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Random walks on expanders play a crucial role in Markov Chain Monte Carlo algorithms, derandomization, graph theory, and distributed computing. A desirable property is that they are rapidly mixing, which is equivalent to having a spectral…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-12-18 Sam Olesker-Taylor , Thomas Sauerwald , John Sylvester

Gaussian graphical model selection is usually studied under independent sampling, but in many applications observations arise from dependent dynamics. We study structure learning when the data consist of a single trajectory of Gaussian…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-13 Vignesh Tirukkonda , Anirudh Rayas , Gautam Dasarathy

Although the community structure organization is one of the most important characteristics of real-world networks, the traditional network models fail to reproduce the feature. Therefore, the models are useless as benchmark graphs for…

Physics and Society · Physics 2014-04-08 Piotr Fronczak , Agata Fronczak , Maksymilian Bujok

We give a near-linear time sampler for the Gibbs distribution of the ferromagnetic Ising models with edge activities $\boldsymbol{\beta} > 1$ and external fields $\boldsymbol{\lambda}<1$ (or symmetrically, $\boldsymbol{\lambda}>1$) on…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-08-21 Xiaoyu Chen , Xinyuan Zhang

Exponential random graph models have attracted significant research attention over the past decades. These models are maximum-entropy ensembles under the constraints that the expected values of a set of graph observables are equal to given…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-10-30 Konstantin Zuev , Or Eisenberg , Dmitri Krioukov

For $\Delta \ge 5$ and $q$ large as a function of $\Delta$, we give a detailed picture of the phase transition of the random cluster model on random $\Delta$-regular graphs. In particular, we determine the limiting distribution of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-09-16 Tyler Helmuth , Matthew Jenssen , Will Perkins

In the evolving voter model, when an individual interacts with a neighbor having an opinion different from theirs, they will with probability $1-\alpha$ imitate the neighbor but with probability $ \alpha$ will sever the connection and…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-06-28 Anirban Basak , Rick Durrett , Yuan Zhang

In this paper, we consider the Ising model on random $d$-regular graphs (with $d\ge3$) and Erd\"os-R\'enyi graphs $G(n,d/n)$ (with $d>1$) at the critical temperature. We prove that the \textit{magnetization}, i.e.\ the sum of the spins of a…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-31 Kyprianos-Iason Prodromidis , Allan Sly

Let $\gS=(V,E)$ be a finite, $d$-regular bipartite graph. For any $\lambda>0$ let $\pi_\lambda$ be the probability measure on the independent sets of $\gS$ in which the set $I$ is chosen with probability proportional to $\lambda^{|I|}$…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2012-06-15 David Galvin , Prasad Tetali

We develop Markov chain mixing time estimates for a class of Markov chains with restricted transitions. We assume transitions may occur along a cycle of $n$ nodes and on $n^\gamma$ additional edges, where $\gamma < 1$. We find that the…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-06-26 Balázs Gerencsér

We discuss how maximum entropy methods may be applied to the reconstruction of Markov processes underlying empirical time series and compare this approach to usual frequency sampling. It is shown that, at least in low dimension, there…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2015-06-23 Gregor Chliamovitch , Alexandre Dupuis , Bastien Chopard , Anton Golub

Energy-based models for discrete domains, such as graphs, explicitly capture relative likelihoods, naturally enabling composable probabilistic inference tasks like conditional generation or enforcing constraints at test-time. However,…

Switching dynamical systems are an expressive model class for the analysis of time-series data. As in many fields within the natural and engineering sciences, the systems under study typically evolve continuously in time, it is natural to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-19 Lukas Köhs , Bastian Alt , Heinz Koeppl

Entropy estimation, due in part to its connection with mutual information, has seen considerable use in the study of time series data including causality detection and information flow. In many cases, the entropy is estimated using…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-08-06 Alexander L Young , David B Dunson

The random-cluster model is a unifying framework for studying random graphs, spin systems and electrical networks that plays a fundamental role in designing efficient Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) sampling algorithms for the classical…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-08-30 Antonio Blanca , Alistair Sinclair , Xusheng Zhang

We study the Glauber dynamics of Ising spin models with random bonds, on finitely connected random graphs. We generalize a recent dynamical replica theory with which to predict the evolution of the joint spin-field distribution, to include…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2015-05-13 A. Mozeika , A. C. C. Coolen

Extreme temperature events have traditionally been detected assuming a unimodal distribution of temperature data. We found that surface temperature data can be described more accurately with a multimodal rather than a unimodal distribution.…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-09-14 Aytaç Paçal , Birgit Hassler , Katja Weigel , M. Levent Kurnaz , Michael F. Wehner , Veronika Eyring

Exponential random graph theory is the complex network analog of the canonical ensemble theory from statistical physics. While it has been particularly successful in modeling networks with specified degree distributions, a naive model of a…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2016-01-12 Juyong Park , Soon-Hyung Yook

Random graph mixture models are now very popular for modeling real data networks. In these setups, parameter estimation procedures usually rely on variational approximations, either combined with the expectation-maximisation (\textsc{em})…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-12-09 Christophe Ambroise , Catherine Matias

Restricted Boltzmann Machines are a class of undirected graphical models that play a key role in deep learning and unsupervised learning. In this study, we prove a phase transition phenomenon in the mixing time of the Gibbs sampler for a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-14 Youngwoo Kwon , Qian Qin , Guanyang Wang , Yuchen Wei
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