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Global Climate Models (GCMs) provide forecasts of future climate warming using a wide variety of highly sophisticated anthropogenic CO2 emissions models as input, each based on the evolution of four emissions "drivers": population p,…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2011-04-06 Timothy J. Garrett

This paper analyzes sustainable regional economic development and land use employing a case study of Russia. The economics of land management in Russia which is shaped by both historical legacies and contemporary policies represents an…

General Economics · Economics 2024-04-22 Wadim Strielkowski , Oxana Mukhoryanova , Oxana Kuznetsova , Yury Syrov

The analysis of the demographic transition of the past century and a half, using both empirical data and mathematical models, has rendered a wealth of well-established facts, including the dramatic increases in life expectancy. Despite…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2018-07-02 Albert Solé-Ribalta , Javier Borge-Holthoefer

We analyze mathematical models of the global human population growth and compare them to actual dynamics of the world population and of the world surplus product. We consider a possibility that the so-called world's demographic transition…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-11-23 Michael Golosovsky

GDP is a vital measure of a country's economic health, reflecting the total value of goods and services produced. Forecasting GDP growth is essential for economic planning, as it helps governments, businesses, and investors anticipate…

General Economics · Economics 2024-09-05 Huaqing Xie , Xingcheng Xu , Fangjia Yan , Xun Qian , Yanqing Yang

Globalization processes interweave economic structures at a worldwide scale, trade playing a central role as one of the elemental channels of interaction among countries. Despite the significance of such phenomena, measuring economic…

Physics and Society · Physics 2008-12-02 M. Angeles Serrano

The aim of this work is to establish the personal income distribution from the elementary constituents of a free market; products of a representative good and agents forming the economic network. The economy is treated as a self-organized…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-06-04 Joachim Kaldasch

We investigate the dynamics of growth models in terms of dynamical system theory. We analyse some forms of knowledge and its influence on economic growth. We assume that the rate of change of knowledge depends on both the rate of change of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2008-12-02 Marek Szydlowski , Adam Krawiec

This article presents an analysis of China's economic evolution amidst demographic changes from 1990 to 2050, offering valuable insights for academia and policymakers. It uniquely intertwines various economic theories with empirical data,…

General Economics · Economics 2023-12-20 Yuxin Hu

This paper aims to study the impact of public and private investments on the economic growth of developing countries. The study uses the panel data of 39 developing countries covering the periods 1990-2019. The study was based on the…

General Economics · Economics 2021-06-01 Faruque Ahamed

The degree of convergence of the business cycles of the economies of the European Union is a key policy issue. In particular, a substantial degree of convergence is needed if the European Central Bank is to be capable of setting a monetary…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2015-06-24 P Ormerod , C Mounfield

Labor productivity in developed countries is analyzed and modeled. Modeling is based on our previous finding that the rate of labor force participation is a unique function of GDP per capita. Therefore, labor productivity is fully…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-02 Ivan O. Kitov , Oleg I. kitov

This study explores the link between the capital share and income inequality over the past four decades across 56 countries. Calculating the capital share from national accounts alongside top income share data from the World Inequality…

General Economics · Economics 2025-01-07 Oğuzhan Akgün , Ezgi Özsöğüt

The statistical distances between countries, calculated for various moving average time windows, are mapped into the ultrametric subdominant space as in classical Minimal Spanning Tree methods. The Moving Average Minimal Length Path (MAMLP)…

Physics and Society · Physics 2012-09-25 M. Gligor , M. Ausloos

This paper studies stochastic convergence of per capita CO$_2$ emissions in 28 OECD countries for the 1901-2009 period. The analysis is carried out at two aggregation levels, first for the whole set of countries (joint analysis) and then…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-02-02 María José Presno , Manuel Landajo , Paula Fernández González

Mathematical properties of the historical GDP/cap distributions are discussed and explained. These distributions are frequently incorrectly interpreted and the Unified Growth Theory is an outstanding example of such common misconceptions.…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-12-04 Ron W Nielsen

This article presents the results of a cluster analysis of the regions of the Russian Federation in terms of the main parameters of socio-economic development according to the data presented in the official data sources of the Federal State…

We show that a simple and intuitive three-parameter equation fits remarkably well the evolution of the gross domestic product (GDP) in current and constant dollars of many countries during times of recession and recovery. We then argue that…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2009-08-22 Damien Challet , Sorin Solomon , Gur Yaari

Recent advances in the urban science make broad use of the notion of scaling. We focus here on the important scaling relationship between the gross metropolitan product (GMP) of a city and its population (pop). It has been demonstrated that…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-09-28 Emanuele Strano , Vishal Sood

Growth in the global human population this century will have momentous consequences for societies and the environment. Population growth has come with higher aggregate human welfare, but also climate change and biodiversity loss. Based on…

General Economics · Economics 2021-09-30 Barry W. Brook , Jessie C. Buettel , Sanghyun Hong