English
Related papers

Related papers: Estimating a monotone trend

200 papers

Consider a sequence of real data points $X_1,\ldots, X_n$ with underlying means $\theta^*_1,\dots,\theta^*_n$. This paper starts from studying the setting that $\theta^*_i$ is both piecewise constant and monotone as a function of the index…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-08-05 Chao Gao , Fang Han , Cun-Hui Zhang

Obtaining guarantees on the convergence of the minimizers of empirical risks to the ones of the true risk is a fundamental matter in statistical learning. Instead of deriving guarantees on the usual estimation error, the goal of this paper…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-09-12 Paul Escande

In this article, we consider flexible seasonal time series models which consist of a common trend function over periods and additive individual trend (seasonal effect) functions. The consistency and asymptotic normality of the local linear…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2014-03-11 Kyong-Hui Kim , Hak-Myong Pak

In this work we introduce a method for estimating entropy rate and entropy production rate from finite symbolic time series. From the point of view of statistics, estimating entropy from a finite series can be interpreted as a problem of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-02-24 Raul Salgado-Garcia , Cesar Maldonado

We propose new nonparametric estimators of the integrated volatility of an It\^{o} semimartingale observed at discrete times on a fixed time interval with mesh of the observation grid shrinking to zero. The proposed estimators achieve the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-05-30 Jean Jacod , Viktor Todorov

We consider the problem of parameter estimation, based on noisy chaotic signals, from the viewpoint of twisted modulation for waveform communication. In particular, we study communication systems where the parameter to be estimated is…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2023-08-02 Neri Merhav

Limit distributions for the greatest convex minorant and its derivative are considered for a general class of stochastic processes including partial sum processes and empirical processes, for independent, weakly dependent and long range…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-08-16 D. Anevski , O. Hössjer

The paper deals with the nonparametric estimation problem at a given fixed point for an autoregressive model with unknown distributed noise. Kernel estimate modifications are proposed. Asymptotic minimax and efficiency properties for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-06-19 Ouerdia Arkoun , Serguei Pergamenchtchikov

In many problems, a sensible estimator of a possibly multivariate monotone function may itself fail to be monotone. We study the correction of such an estimator obtained via projection onto the space of functions monotone over a finite grid…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-09-06 Ted Westling , Mark van der Laan , Marco Carone

We propose two estimators of a monotone spectral density, that are based on the periodogram. These are the isotonic regression of the periodogram and the isotonic regression of the log-periodogram. We derive pointwise limit distribution…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-03-10 Dragi Anevski , Philippe Soulier

This paper studies the asymptotic distribution of a constrained lasso-type estimator for denoising signals defined on the nodes of a graph, where the underlying structure encodes relationships between variables. We show that, under suitable…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-04-24 Vladimir Pastukhov

In this article we consider the nonparametric robust estimation problem for regression models in continuous time with semi-Markov noises observed in discrete time moments. An adaptive model selection procedure is proposed. A sharp…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-05-15 Vlad Stefan Barbu , Slim Beltaief , Serguei Pergamenshchikov

We study the convergence speed of distributed iterative algorithms for the consensus and averaging problems, with emphasis on the latter. We first consider the case of a fixed communication topology. We show that a simple adaptation of a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2011-06-13 Alex Olshevsky , John N. Tsitsiklis

Entropy estimation, due in part to its connection with mutual information, has seen considerable use in the study of time series data including causality detection and information flow. In many cases, the entropy is estimated using…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-08-06 Alexander L Young , David B Dunson

Algorithms for min-max optimization and variational inequalities are often studied under monotonicity assumptions. Motivated by non-monotone machine learning applications, we follow the line of works [Diakonikolas et al., 2021, Lee and Kim,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-07-19 Eduard Gorbunov , Adrien Taylor , Samuel Horváth , Gauthier Gidel

Increasing practical interest has been shown in regression problems where the errors, or disturbances, are centred in a way that reflects particular characteristics of the mechanism that generated the data. In economics this occurs in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-07 Peter Hall , Ingrid Van Keilegom

Regression analysis under the assumption of monotonicity is a well-studied statistical problem and has been used in a wide range of applications. However, there remains a lack of a broadly applicable methodology that permits information…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-05-30 Christian Rohrbeck , Deborah A Costain

Statistical inference for non-stationary data is hindered by the failure of classical central limit theorems (CLTs), not least because there is no fixed Gaussian limit to converge to. To resolve this, we introduce relative weak convergence,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-10-28 Nicolai Palm , Thomas Nagler

When using the bootstrap in the presence of measurement error, we must first estimate the target distribution function; we cannot directly resample, since we do not have a sample from the target. These and other considerations motivate the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-10-28 Peter Hall , Soumendra N. Lahiri

This paper has two main goals: (a) establish several statistical properties---consistency, asymptotic distributions, and convergence rates---of stationary solutions and values of a class of coupled nonconvex and nonsmoothempirical risk…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-10-08 Zhengling Qi , Ying Cui , Yufeng Liu , Jong-Shi Pang