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This paper introduces Type 2 Tobit Bayesian Additive Regression Trees (TOBART-2). BART can produce accurate individual-specific treatment effect estimates. However, in practice estimates are often biased by sample selection. We extend the…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-11-04 Eoghan O'Neill

Gradient Boosted Decision Trees (GBDT) is a very successful ensemble learning algorithm widely used across a variety of applications. Recently, several variants of GBDT training algorithms and implementations have been designed and heavily…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-06-27 Yu Shi , Jian Li , Zhize Li

A frequent problem in binary classification is class imbalance between a minority and a majority class such as defaults and non-defaults in default prediction. In this article, we introduce a novel binary classification model, the Grabit…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-03-04 Fabio Sigrist , Christoph Hirnschall

Educational content labeled with proper knowledge components (KCs) are particularly useful to teachers or content organizers. However, manually labeling educational content is labor intensive and error-prone. To address this challenge,…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2021-05-25 Jia Tracy Shen , Michiharu Yamashita , Ethan Prihar , Neil Heffernan , Xintao Wu , Sean McGrew , Dongwon Lee

The automatic classification of occupational accident reports is pivotal for workplace safety analysis but is persistently hindered by severe class imbalance and data scarcity. In this paper, we propose ABEX-RAT, a resource-efficient…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-29 Jian Chen , Jiabao Dou

The Gradient Boosting Classifier (GBC) is a widely used machine learning algorithm for binary classification, which builds decision trees iteratively to minimize prediction errors. This document explains the GBC's training and prediction…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-24 Hung-Hsuan Chen

Multiclass classification is a fundamental and challenging task in machine learning. The existing techniques of multiclass classification can be categorized as (i) decomposition into binary (ii) extension from binary and (iii) hierarchical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-29 Gongjin Lan , Zhenyu Gao , Lingyao Tong , Ting Liu

Bayesian additive regression trees (BART) is a regression technique developed by Chipman et al. (2008). Its usefulness in standard regression settings has been clearly demonstrated, but it has not been applied to time series analysis as…

Applications · Statistics 2018-04-06 Sean van der Merwe

The principle of boosting in supervised learning involves combining multiple weak classifiers to obtain a stronger classifier. AdaBoost has the reputation to be a perfect example of this approach. This study analyzes the (two classes)…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-08 Jean-Marc Brossier , Olivier Lafitte , Lenny Réthoré

Random Forests have been one of the most popular bagging methods in the past few decades, especially due to their success at handling tabular datasets. They have been extensively studied and compared to boosting models, like XGBoost, which…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-28 Dimitris Bertsimas , Vasiliki Stoumpou

Flexibly modeling how an entire density changes with covariates is an important but challenging generalization of mean and quantile regression. While existing methods for density regression primarily consist of covariate-dependent discrete…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-12-24 Vittorio Orlandi , Jared Murray , Antonio Linero , Alexander Volfovsky

Most machine learning classifiers only concern classification accuracy, while certain applications (such as medical diagnosis, meteorological forecasting, and computation advertising) require the model to predict the true probability, known…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-13 Siguang Huang , Yunli Wang , Lili Mou , Huayue Zhang , Han Zhu , Chuan Yu , Bo Zheng

Boosted decision trees typically yield good accuracy, precision, and ROC area. However, because the outputs from boosting are not well calibrated posterior probabilities, boosting yields poor squared error and cross-entropy. We empirically…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-07-09 Alexandru Niculescu-Mizil , Richard A. Caruana

Using ensemble methods for regression has been a large success in obtaining high-accuracy prediction. Examples are Bagging, Random forest, Boosting, BART (Bayesian additive regression tree), and their variants. In this paper, we propose a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-11-06 Yuhao Su , Jie Ding

Gradient boosting methods based on Structured Categorical Decision Trees (SCDT) have been demonstrated to outperform numerical and one-hot-encodings on problems where the categorical variable has a known underlying structure. However, the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-07-10 Brian Lucena

We develop a model-based boosting approach for multivariate distributional regression within the framework of generalized additive models for location, scale, and shape. Our approach enables the simultaneous modeling of all distribution…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-07-19 Annika Strömer , Nadja Klein , Christian Staerk , Hannah Klinkhammer , Andreas Mayr

Bootstrap aggregating (Bagging) and boosting are two popular ensemble learning approaches, which combine multiple base learners to generate a composite model for more accurate and more reliable performance. They have been widely used in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-07 Changming Zhao , Dongrui Wu , Jian Huang , Ye Yuan , Hai-Tao Zhang , Ruimin Peng , Zhenhua Shi

Uplift modeling comprises a collection of machine learning techniques designed for managers to predict the incremental impact of specific actions on customer outcomes. However, accurately estimating this incremental impact poses significant…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-10 Junjie Gao , Xiangyu Zheng , DongDong Wang , Zhixiang Huang , Bangqi Zheng , Kai Yang

Retailers use the Vector AutoRegressive (VAR) model as a standard tool to estimate the effects of prices, promotions and sales in one product category on the sales of another product category. Besides, these price, promotion and sales data…

Applications · Statistics 2016-05-12 Ines Wilms , Luca Barbaglia , Christophe Croux

Gradient boosting algorithms construct a regression predictor using a linear combination of ``base learners''. Boosting also offers an approach to obtaining robust non-parametric regression estimators that are scalable to applications with…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-08-11 Xiaomeng Ju , Matías Salibián-Barrera