk-averse utility functionals, EU encodes risk aversion through an increasing convex…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-05-08 Kevin M. Smith , Margaret P. Chapman

The Pickands estimator for the extreme value index is beneficial due to its universal consistency, location, and scale invariance, which sets it apart from other types of estimators. However, similar to many extreme value index estimators,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-07-29 Yizhou Li , Pawel Polak

This paper studies mean-risk portfolio optimization models using the conditional value-at-risk (CVaR) as a risk measure. We also employ a cardinality constraint for limiting the number of invested assets. Solving such a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-08-10 Ken Kobayashi , Yuichi Takano , Kazuhide Nakata

The increasing value of data held in enterprises makes it an attractive target to attackers. The increasing likelihood and impact of a cyber attack have highlighted the importance of effective cyber risk estimation. We propose two methods…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2021-04-23 Raisa Dzhamtyrova , Carsten Maple

We develop a risk-averse safety analysis method for stochastic systems on discrete infinite time horizons. Our method quantifies the notion of risk for a control system in terms of the severity of a harmful random outcome in a fraction of…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-03-14 Chuanning Wei , Michael Fauss , Margaret P. Chapman

In this paper we study time-consistent risk measures for returns that are given by a GARCH(1,1) model. We present a construction of risk measures based on their static counterparts that overcomes the lack of time-consistency. We then study…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2016-02-02 Claudia Klüppelberg , Jianing Zhang

Copula-based Conditional Value at Risk (CCVaR) is defined as an alternative version of the classical Conditional Value at Risk (CVaR) for multivariate random vectors intended to be real-valued. We aim to generalize CCVaR to several…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2026-05-13 Andres Mauricio Molina Barreto

In this work, we address risk-averse Bayes-adaptive reinforcement learning. We pose the problem of optimising the conditional value at risk (CVaR) of the total return in Bayes-adaptive Markov decision processes (MDPs). We show that a policy…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-27 Marc Rigter , Bruno Lacerda , Nick Hawes

CoVaR (conditional value-at-risk) is a crucial measure for assessing financial systemic risk, which is defined as a conditional quantile of a random variable, conditioned on other random variables reaching specific quantiles. It enables the…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-10-31 Weihuan Huang

The Value-at-Risk (VaR) and the Expected Shortfall (ES) are the two most popular risk measures in banking and insurance regulation. To bridge between the two regulatory risk measures, the Probability Equivalent Level of VaR-ES (PELVE) was…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-06-30 Hirbod Assa , Liyuan Lin , Ruodu Wang

Given measurements from sensors and a set of standard forces, an optimization based approach to identify weakness in structures is introduced. The key novelty lies in letting the load and measurements to be random variables. Subsequently…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-11-22 Facundo N. Airaudo , Harbir Antil , Rainald Löhner , Umarkhon Rakhimov
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