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The paper introduces a new class of random fields, supCAR fields, which are constructed as superpositions of continuous autoregressive random fields. These supCAR fields possess infinitely divisible marginal distributions. Their…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-05-28 Illia Donhauzer , Nikolai Leonenko , Andriy Olenko

The class of autoregressive (AR) processes is extensively used to model temporal dependence in observed time series. Such models are easily available and routinely fitted using freely available statistical software like R. A potential…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-10-13 Sigrunn H. Sørbye , Pedro G. Nicolau , Håvard Rue

In this paper, we propose two important measures, quantile correlation (QCOR) and quantile partial correlation (QPCOR). We then apply them to quantile autoregressive (QAR) models, and introduce two valuable quantities, the quantile…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-10-01 Guodong Li , Yang Li , Chih-Ling Tsai

Traditional credibility analysis of risks in insurance is based on the random effects model, where the heterogeneity across the policyholders is assumed to be time-invariant. One popular extension is the dynamic random effects (or…

Applications · Statistics 2021-09-17 Jae Youn Ahn , Himchan Jeong , Yang Lu

The purpose of order-of-addition (OofA) experiments is to identify the best order in a sequence of m components in a system or treatment. Such experiments may be analysed by various regression models, the most popular ones being based on…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-01-27 Hans-Peter Piepho , Emlyn R. Williams

There are given characterizations of the exponential distribution by the properties of the independence of linear forms with random coefficients. Related results based on the constancy of regression of one statistic on a linear form are…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-11-27 Lev B. Klebanov , Zeev E. Vol'kovich

Based on the Arps equation, we propose two stochastic models for curve decline useful in oil engineering context. Theoretical properties and simulations of these models are provided. The first passage time distribution of these stochastic…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-11-05 Christian Paroissin

In practice, several time series exhibit long-range dependence or persistence in their observations, leading to the development of a number of estimation and prediction methodologies to account for the slowly decaying autocorrelations. The…

Computation · Statistics 2016-09-09 Javier E. Contreras-Reyes , Wilfredo Palma

Let $X_{t}$ denote a stationary first-order autoregressive process. Consider $n$ contiguous observations (in time $t$) of the series (e.g., $X_{1}, ..., X_{n}$). Let its mean be zero and its lag-one serial correlation be $\rho$, which…

History and Overview · Mathematics 2019-09-06 Steven Finch

Vector autoregressive models characterize a variety of time series in which linear combinations of current and past observations can be used to accurately predict future observations. For instance, each element of an observation vector…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-06-27 Eric C. Hall , Garvesh Raskutti , Rebecca Willett

Series of univariate distributions indexed by equally spaced time points are ubiquitous in applications and their analysis constitutes one of the challenges of the emerging field of distributional data analysis. To quantify such…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-05-23 Changbo Zhu , Hans-Georg Müller

An extension of Archimax copula class in more than two random variables ( Multivariate ) was introduced in (J\'agr 2011) for describing dependency structures among random variables in higher dimension, and some properties of Archimax copula…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-02-06 Sarikul Islam , Nitin Gupta

Estimating the periodicity of a stationary time series via fitting a second order stationary autoregressive (AR(2)) model has been initiated by the seminal paper of Yule(1927).. We investigate properties of this procedure when applied to a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-12-01 Jens-Peter Kreiss , Panagiotis Maouris , Efstathios Paparoditis

Frailty and resilience models provide a way to introduce random effects in hazard and reversed hazard rate modeling by random variables, called frailty and resilience random variables, respectively, to account for unobserved or unexplained…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-09-20 Arindam Panja , Pradip Kundu , Biswabrata Pradhan

We show that the class of conditional distributions satisfying the coarsening at Random (CAR) property for discrete data has a simple and robust algorithmic description based on randomized uniform multicovers: combinatorial objects…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-05-30 Richard D. Gill , Peter D. Grunwald

Spatial autocorrelation analysis is the basis for spatial autoregressive modeling. However, the relationships between spatial correlation coefficients and spatial regression models are not yet well clarified. The paper is devoted to explore…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-02-15 Yanguang Chen

When performing regression or classification, we are interested in the conditional probability distribution for an outcome or class variable Y given a set of explanatoryor input variables X. We consider Bayesian models for this task. In…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-02-08 David Heckerman , Christopher Meek

The conditional autoregressive (CAR) model, simultaneous autoregressive (SAR) model, and its variants have become the predominant strategies for modeling regional or areal-referenced spatial data. The overwhelming wide-use of the CAR/SAR…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-18 Sudipto Saha , Jonathan R. Bradley

Gibbs-type random probability measures and the exchangeable random partitions they induce represent the subject of a rich and active literature. They provide a probabilistic framework for a wide range of theoretical and applied problems…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-04-06 Sergio Bacallado , Stefano Favaro , Lorenzo Trippa

Self-similarity of systems is very popular and intensively developing field during last decades. To this field belong so-called stable distributions and their generalization. In Klebanov and Sl\'amov\'a (2014) there was given an approach to…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-08-19 Lev B. Klebanov , Lenka Slámová , Ashot Kakosyan , Gregory Temnov
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