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A finite ergodic Markov chain exhibits cutoff if its distance to equilibrium remains close to its initial value over a certain number of iterations and then abruptly drops to near 0 on a much shorter time scale. Originally discovered in the…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-01-23 Charles Bordenave , Pietro Caputo , Justin Salez

We propose algorithms for sampling from posterior path measures $P(C([0, T], \mathbb{R}^d))$ under a general prior process. This leverages ideas from (1) controlled equilibrium dynamics, which gradually transport between two path measures,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-06-03 Qijia Jiang , Reuben Cohn-Gordon

We study the quenched invariance principle for random conductance models with long range jumps on $\Z^d$, where the transition probability from $x$ to $y$ is, on average, comparable to $|x-y|^{-(d+\alpha)}$ with $\alpha\in (0,2)$ but is…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-05-01 Xin Chen , Takashi Kumagai , Jian Wang

We consider a one-dimensional stationary stochastic process $x(\tau)$ of duration $T$. We study the probability density function (PDF) $P(t_{\rm m}|T)$ of the time $t_{\rm m}$ at which $x(\tau)$ reaches its global maximum. By using a path…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-10-15 Francesco Mori , Satya N. Majumdar , Gregory Schehr

The empirical Wasserstein projection (WP) distance quantifies the Wasserstein distance from the empirical distribution to a set of probability measures satisfying given expectation constraints. The WP is a powerful tool because it mitigates…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-08-22 Sirui Lin , Jose Blanchet , Peter Glynn , Viet Anh Nguyen

A model of Poissonian observation having a jump (change-point) in the intensity function is considered. Two cases are studied. The first one corresponds to the situation when the jump size converges to a non-zero limit, while in the second…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-02-25 Serguei Dachian , Lin Yang

The fact that a Markov diffusion semi-group on $\mathbb R^d$ contracts the $L^p$ Wasserstein distance, which has been extensively used to establish uniform-in-time stability estimates (e.g. with respect to numerical discretization errors),…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-06 Pierre Monmarché

In this paper, we consider semi-Markov processes whose transition times and transition probabilities depend on a small parameter $\varepsilon$. Understanding the asymptotic behavior of such processes is needed in order to study the…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-11-08 Leonid Koralov , Ishfaaq Mohammed Imtiyas

We consider a Markov chain on $\mathbb{R}^d$ with invariant measure $\mu$. We are interested in the rate of convergence of the empirical measures towards the invariant measure with respect to various dual distances, including in particular…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-10-13 Adrian Riekert

We study an open discrete-time queueing network that models the collection of data in a multi-hop sensor network. We assume data is generated at the sensor nodes as a discrete-time Bernoulli process. All nodes in the network maintain a…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2019-07-26 Iqra Altaf Gillani , Amitabha Bagchi , Pooja Vyavahare

We study the problem of sampling high and infinite dimensional target measures arising in applications such as conditioned diffusions and inverse problems. We focus on those that arise from approximating measures on Hilbert spaces defined…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-03-19 Martin Hairer , Andrew M. Stuart , Sebastian J. Vollmer

A new class of particle systems with sequential interaction is proposed to approximate the McKean-Vlasov process that originally arises as the limit of the mean-field interacting particle system. The weighted empirical measure of this…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-01-25 Kai Du , Yifan Jiang , Xiaochen Li

For a Markov process associated with a diffusion type Dirichlet form an upper bound is shown for the law of the finite dimensional distributions of the process. Under some more assumptions on the underlaying space this is also shown for the…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-07-28 Ann-Kathrin Jarecki

We analyse and interpret the effects of breaking detailed balance on the convergence to equilibrium of conservative interacting particle systems and their hydrodynamic scaling limits. For finite systems of interacting particles, we review…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2017-08-21 Marcus Kaiser , Robert L. Jack , Johannes Zimmer

We introduce the headway exclusion process which is an exclusion process with $N$ particles on the one-dimensional discrete torus with $L$ sites with jump rates that depend only on the distance to the next particle in the direction of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-08-19 V. Belitsky , N. P. N. Ngoc , G. M. Schütz

Transition path theory (TPT) for diffusion processes is a framework for analysing the transitions of multiscale ergodic diffusion processes between disjoint metastable subsets of state space. Most methods for applying TPT involve the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-03-31 Nada Cvetković , Tim Conrad , Han Cheng Lie

A jumping process, defined in terms of jump size distribution and waiting time distribution, is presented. The jumping rate depends on the process value. The process, which is Markovian and stationary, relaxes to an equilibrium and is…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-07-20 T. Srokowski , A. Kaminska

We present a framework to calculate the cascade size evolution for a large class of cascade models on random network ensembles in the limit of infinite network size. Our method is exact and applies to network ensembles with almost arbitrary…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-04-25 Rebekka Burkholz , Frank Schweitzer

We derive quantitative bounds on the rate of convergence in $L^1$ Wasserstein distance of general M-estimators, with an almost sharp (up to a logarithmic term) behavior in the number of observations. We focus on situations where the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-11-19 François Bachoc , Max Fathi

We study scaling limits of non-increasing Markov chains with values in the set of non-negative integers, under the assumption that the large jump events are rare and happen at rates that behave like a negative power of the current state. We…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-01-06 Bénédicte Haas , Grégory Miermont