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We present a robust method which translates information on the speed of coming down from infinity of a genealogical tree into sampling formulae for the underlying population. We apply these results to population dynamics where the genealogy…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-02-01 Julien Berestycki , Nathanael Berestycki , Vlada Limic

This paper is concerned with contact process with random vertex weights on regular trees, and study the asymptotic behavior of the critical infection rate as the degree of the trees increasing to infinity. In this model, the infection…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-03-08 Yu Pan , Dayue Chen , Xiaofeng Xue

Fires in the one-dimensional Bak-Chen-Tang forest fire model propagate as solitons, resembling shocks in Burgers turbulence. The branching of solitons, creating new fires, is balanced by the pair-wise annihilation of oppositely moving…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 Per Bak , Kan Chen , Maya Paczuski

The asymptotic behavior, as $n\rightarrow \infty $ of the probability of the event that a decomposable critical branching process $\mathbf{Z}(m)=(Z_{1}(m),...,Z_{N}(m)),$ $m=0,1,2,...,$ with $N$ types of particles dies at moment $n$ is…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-04-21 Vladimir Vatutin , Elena Dyakonova

We provide information about the asymptotic regimes for a homogeneous fragmentation of a finite set. We establish a phase transition for the asymptotic behaviours of the shattering times, defined as the first instants when all the blocks of…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-05-22 Adrien Joseph

Random Forests are one of the most popular classifiers in machine learning. The larger they are, the more precise is the outcome of their predictions. However, this comes at a cost: their running time for classification grows linearly with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-12-24 Frederik Gossen , Bernhard Steffen

We consider a random process on recursive trees, with three types of events. Vertices give birth at a constant rate (growth), each edge may be removed independently (fragmentation of the tree) and clusters (or trees) are frozen with a rate…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-09-07 Vincent Bansaye , Chenlin Gu , Linglong Yuan

We modify the rules of the self-organized critical forest-fire model in one dimension by allowing the fire to jump over holes of $\le k$ sites. An analytic calculation shows that not only the size distribution of forest clusters but also…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2015-06-25 Barbara Drossel , Siegfried Clar , Franz Schwabl

We present a general stochastic forest-fire model which shows a variety of different structures depending on the parameter values. The model contains three possible states per site (tree, burning tree, empty site) and three parameters (tree…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-10-22 B. Drossel , F. Schwabl

We consider random dynamics on a uniform random recursive tree with $n$ vertices. Successively, in a uniform random order, each edge is either set on fire with some probability $p_n$ or fireproof with probability $1-p_n$. Fires propagate in…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-02-17 Cyril Marzouk

We study invariant percolation processes on the d-regular tree that are obtained as a factor of an iid process. We show that the density of any factor of iid site percolation process with finite clusters is asymptotically at most (log d)/d…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-11-05 Mustazee Rahman

We study fragmentation of a random recursive tree into a forest by repeated removal of nodes. The initial tree consists of N nodes and it is generated by sequential addition of nodes with each new node attaching to a randomly-selected…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2014-12-25 Z. Kalay , E. Ben-Naim

Forest fires pose a natural threat with devastating social, environmental, and economic implications. The rapid and highly uncertain rate of spread of wildfires necessitates a trustworthy digital tool capable of providing real-time…

A geometric model for the computation of the firefront of a forest wildfire which takes into account several effects (possibly time-dependent wind, anisotropies and slope of the ground) is introduced. It relies on a general theoretical…

Differential Geometry · Mathematics 2024-08-07 Miguel Ángel Javaloyes , Enrique Pendás-Recondo , Miguel Sánchez

We present results on a stochastic forest fire model, where the influence of the neighbour trees is treated in a more realistic way than usual and the definition of neighbourhood can be tuned by an additional parameter. This model exhibits…

Cellular Automata and Lattice Gases · Physics 2015-05-13 Klaus Lichtenegger , Wilhelm Schappacher

In this paper we study asymptotic properties of random forests within the framework of nonlinear time series modeling. While random forests have been successfully applied in various fields, the theoretical justification has not been…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-08-07 Richard A. Davis , Mikkel S. Nielsen

We present the analytic solution of the self-organized critical (SOC) forest-fire model in one dimension proving SOC in systems without conservation laws by analytic means. Under the condition that the system is in the steady state and very…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-10-22 Barbara Drossel , Siegfried Clar , Franz Schwabl

Random forests are a machine learning method used to automatically classify datasets and consist of a multitude of decision trees. While these random forests often have higher performance and generalize better than a single decision tree,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-31 Max Sondag , Christofer Meinecke , Dennis Collaris , Tatiana von Landesberger , Stef van den Elzen

We propose a discrete two-dimensional mathematical model for forest fires and we derive certain results describing its limiting behavior. We also pose a relevant open question.

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-21 Vassilis G. Papanicolaou

Forest fire models may be interpreted as a simple model for earthquake occurrence by translating trees and fire into stressed segments of a fault and their rupture, respectively. Here we adopt a twodimensional forest-fire model in…

Geophysics · Physics 2015-12-17 Tetsuya Mitsudo , Takahiro Hatano , Naoyuki Kato