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A series of novel filters for probabilistic inference that propose an alternative way of performing Bayesian updates, called particle flow filters, have been attracting recent interest. These filters provide approximate solutions to…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-03-24 Flávio Eler De Melo , Simon Maskell , Matteo Fasiolo , Fred Daum

Bagging (i.e., bootstrap aggregating) involves combining an ensemble of bootstrap estimators. We consider bagging for inference from noisy or incomplete measurements on a collection of interacting stochastic dynamic systems. Each system is…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-12-08 Edward L. Ionides , Kidus Asfaw , Joonha Park , Aaron A. King

In the matter of selection of sample time points for the estimation of the power spectral density of a continuous time stationary stochastic process, irregular sampling schemes such as Poisson sampling are often preferred over regular…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-07-19 Radhendushka Srivastava , Debasis Sengupta

We consider the combined use of resampling and partial rejection control in sequential Monte Carlo methods, also known as particle filters. While the variance reducing properties of rejection control are known, there has not been (to the…

Computation · Statistics 2020-03-05 Jan Kudlicka , Lawrence M. Murray , Thomas B. Schön , Fredrik Lindsten

Particle filters (PFs), which are successful methods for approximating the solution of the filtering problem, can be divided into two types: weighted and unweighted PFs. It is well known that weighted PFs suffer from the weight degeneracy…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-03-15 Ehsan Abedi , Simone Carlo Surace , Jean-Pascal Pfister

The nonlinear filter associated with the discrete time signal-observation model $(X_k,Y_k)$ is known to forget its initial condition as $k\to\infty$ regardless of the observation structure when the signal possesses sufficiently strong…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-11-15 Ramon van Handel

Research on time crystals concerns the spontaneous breaking of translational symmetry in time, as well as the realization of phenomena and phases known from solid-state physics in the time domain. Periodically driven systems of massive…

Optics · Physics 2025-01-24 Majid Yazdani-Kachoei , Krzysztof Sacha , Boris A. Malomed

We consider the problem of designing efficient particle filters for twisted Feynman--Kac models. Particle filters using twisted models can deliver low error approximations of statistical quantities and such twisting functions can be learnt…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-08-09 Joshua J Bon , Christopher Drovandi , Anthony Lee

We consider penalized extremum estimation of a high-dimensional, possibly nonlinear model that is sparse in the sense that most of its parameters are zero but some are not. We use the SCAD penalty function, which provides model selection…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-02-23 Joel L. Horowitz , Ahnaf Rafi

We consider the long time behavior of heterogeneously interacting diffusive particle systems and their large population limit. The interaction is of mean field type with weights characterized by an underlying graphon. The limit is given by…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-04-06 Erhan Bayraktar , Ruoyu Wu

The problem is target motion analysis (TMA), where the objective is to estimate the state of a moving target from noise corrupted bearings-only measurements. The focus is on recursive TMA, traditionally solved using the Bayesian filters…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2018-06-04 Branko Ristic , Jeremie Houssineau , Sanjeev Arulampalam

We apply the recently developed adaptive ensemble optimization technique to simulate dense Lennard-Jones fluids and a particle-solvent model by broad-histogram Monte Carlo techniques. Equilibration of the simulated fluid is improved by…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Simon Trebst , Emanuel Gull , Matthias Troyer

In the following article we consider the numerical approximation of the non-linear filter in continuous-time, where the observations and signal follow diffusion processes. Given access to high-frequency, but discrete-time observations, we…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-06-11 Ajay Jasra , Fangyuan Yu , Jeremy Heng

Particle filters are broadly used to approximate posterior distributions of hidden states in state-space models by means of sets of weighted particles. While the convergence of the filter is guaranteed when the number of particles tends to…

Computation · Statistics 2017-11-01 Víctor Elvira , Joaquín Míguez , Petar M. Djurić

Particle filters (PFs) are recursive Monte Carlo algorithms for Bayesian tracking and prediction in state space models. This paper addresses continuous-discrete filtering problems, where the hidden state evolves as an It\^o stochastic…

Computation · Statistics 2026-04-24 Utku Erdogan , Gabriel J. Lord , Joaquin Miguez

This is a short review of Monte Carlo methods for approximating filter distributions in state space models. The basic algorithm and different strategies to reduce imbalance of the weights are discussed. Finally, methods for more difficult…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-10-01 Hans R. Künsch

Recently Han and Heary proposed an approach to steady-state quantum transport through mesoscopic structures, which maps the non-equilibrium problem onto a family of auxiliary quantum impurity systems subject to imaginary voltages. We employ…

Strongly Correlated Electrons · Physics 2012-05-07 Andreas Dirks , Philipp Werner , Mark Jarrell , Thomas Pruschke

We study structural phase transition of polymer-grafted colloidal particles by Monte Carlo simulations on hard spherical particles. The interaction potential, which has a weak repulsive step outside the hard core, was validated with use of…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2007-05-23 Yuki Norizoe , Toshihiro Kawakatsu

When underlying probability density functions of nonlinear dynamic systems are unknown, the filtering problem is known to be a challenging problem. This paper attempts to make progress on this problem by proposing a new class of filtering…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-06-17 Zhiguo Wang , Xiaojing Shen , Yunmin Zhu , Jianxin Pan

Various particle filters have been proposed over the last couple of decades with the common feature that the update step is governed by a type of control law. This feature makes them an attractive alternative to traditional sequential Monte…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-11-18 Sahani Pathiraja , Sebastian Reich , Wilhelm Stannat