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Related papers: Copulas for Markovian dependence

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There exist many bivariate parametric copulas to model bivariate data with different dependence features. We propose a new bivariate parametric copula family that cannot only handle various dependence patterns that appear in the existing…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-06-30 Aristidis K. Nikoloulopoulos

We study the weak convergence of conditional empirical copula processes, when the conditioning event has a nonzero probability. The validity of several bootstrap schemes is stated, including the exchangeable bootstrap. We define general -…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-08-24 Alexis Derumigny , Jean-David Fermanian

In this paper we continue the study of conditional Markov chains (CMCs) with finite state spaces, that we initiated in Bielecki, Jakubowski and Niew\k{e}g\l owski (2015). Here, we turn our attention to the study of Markov consistency and…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-12-01 Tomasz R. Bielecki , Jacek Jakubowski , Mariusz Niewęgłowski

When modeling multivariate phenomena, properly capturing the joint extremal behavior is often one of the many concerns. Archimax copulas appear as successful candidates in case of asymptotic dependence. In this paper, the class of Archimax…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-01-23 Simon Chatelain , Samuel Perreault , Johanna G. Nešlehová , Anne-Laure Fougères

There is a well-established theory linking certain semi-Markov chains and continuous-time random walks to time-fractional equations and anomalous diffusion. In this work, we go beyond the semi-Markov framework by considering some…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-27 Lorenzo Facciaroni , Costantino Ricciuti , Enrico Scalas

We propose a new copula model that can be used with replicated spatial data. Unlike the multivariate normal copula, the proposed copula is based on the assumption that a common factor exists and affects the joint dependence of all…

Applications · Statistics 2016-12-08 Pavel Krupskii , Raphael Huser , Marc G. Genton

A new class of bivariate distributions is introduced that extends the Generalized Marshall-Olkin distributions of Li and Pellerey (2011). Their dependence structure is studied through the analysis of the copula functions that they induce.…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-02-13 Sabrina Mulinacci

We demonstrate how the uncertainty of parameter point estimates can be assessed in a maximum likelihood framework in order to prevent overfitting and erroneous detection of time-inhomogeneity. The class of models we consider are regular…

Computation · Statistics 2012-05-23 Jakob Stöber , Ulf Schepsmeier

Several collective risk models have recently been proposed by relaxing the widely used but controversial assumption of independence between claim frequency and severity. Approaches include the bivariate copula model, random effect model,…

Applications · Statistics 2019-06-11 Rosy Oh , Jae Youn Ahn , Woojoo Lee

We study stochastic ordering of system lifetimes with dependent and heterogeneous components whose marginal distributions are obtained through transformations of a common baseline. The dependence structure is modeled via Archimedean…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-30 Idir Arab , Milto Hadjikyriakou , Paulo Eduardo Oliveira

Simultaneous recordings from many neurons hide important information and the connections characterizing the network remain generally undiscovered despite the progresses of statistical and machine learning techniques. Discerning the presence…

Applications · Statistics 2019-03-21 Pietro Verzelli , Laura Sacerdote

Although copulas are used and defined for various infinite-dimensional objects (e.g. Gaussian processes and Markov processes), there is no prevalent notion of a copula that unifies these concepts. We propose a unified approach and define…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-12-23 Fred Espen Benth , Giulia Di Nunno , Dennis Schroers

In probability and statistics, copulas play important roles theoretically as well as to address a wide range of problems in various application areas. We introduce the concept of multivariate discrete copulas, discuss their equivalence to…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-12-18 Roman Schefzik

All too often measuring statistical dependencies between financial time series is reduced to a linear correlation coefficient. However this may not capture all facets of reality. We study empirical dependencies of daily stock returns by…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-09-01 Marcel Wollschläger , Rudi Schäfer

This paper proposes a novel multivariate time series model named Copula-linked univariate D-vines (CuDvine), which enables the simultaneous copula-based modeling of both temporal and cross-sectional dependence for multivariate time series.…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-12-02 Zifeng Zhao , Peng Shi , Zhengjun Zhang

Over the last couple of decades, several copula based methods have been proposed in the literature to test for the independence among several random variables. But these existing tests are not invariant under monotone transformations of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-11-15 Angshuman Roy , Anil Ghosh , Alok Goswami , C. A. Murthy

Learning the joint dependence of discrete variables is a fundamental problem in machine learning, with many applications including prediction, clustering and dimensionality reduction. More recently, the framework of copula modeling has…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2013-11-15 Alfredo Kalaitzis , Ricardo Silva

The concept of intermediate tail dependence is useful if one wants to quantify the degree of positive dependence in the tails when there is no strong evidence of presence of the usual tail dependence. We first review existing studies on…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-12-05 Lei Hua , Harry Joe

Imprecise continuous-time Markov chains are a robust type of continuous-time Markov chains that allow for partially specified time-dependent parameters. Computing inferences for them requires the solution of a non-linear differential…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-10-11 Alexander Erreygers , Jasper De Bock

The class of index-mixed copulas is introduced and its properties are investigated. Index-mixed copulas are constructed from given base copulas and a random index vector, and show a rather remarkable degree of analytical tractability. The…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-08-10 Klaus Herrmann , Marius Hofert , Nahid Sadr