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We consider a bivariate diffusion process and we study the first passage time of one component through a boundary. We prove that its probability density is the unique solution of a new integral equation and we propose a numerical algorithm…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-05-16 Elisa Benedetto , Laura Sacerdote , Cristina Zucca

Consider a one dimensional diffusion process on the diffusion interval $I$ originated in $x_0\in I$. Let $a(t)$ and $b(t)$ be two continuous functions of $t$, $t>t_0$ with bounded derivatives and with $a(t)<b(t)$ and $a(t),b(t)\in I$,…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-03-10 Laura Sacerdote , Ottavia Telve , Cristina Zucca

We provide sharp Large Deviation estimates for the probability of exit from a domain for the bridge of a $d$-dimensional general diffusion process $X$, as the conditioning time tends to $0$. This kind of results is motivated by applications…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-09-23 Paolo Baldi , Lucia Caramellino , Maurizia Rossi

Barrier crossing is a widespread phenomenon across natural and engineering systems. While an abundant cross-disciplinary literature on the topic has emerged over the years, the stochastic underpinnings of the process are yet to be linked…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-12-19 Toby Kay , Luca Giuggioli

We calculate crossing probabilities and one-sided last exit time densities for a class of moving barriers on an interval $[0,T]$ via Schwartz distributions. We derive crossing probabilities and first hitting time densities for another class…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-08-28 Nabil Kahale

In this paper, we develop a Monte Carlo based algorithm for estimating the FPT density of a time-homogeneous SDE through a time-dependent frontier. We consider Brownian bridges as well as localized Daniels curve approximations to obtain…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-07-02 Imene Allab , Francois Watier

A new solution to the mono-dimensional diffusion equation for time-variable first kind boundary condition is presented where the time-variable function at the surface is derived proposing a surface saturation model. This solution may be…

Materials Science · Physics 2022-12-08 Guglielmo Macrelli

Firstly, we compute the distribution function for the hitting time of a linear time-dependent boundary $t\mapsto a+bt,\ a\geq 0,\,b\in \R,$ by a reflecting Brownian motion. The main tool hereby is Doob's formula which gives the probability…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-12-10 Paavo Salminen , Marc Yor

The purpose of this paper is to introduce the construction of a stochastic process called ``diffusion house-moving'' and to explore its properties. We study the weak convergence of diffusion bridges conditioned to stay between two curves,…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-03-24 Kensuke Ishitani , Soma Nishino

We investigate some simple and surprising properties of a one-dimensional Brownian trajectory with diffusion coefficient $D$ that starts at the origin and reaches $X$ either: (i) at time $T$ or (ii) for the first time at time $T$. We…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2016-11-22 Uttam Bhat , S. Redner

The first passage time for a single diffusing particle has been studied extensively, but the first passage time of a system of many diffusing particles, as is often the case in physical systems, has received little attention until recently.…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-11-22 Jacob B. Hass , Ivan Corwin , Eric I. Corwin

We derive expressions for the first three moments of the decision time (DT) distribution produced via first threshold crossings by sample paths of a drift-diffusion equation. The "pure" and "extended" diffusion processes are widely used to…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2016-01-26 Vaibhav Srivastava , Philip Holmes , Patrick Simen

Sticky diffusion processes on bounded domains spend finite time (and finite mean time) on the lower-dimensional space given by the boundary. Once the process hits the boundary, then it starts again after a random amount of time. While on…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-19 Mirko D'Ovidio

We show that some boundary conditions assumed at a thin membrane may result in normal diffusion not being the stochastic Markov process. We consider boundary conditions defined in terms of the Laplace transform in which there is a linear…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-08-26 Tadeusz Kosztołowicz

In this article we consider a family of real-valued diffusion processes on the time interval $[0,1]$ indexed by their prescribed initial value $x \in \mathbb{R}$ and another point in space, $y \in \mathbb{R}$. We first present an…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-06-03 Florian Hildebrandt , Sylvie Rœlly

We introduce a methodology for performing parameter inference in high-dimensional, non-linear diffusion processes. We illustrate its applicability for obtaining insights into the evolution of and relationships between species, including…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-11-15 Nicklas Boserup , Gefan Yang , Michael Lind Severinsen , Christy Anna Hipsley , Stefan Sommer

For a given barrier $S$ and a one-dimensional jump-diffusion process $X(t),$ starting from $x<S,$ we study the probability distribution of the integral $A_S(x)= \int_0 ^ {\tau_S(x)}X(t) \ dt$ determined by $X(t)$ till its first-crossing…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-02-11 Mario Abundo

The aim of this paper is to study the law of the last passage time of a linear diffusion to a curved boundary. We start by giving a general expression for the density of such a random variable under some regularity assumptions. Following…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-04-26 Christophe Profeta

In this paper, we study the asymptotic behavior of the number of crossings by a one-dimensional diffusion of a threshold where the process exhibits stickiness. We distinguish three types of crossings and show that to each type corresponds a…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-12-09 Alexis Anagnostakis , Sara Mazzonetto

Motivated by an approximation problem from mathematical finance, we analyse the stability of the boundary crossing probability for the multivariate Brownian motion process, with respect to small changes of the boundary. Under broad…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-03-11 S. McKinlay , K. Borovkov