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This paper develops inference methods for ratios of deterministic trend slopes in systems of pairs of time series. Hypotheses based on linear cross-equation restrictions are considered with particular interest in tests that trend ratios are…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-03-02 Timothy J. Vogelsang

We focus on the problem of modulating a parameter onto a power-limited signal transmitted over a discrete-time Gaussian channel and estimating this parameter at the receiver. Considering the well-known threshold effect in non-linear…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2018-02-15 Neri Merhav

We consider integer-valued random walks with independent but not identically distributed increments, and extend to this context several classical estimates, including a local limit theorem, precise small-ball estimates (both conditional on…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-11-13 Sébastien Ott , Yvan Velenik

In this paper, an alternative approximation to the innovation method is introduced for the parameter estimation of diffusion processes from partial and noisy observations. This is based on a convergent approximation to the first two…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2013-12-19 J. C. Jimenez

This paper addresses the key challenge of estimating the asymptotic covariance associated with the Markov chain central limit theorem, which is essential for visualizing and terminating Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) simulations. We focus…

Computation · Statistics 2024-08-29 James M. Flegal , Rebecca P. Kurtz-Garcia

Tests for structural breaks in time series should ideally be sensitive to breaks in the parameter of interest, while being robust to nuisance changes. Statistical analysis thus needs to allow for some form of nonstationarity under the null…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-12-02 Fabian Mies

The purpose of the present paper is to establish moment estimates of Rosenthal type for a rather general class of random variables satisfying certain bounds on the cumulants. We consider sequences of random variables which satisfy a central…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-01-16 Peter Eichelsbacher , Lukas Knichel

This paper is concerned with the convergence rate of the solutions of nonlinear switched systems. We first consider a switched system which is asymptotically stable for a class of inputs but not for all inputs. We show that solutions…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2015-11-06 Philippe Jouan , Saïd Naciri

Many inference problems, such as sequential decision problems like A/B testing, adaptive sampling schemes like bandit selection, are often online in nature. The fundamental problem for online inference is to provide a sequence of confidence…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-06-07 Arun Kumar Kuchibhotla , Qinqing Zheng

We study the problem of finding the index of the minimum value of a vector from noisy observations. This problem is relevant in population/policy comparison, discrete maximum likelihood, and model selection. We develop an asymptotically…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-21 Tianyu Zhang , Hao Lee , Jing Lei

Here, we study the ultimately bounded stability of network of mismatched systems using Lyapunov direct method. The upper bound on the error of oscillators from the center of the neighborhood is derived. Then the performance of an adaptive…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2015-11-20 Saeed Manaffam , Alireza Seyedi , Azadeh Vosoughi , Tara Javidi

Regularly varying stochastic processes are able to model extremal dependence between process values at locations in random fields. We investigate the empirical extremogram as an estimator of dependence in the extremes. We provide conditions…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-04-11 Sven Buhl , Claudia Klüppelberg

We study independent and identically distributed random iterations of continuous maps defined on a connected closed subset $S$ of the Euclidean space $\mathbb{R}^{k}$. We assume the maps are monotone (with respect to a suitable partial…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2020-05-28 Edgar Matias , Eduardo Silva

In this paper, we present the asymptotic distribution of M-estimators for parameters in non-stationary AR(p) processes. The innovations are assumed to be in the domain of attraction of a stable law with index $0<\alpha\le2$. In particular,…

Applications · Statistics 2016-12-13 Maryam Sohrabi , Mahmoud Zarepour

In this article, we explore dynamical aspects of Out-of-Time-Order correlators (OTOCs) for critical quenches, in which an initial non-trivial state evolves with a CFT-Hamiltonian. At sufficiently large time, global critical quenches exhibit…

High Energy Physics - Theory · Physics 2021-08-31 Suchetan Das , Bobby Ezhuthachan , Arnab Kundu , Somnath Porey , Baishali Roy

Isotonic regression is a standard problem in shape-constrained estimation where the goal is to estimate an unknown nondecreasing regression function $f$ from independent pairs $(x_i, y_i)$ where $\mathbb{E}[y_i]=f(x_i), i=1, \ldots n$.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-03-26 Philippe Rigollet , Jonathan Weed

We investigate the joint asymptotic behavior of so-called blocks estimator of the extremal index, that determines the mean length of clusters of extremes, based on the exceedances over different thresholds. Due to the large bias of these…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-07-06 Holger Drees

In this paper we focus on the study of the monotonicity properties of the residual and the past extropy as well as on some characterization problems. We then apply the derived results to analyze further stochastic aspects of order…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-06-24 Mohamed Kayid

Firstly, we invoke the weak convergence (resp. strong convergence) of translated basic methods involving nonexpansive operators to establish the weak convergence (resp. strong convergence) of the associated method with both perturbation and…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-03-29 Hui Ouyang

We consider the convergence of iterative solvers for problems of nonlinear magnetostatics. Using the equivalence to an underlying minimization problem, we can establish global linear convergence of a large class of methods, including the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-03-28 Herbert Egger , Felix Engertsberger , Bogdan Radu