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Related papers: Nonlinear Prediction of Solar Cycle 24

200 papers

The Sun's polar magnetic fields change their polarity near the maximum of sunspot activity. We analyzed the polarity reversal epochs in Solar Cycles 21 to 24. There was a triple reversal in the N-hemisphere in Solar Cycle 24 and single…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2019-10-16 Mykola I. Pishkalo

Context. The relation between solar surface rotation and sunspot activity still remains open. Sunspot activity has dramatically reduced in solar cycle 24 and several solar activity indices and flux measurements experienced unprecedentedly…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2015-02-18 L. Zhang , K. Mursula , I. Usoskin

Direct observations over the past four centuries show that the number of sunspots observed on the Sun's surface vary periodically, going through successive maxima and minima. Following sunspot cycle 23, the Sun went into a prolonged minimum…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2013-03-05 Dibyendu Nandy , Andrés Muñoz-Jaramillo , Petrus C. H. Martens

Evidence strongly indicates that the strength of the Sun's polar fields near the time of a sunspot cycle minimum determines the strength of the following solar activity cycle. We use our Advective Flux Transport (AFT) code, with flows well…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2017-02-01 David H. Hathaway , Lisa A. Upton

Surface flux transport simulations for the descending phase of cycle 24 using random sources (emerging bipolar magnetic regions) with empirically determined scatter of their properties provide a prediction of the axial dipole moment during…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2016-06-01 Robert H. Cameron , Jie Jiang , Manfred Schuessler

Recent research has demonstrated the existence of a new type of solar event, the "terminator." Unlike the Sun's signature events, flares and Coronal Mass Ejections, the terminator most likely originates in the solar interior, at or near the…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2020-03-11 Robert J Leamon , Scott W. McIntosh , Sandra C. Chapman , Nicholas W. Watkins

Through meticulous daily observation of the Sun's large-scale magnetic field the Wilcox Solar Observatory (WSO) has catalogued two magnetic (Hale) cycles of solar activity. Those two (~22-year long) Hale cycles have yielded four…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2022-09-15 Scott W. McIntosh , Phillip H. Scherrer , Leif Svalgaard , Robert J. Leamon

Duration of the extended solar cycles is taken into the consideration. The beginning of cycles is counted from the moment of polarity reversal of large-scale magnetic field in high latitudes, occurring in the sunspot cycle n till the…

Astrophysics · Physics 2009-11-13 A. G. Tlatov

The short-term periodicities of the daily sunspot area fluctuations from August 1923 to October 1933 are discussed. For these data the correlative analysis indicates negative correlation for the periodicity of about 155 days, but the power…

Applications · Statistics 2010-09-17 Ryszarda Getko

The sunspot number data during the past 400 years indicates that both the profile and the amplitude of the solar cycle have large variations. Some precursors of the solar cycle were identified aiming to predict the solar cycle. The polar…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2015-06-15 Jie Jiang

The solar activity in Cycle 23--24 shows differences from the previous cycles that were observed with modern instruments, e.g. long cycle duration and a small number of sunspots. To appreciate the anomalies further, we investigated the…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2015-06-16 Masumi Shimojo

Since the Solar Dynamics Observatory (SDO) began recording ~ 1 TB of data per day, there has been an increased need to automatically extract features and events for further analysis. Here we compare the overall detection performance,…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2011-09-05 Cis Verbeeck , Paul A. Higgins , Tufan Colak , Fraser T. Watson , Veronique Delouille , Benjamin Mampaey , Rami Qahwaji

The differential rotation plays a crucial role in the dynamics of the Sun. We study the solar rotation and its correlation with solar activity by applying a modified machine learning algorithm to identify and track coronal bright points…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2024-07-30 Zahra Shokri , Nasibe Alipour , Hossein Safari

We analyzed the sunspot-group daily data that were reported by Greenwich Photoheliogrphic Results (GPR) during the period 1874-1976 and Debrecen Photoheliographic Data (DPD) during the period 1977-2017. We determined the equatorial rotation…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2020-12-04 J. Javaraiah

It has been known that some solar activity indicators show a double-peak feature in their evolution through a solar cycle, which is not conspicuous in sunspot number. In this letter, we investigate the high solar dynamic activity in the…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2016-12-14 Minhwan Jang , T. N. Woods , Sunhak Hong , G. S. Choe

Traditionally, solar physicists become anxious around solar minimum, as they await the high-latitude sunspot groups of the new cycle. Now, we are in an extended sunspot minimum with conditions not seen in recent memory, and interest in the…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2010-05-24 N. R. Sheeley

We investigate the statistical properties of the extreme events of the solar cycle as measured by the sunspot number. The recent advances in the methodology of the theory of extreme values is applied to the maximal extremes of the time…

Astrophysics · Physics 2009-11-13 A. Asensio Ramos

In this paper, we have made a statistical analysis of solar H$\alpha$ flares that occurred during the period 1996 to 2005 to investigate their spatial distribution with respect to northern and southern hemispheres of the Sun. The analysis…

Astrophysics · Physics 2007-08-16 Bhuwan Joshi , P. Pant , P. K. Manoharan , Kavita Pandey

The decay of sunspot groups is a relatively unknown field since most studies have focused mainly on the decay of sunspots or sunspot groups, but only on small samples. As an extension of the recent work of \citet{2020ApJ...892..107M} which…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2021-02-24 Judit Muraközy

We study the visibility of sunspots and its influence on observed values of sunspot region parameters. We use Virtual Observatory tools provided by AstroGrid to analyse a sample of 6862 sunspot regions. By studying the distributions of…

Astrophysics · Physics 2008-02-12 S. Dalla , L. Fletcher , N. A. Walton