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We present an importance sampling algorithm that can produce realisations of Markovian epidemic models that exactly match observations, taken to be the number of a single event type over a period of time. The importance sampling can be used…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2018-08-16 Andrew J. Black

Bayesian networks offer great potential for use in automating large scale diagnostic reasoning tasks. Gibbs sampling is the main technique used to perform diagnostic reasoning in large richly interconnected Bayesian networks. Unfortunately…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-02-21 Mark Hulme

Computing the exact likelihood of data in large Bayesian networks consisting of thousands of vertices is often a difficult task. When these models contain many deterministic conditional probability tables and when the observed values are…

Computation · Statistics 2012-06-26 Ydo Wexler , Dan Geiger

Quantum computers are projected to handle the Gibbs sampling and the related inference on Markov networks effectively. Apart from noting the background information useful for those starting the explorations in this important thread of…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2020-06-23 S Ashutosh , Deepankar Sarmah , Sayantan Pramanik , M Girish Chandra

We begin with a review of a well known class of networks, Classical Bayesian (CB) nets (also called causal probabilistic nets by some). Given a situation which includes randomness, CB nets are used to calculate the probabilities of various…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2015-06-26 Robert R. Tucci

Despite their theoretical importance, dynamic Bayesian networks associated with quantum processes are currently not accessible experimentally. We here describe a general scheme to determine the multi-time path probability of a Bayesian…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2021-04-06 Kaonan Micadei , Gabriel T. Landi , Eric Lutz

Gibbs sampling is a crucial computational technique used in physics, statistics, and many other scientific fields. For classical Hamiltonians, the most commonly used Gibbs sampler is the Metropolis algorithm, known for having the Gibbs…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2024-06-25 Jiaqing Jiang , Sandy Irani

Monte Carlo (MC) sampling methods are widely applied in Bayesian inference, system simulation and optimization problems. The Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms are a well-known class of MC methods which generate a Markov chain with…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-06-21 Luca Martino , Victor Elvira

Efficient sampling from a classical Gibbs distribution is an important computational problem with applications ranging from statistical physics over Monte Carlo and optimization algorithms to machine learning. We introduce a family of…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2021-09-08 Dominik S. Wild , Dries Sels , Hannes Pichler , Cristian Zanoci , Mikhail D. Lukin

Importance sampling is a technique that is commonly used to speed up Monte Carlo simulation of rare events. However, little is known regarding the design of efficient importance sampling algorithms in the context of queueing networks. The…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-09-29 Paul Dupuis , Ali Devin Sezer , Hui Wang

We show that for any multiple-try Metropolis algorithm, one can always accept the proposal and evaluate the importance weight that is needed to correct for the bias without extra computational cost. This results in a general, convenient,…

Computation · Statistics 2024-10-03 Guanxun Li , Aaron Smith , Quan Zhou

Bayesian methods and their implementations by means of sophisticated Monte Carlo techniques have become very popular in signal processing over the last years. Importance Sampling (IS) is a well-known Monte Carlo technique that approximates…

Computation · Statistics 2022-01-21 L. Martino , V. Elvira , G. Camps-Valls

As a compact representation of joint probability distributions over a dependence graph of random variables, and a tool for modelling and reasoning in the presence of uncertainty, Bayesian networks are of great importance for artificial…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2020-10-06 Michael de Oliveira , Luis Soares Barbosa

This paper develops a Bayesian computational platform at the interface between posterior sampling and optimization in models whose marginal likelihoods are difficult to evaluate. Inspired by adversarial optimization, namely Generative…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-12-01 Tetsuya Kaji , Veronika Rockova

Performing exact inference on Bayesian networks is known to be #P-hard. Typically approximate inference techniques are used instead to sample from the distribution on query variables given the values $e$ of evidence variables. Classically,…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2014-10-02 Guang Hao Low , Theodore J. Yoder , Isaac L. Chuang

Variational Bayesian inference and (collapsed) Gibbs sampling are the two important classes of inference algorithms for Bayesian networks. Both have their advantages and disadvantages: collapsed Gibbs sampling is unbiased but is also…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-06-18 Max Welling , Yee Whye Teh , Hilbert Kappen

The Metropolis-Hastings (MH) algorithm is one of the most widely used Markov Chain Monte Carlo schemes for generating samples from Bayesian posterior distributions. The algorithm is asymptotically exact, flexible and easy to implement.…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-10 Estevão Prado , Christopher Nemeth , Chris Sherlock

Quantum Bayesian networks provide a mathematical formalism to describe causal relations, to analyse correlations, and to predict the probabilities of measurement outcomes, in systems involving both classical and quantum data. They…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2026-05-27 Rémi Di Guardia , Thomas Ehrhard , Claudia Faggian

We develop Monte Carlo methods for sampling random states and corresponding bit strings in qubit systems. To this end, we derive exact probability density functions that yield the Porter-Thomas distribution in the limit of large systems. We…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2025-09-05 Andreas Raab

Drawing independent samples from a probability distribution is an important computational problem with applications in Monte Carlo algorithms, machine learning, and statistical physics. The problem can in principle be solved on a quantum…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2021-09-08 Dominik S. Wild , Dries Sels , Hannes Pichler , Cristian Zanoci , Mikhail D. Lukin
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