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The article first describes characteristics of major infrastructure projects. Second, it documents a much neglected topic in economics: that ex ante estimates of costs and benefits are often very different from actual ex post costs and…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2013-03-27 Bent Flyvbjerg

Rationality is frequently associated with making the best possible decisions. It's widely acknowledged that humans, as rational beings, have limitations in their decision-making capabilities. Nevertheless, recent advancements in fields,…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2023-11-03 Dibakar Das

Automated decision systems are increasingly used for consequential decision making -- for a variety of reasons. These systems often rely on sophisticated yet opaque models, which do not (or hardly) allow for understanding how or why a given…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-03-09 Jakob Schoeffer , Yvette Machowski , Niklas Kuehl

A modern version of Monetary Circuit Theory with a particular emphasis on stochastic underpinning mechanisms is developed. It is explained how money is created by the banking system as a whole and by individual banks. The role of central…

Economics · Quantitative Finance 2015-10-27 Alexander Lipton

Rationality is often related to optimal decision making. Humans are known to be bounded rational agents. However, recent advances in computing, and other scientific and technical fields along with large amount of data have led to a feeling…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2023-06-21 Dibakar Das

The proposed framework introduces a novel multidimensional representation of money using tensor analysis, enabling a more granular examination of economic interactions and capital flow. By treating money as a multidimensional entity, this…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-04-10 Mario R. Pinheiro , Mario J. Pinheiro

Artificial intelligence (AI) can undermine financial stability because of malicious use, misinformation, misalignment, and the AI analytics market structure. The low frequency and uniqueness of financial crises, coupled with mutable and…

General Economics · Economics 2024-06-07 Jon Danielsson , Andreas Uthemann

The standard criterion of rationality in economics is the maximization of a utility function that is stable across multiple observations of an agent's choice behavior. In this paper, we discuss two notions of the money pump that…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2024-04-09 Joshua Lanier , Matthew Polisson , John K. -H. Quah

In the current environment of financial distress, many governments are likely to soon become major holders of financial assets, but the policy debate focuses only on the likelihood and extent of short-term market stabilization. This paper…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-09-08 Philip Maymin

In this chapter the complex systems are discussed in the context of economic and business policy and decision making. It will be showed and motivated that social systems are typically chaotic, non-linear and/or non-equilibrium and therefore…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-03-20 Robert Kitt

Travel speed is an intrinsic feature of transport, and enlarging the speed is considered as beneficial. The benefit of a speed increase is generally assessed as the value of the saved travel time. However, this approach conflicts with the…

General Economics · Economics 2021-06-15 Cornelis Dirk van Goeverden

The nature of monetary arrangements is often discussed without any reference to its detailed construction. We present a graph representation that allows for a clear understanding of modern monetary systems. First, we show that systems based…

Economics · Quantitative Finance 2018-02-01 Cyril Pitrou

Time is one of those issues about which many thinkers and scientists have tried to pronounce their finest thoughts, but the discourse about time has remained vague and often inconsistent. In this paper we put forward a conceptual framework…

History and Philosophy of Physics · Physics 2014-05-07 Mario Radovan

Although many investigators affirm a desire to build reasoning systems that behave consistently with the axiomatic basis defined by probability theory and utility theory, limited resources for engineering and computation can make a complete…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-04-11 Eric J. Horvitz

There is, among the economist ecosystem, the idea of virtuous public spending as a form of promotion of economic growth. If we think on the way GDP is measured, it is not possible to get that conclusion because it becomes circular:…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-02-06 João P. da Cruz

Poor economies not only produce less; they typically produce things that involve fewer inputs and fewer intermediate steps. Yet the supply chains of poor countries face more frequent disruptions---delivery failures, faulty parts, delays,…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-09-05 Charles D. Brummitt , Kenan Huremovic , Paolo Pin , Matthew H. Bonds , Fernando Vega-Redondo

The aim of this paper is to reemphasize the money theory of exchange which is centered on the function of exchange medium of money, and make a contribution towards linearization of the quantity equation of exchange. A dynamical quantity…

Economics · Quantitative Finance 2020-04-28 Zhao Jianglin

We present a simplistic model of the competition between different currencies. Each individual is free to choose the currency that minimizes his transaction costs, which arise whenever his exchanging relations have chosen a different…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-03-14 Alex Lamarche-Perrin , André Orléan , Pablo Jensen

Wealth inequality is an important matter for economic theory and policy. Ongoing debates have been discussing recent rise in wealth inequality in connection with recent development of active financial markets around the world. Existing…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-09-27 Yuri Biondi , Stefano Olla

I study the limit of a large random economy, where a set of consumers invests in financial instruments engineered by banks, in order to optimize their future consumption. This exercise shows that, even in the ideal case of perfect…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2009-06-09 Matteo Marsili