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How the neutral diversity is affected by selection and adaptation is investigated in an eco-evolutionary framework. In our model, we study a finite population in continuous time, where each individual is characterized by a trait under…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-08-15 Sylvain Billiard , Regis Ferriere , Sylvie Méléard , Viet Chi Tran

We explore the connection between evolution and large-deviation theory. To do so, we study evolutionary dynamics in which individuals experience mutations, reproduction, and selection using variants of the Moran model. We show that, in the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2026-01-09 Sara Dal Cengio , Quentin Laurenceau , Vivien Lecomte , Charline Smadi , Julien Tailleur

Multitype branching processes are ideal for studying the population dynamics of stem cell populations undergoing mutation accumulation over the years following transplant. In such stochastic models, several quantities are of clinical…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-11-17 Timothy C Stutz , Janet S. Sinsheimer , Mary Sehl , Jason Xu

We develop a continuous mathematical model of population dynamics that describes the sequential emergence of new genotypes under limited resources. The framework models genotype density as a nonlinear flow in mutation space, combining…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-12-10 Alexander Bratus , Tatiana Yakushkina , Vladimir Posvyanski

We consider the evolution of large but finite populations on arbitrary fitness landscapes. We describe the evolutionary process by a Markov, Moran process. We show that to $\mathcal O(1/N)$, the time-averaged fitness is lower for the finite…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-06-04 Dirk M. Lorenz , Jeong-Man Park , Michael W. Deem

We study a density-dependent Markov jump process describing a population where each individual is characterized by a type, and reproduces at rates depending both on its type and on the population type distribution. We are interested in the…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-26 Madeleine Kubasch

A model for the evolution of a finite population in a rugged fitness landscape is introduced and solved. The population is trapped in an evolutionary loop, alternating periods of stasis to periods in which it performs adaptive walks. The…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2009-10-31 Luca Peliti

We study the long time behavior of a parabolic Lotka-Volterra type equation considering a time-periodic growth rate with non-local competition. Such equation describes the dynamics of a phenotypically struc-tured population under the effect…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2019-04-22 Susely Figueroa Iglesias , Sepideh Mirrahimi

The expansion of a population into new habitat is a transient process that leaves its footprints in the genetic composition of the expanding population. How the structure of the environment shapes the population front and the evolutionary…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2018-11-26 Daniel A. Beller , Kim M. J. Alards , Francesca Tesser , Ricardo A. Mosna , Federico Toschi , Wolfram Möbius

The interplay between space and evolution is an important issue in population dynamics, that is in particular crucial in the emergence of polymorphism and spatial patterns. Recently, biological studies suggest that invasion and evolution…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-08-16 Nicolas Champagnat , Sylvie Méléard

We consider a stochastic individual-based model for the evolution of a haploid, asexually reproducing population. The space of possible traits is given by the vertices of a (possibly directed) finite graph $G=(V,E)$. The evolution of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-03-10 Loren Coquille , Anna Kraut , Charline Smadi

We consider a stochastic individual-based model of adaptive dynamics on a finite trait graph $G=(V,E)$. The evolution is driven by a linear birth rate, a density dependent logistic death rate an the possibility of mutations along the…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-04-08 Manuel Esser , Anna Kraut

We model evolution according to an asymmetric game as occurring in multiple finite populations, one for each role in the game, and study the effect of subjecting individuals to stochastic strategy mutations. We show that, when these…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-12-22 Carl Veller , Laura K. Hayward

Stochastic models of sequential mutation acquisition are widely used to quantify cancer and bacterial evolution. Across manifold scenarios, recurrent research questions are: how many cells are there with $n$ alterations, and how long will…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-07-07 Michael D. Nicholson , David Cheek , Tibor Antal

Recurrent mutations are a common phenomenon in population genetics. They may be at the origin of the fixation of a new genotype, if they give a phenotypic advantage to the carriers of the new mutation. In this paper, we are interested in…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-11-28 Charline Smadi

We consider Markov jump processes describing structured populations with interactions via density dependance. We propose a Markov construction with a distinguished individual which allows to describe the random tree and random sample at a…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-07-20 Vincent Bansaye

A discrete time branching process where the offspring distribution is generation-dependent, and the number of reproductive individuals is controlled by a random mechanism is considered. This model is a Markov chain but, in general, the…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-01-30 Miguel González , Carmen Minuesa , Manuel Mota , Inés del Puerto , Alfonso Ramos

We examine the feasibility of predicting and subsequently managing the future evolution of a Complex Adaptive System. Our archetypal system mimics a competitive population of mechanical, biological, informational or human objects. We show…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2007-05-23 David M. D. Smith , Neil F. Johnson

We introduce and analyze a purely competitive dynamics for the evolution of an infinite population subject to a 3-strategy game. We argue that this dynamics represents a characterization of how certain systems, both natural and artificial,…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2012-12-12 Carl Veller , Vinesh Rajpaul

We investigate the evolutionary dynamics of a population structured in phenotype, subjected to trait dependent selection with a linearly moving optimum and an asexual mode of reproduction. Our model consists of a non-local and non-linear…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2021-12-09 Raphaël Forien , Jimmy Garnier , Florian Patout