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Financial forecasting is a difficult task due to the intrinsic complexity of the financial system. In the present paper we relate our experience using neural nets as financial time series forecast method. In particular we show that a neural…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2007-05-23 Filippo Castiglione

Neural networks have revolutionized many empirical fields, yet their application to financial time series forecasting remains controversial. In this study, we demonstrate that the conventional practice of estimating models locally in…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-02-21 Chen Liu , Minh-Ngoc Tran , Chao Wang , Richard Gerlach , Robert Kohn

Financial markets are nonlinear with complexity, where different types of assets are traded between buyers and sellers, each having a view to maximize their Return on Investment (ROI). Forecasting market trends is a challenging task since…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2024-11-22 Sahand Hassanizorgabad

In recent years, machine learning and deep learning have become popular methods for financial data analysis, including financial textual data, numerical data, and graphical data. This paper proposes to use sentiment analysis to extract…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-07-27 Yang Li , Yi Pan

Ensemble weather predictions require statistical post-processing of systematic errors to obtain reliable and accurate probabilistic forecasts. Traditionally, this is accomplished with distributional regression models in which the parameters…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-04-01 Stephan Rasp , Sebastian Lerch

Deep Neural Networks (DNNs) have become increasingly popular in computer vision, natural language processing, and other areas. However, training and fine-tuning a deep learning model is computationally intensive and time-consuming. We…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-07-04 Jiayi Liu , Samarth Tripathi , Unmesh Kurup , Mohak Shah

Predicting the price that has the least error and can provide the best and highest accuracy has been one of the most challenging issues and one of the most critical concerns among capital market activists and researchers. Therefore, a model…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-05 Mohammadhossein Rashidi , Mohammad Modarres

Enhancing the robustness and accuracy of time series forecasting models is an active area of research. Recently, Artificial Neural Networks (ANNs) have found extensive applications in many practical forecasting problems. However, the…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2013-02-27 Ratnadip Adhikari , R. K. Agrawal

Recent advancements in the fields of artificial intelligence and machine learning methods resulted in a significant increase of their popularity in the literature, including electricity price forecasting. Said methods cover a very broad…

Applications · Statistics 2020-08-19 Grzegorz Marcjasz , Jesus Lago , Rafał Weron

The paper describes the deep learning approach for forecasting non-stationary time series with using time trend correction in a neural network model. Along with the layers for predicting sales values, the neural network model includes a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-25 Bohdan M. Pavlyshenko

This study explores the use of Recurrent Neural Networks (RNN) for real-time cryptocurrency price prediction and optimized trading strategies. Given the high volatility of the cryptocurrency market, traditional forecasting models often fall…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-11-12 Shamima Nasrin Tumpa , Kehelwala Dewage Gayan Maduranga

Stock price prediction is a rich research topic that has attracted interest from various areas of science. The recent success of machine learning in speech and image recognition has prompted researchers to apply these methods to asset price…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2020-09-22 Firuz Kamalov

Ensemble models are powerful model building tools that are developed with a focus to improve the accuracy of model predictions. They find applications in time series forecasting in varied scenarios including but not limited to process…

Traditional approaches to estimating beta in finance often involve rigid assumptions and fail to adequately capture beta dynamics, limiting their effectiveness in use cases like hedging. To address these limitations, we have developed a…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-10-29 Yuxin Liu , Jimin Lin , Achintya Gopal

This paper will analyze and implement a time series dynamic neural network to predict daily closing stock prices. Neural networks possess unsurpassed abilities in identifying underlying patterns in chaotic, non-linear, and seemingly random…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-06-23 David Noel

Deep neural networks have excelled on a wide range of problems, from vision to language and game playing. Neural networks very gradually incorporate information into weights as they process data, requiring very low learning rates. If the…

Landmark universal function approximation results for neural networks with trained weights and biases provided the impetus for the ubiquitous use of neural networks as learning models in neuroscience and Artificial Intelligence (AI). Recent…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2025-03-25 Ezekiel Williams , Alexandre Payeur , Avery Hee-Woon Ryoo , Thomas Jiralerspong , Matthew G. Perich , Luca Mazzucato , Guillaume Lajoie

We show experimentally that the accuracy of a trained neural network can be predicted surprisingly well by looking only at its weights, without evaluating it on input data. We motivate this task and introduce a formal setting for it. Even…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-04-12 Thomas Unterthiner , Daniel Keysers , Sylvain Gelly , Olivier Bousquet , Ilya Tolstikhin

Deep neural networks (DNNs) are powerful types of artificial neural networks (ANNs) that use several hidden layers. They have recently gained considerable attention in the speech transcription and image recognition community (Krizhevsky et…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-06-15 Matthew Dixon , Diego Klabjan , Jin Hoon Bang

In the modern power market, electricity trading is an extremely competitive industry. More accurate price forecast is crucial to help electricity producers and traders make better decisions. In this paper, a novel method of convolutional…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-03-17 Hsu-Yung Cheng , Ping-Huan Kuo , Yamin Shen , Chiou-Jye Huang
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