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The Master equation describes the time evolution of the probabilities of a system with a discrete state space. This time evolution approaches for long times a stationary state that will in general depend on the initial probability…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2022-03-09 Bernd Fernengel , Barbara Drossel

We propose a generalization of classical statistical mechanics which describes the behavior of dissipative systems placed in contact with a heat bath. In contrast to conventional statistical mechanics, which assigns probabilities to the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 M. Koslowski , M. Ortiz

A two-state master equation based decision making model has been shown to generate phase transitions, to be topologically complex and to manifest temporal complexity through an inverse power-law probability distribution function in the…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2015-06-22 Bruce J. West , Malgorzata Turalska , Paolo Grigolini

We describe an exact approach for calculating transition probabilities and waiting times in finite-state discrete-time Markov processes. All the states and the rules for transitions between them must be known in advance. We can then…

Other Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-11-11 Semen A. Trygubenko , David J. Wales

We introduce a path sampling method for obtaining statistical properties of an arbitrary stochastic dynamics. The method works by decomposing a trajectory in time, estimating the probability of satisfying a progress constraint, modifying…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-04 Nicholas Guttenberg , Aaron R. Dinner , Jonathan Weare

Trajectory prediction is a fundamental and challenging task for numerous applications, such as autonomous driving and intelligent robots. Currently, most of existing work treat the pedestrian trajectory as a series of fixed two-dimensional…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-03-17 Pei Lv , Hui Wei , Tianxin Gu , Yuzhen Zhang , Xiaoheng Jiang , Bing Zhou , Mingliang Xu

The generalized master equation or the equivalent continuous time random walk equations can be used to compute the macroscopic first passage time distribution (FPTD) of a complex stochastic system from short-term microscopic simulation…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2009-11-11 David Shalloway , Anton Faradjian

It is well established that gene expression can be modeled as a Markovian stochastic process and hence proper observables might be subjected to large fluctuations and rare events. Since dynamics is often more than statics, one can work with…

Biological Physics · Physics 2019-09-11 Pegah Torkaman , Farhad H. Jafarpour

Transition path theory computes statistics from ensembles of reactive trajectories. A common strategy for sampling reactive trajectories is to control the branching and pruning of trajectories so as to enhance the sampling of low…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-08-10 Bodhi P. Vani , Jonathan Weare , Aaron R. Dinner

Master equations are common descriptions of mesoscopic systems. Analytical solutions to these equations can rarely be obtained. We here derive an analytical approximation of the time-dependent probability distribution of the master equation…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-10-05 Philipp Thomas , Ramon Grima

For a transition between two stable states, the committor is the probability that the dynamics leads to one stable state before the other. It can be estimated from trajectory data by minimizing an expression for the transition rate that…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-12-09 Chatipat Lorpaiboon , Jonathan Weare , Aaron R. Dinner

We study the stochastic motion of active particles that undergo spontaneous transitions between two distinct modes of motion. Each mode is characterized by a velocity distribution and an arbitrary (anti-)persistence. We present an…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-07-07 M. Reza Shaebani , Heiko Rieger , Zeinab Sadjadi

An analytical formula for the occurence probability of Markovian stochastic paths with repeatedly visited and/or equal departure rates is derived. This formula is essential for an efficient investigation of the trajectories belonging to…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 Dirk Helbing , Rolf Molini

This paper presents and derives the interrelations between survival analysis and master equation. Survival analysis deals with modeling the transitions between succeeding states of a system in terms of hazard rates. Questions related with…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Dirk Helbing

We present an efficient approach, based on a number-conditioned master equation, for large-deviation analysis in mesoscopic transports. Beyond the conventional full-counting-statistics study, the large-deviation approach encodes complete…

Mesoscale and Nanoscale Physics · Physics 2011-09-30 Jun Li , Yu Liu , Jing Ping , Shu-Shen Li , Xin-Qi Li , YiJing Yan

Transition Path Theory (TPT) provides a rigorous statistical characterization of the ensemble of trajectories connecting directly, i.e., without detours, two disconnected (sets of) states in a Markov chain, a stochastic process that…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-06-28 G. Bonner , F. J. Beron-Vera , M. J. Olascoaga

In numerical studies of diffusive dynamics, two different action functionals are often used to specify the probability distribution of trajectories, one of which requiring the evaluation of the second derivative of the potential in addition…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-10-28 Artur B. Adib

Computing the distribution of trajectories from a Gaussian Process model of a dynamical system is an important challenge in utilizing such models. Motivated by the computational cost of sampling-based approaches, we consider approximations…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-05-16 Steffen Ridderbusch , Sina Ober-Blöbaum , Paul Goulart

Multi-state models are frequently applied for representing processes evolving through a discrete set of state. Important classes of multi-state models arise when transitions between states may depend on the time since entry into the current…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-02-28 Rosario Barone , Andrea Tancredi

The probabilistic description of the time evolution of a physical system can take two conceptually distinct forms: a trajectory of probabilities, which specifies how probabilities evolve over time, and a probability on trajectories, which…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2026-03-02 Győző Egri , Marton Gomori , Balazs Gyenis , Gábor Hofer-Szabó
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