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In river flow analysis and forecasting there are some key elements to consider in order to obtain reliable results. For example, seasonality is often accounted for in statistical models because climatic oscillations occurring every year…

Applications · Statistics 2019-06-19 Domenico Cucina , Manuel Rizzo , Eugen Ursu

Accurate precipitation forecasting is a vital challenge of societal importance. Though data-driven approaches have emerged as a widely used solution, solely relying on data-driven approaches has limitations in modeling the underlying…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-14 Yujin Tang , Jiaming Zhou , Xiang Pan , Zeying Gong , Junwei Liang

In response to climate change, assessing crop productivity under extreme weather conditions is essential to enhance food security. Crop simulation models, which align with physical processes, offer explainability but often perform poorly.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-03 Miro Miranda , Marcela Charfuelan , Andreas Dengel

We consider the problem of full information maximum likelihood (FIML) estimation in a factor analysis model when a majority of the data values are missing. The expectation-maximization (EM) algorithm is often used to find the FIML…

Computation · Statistics 2013-12-20 Kei Hirose , Sunyong Kim , Yutaka Kano , Miyuki Imada , Manabu Yoshida , Masato Matsuo

We present a methodology to simulate the impact of the atmospheric models in the background particle flux on ground detectors using the Global Data Assimilation System. The methodology was within the ARTI simulation framework developed by…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2021-10-20 Jennifer Grisales-Casadiegos , Christian Sarmiento-Cano , Luis A. Núñez , the LAGO Collaboration

In this paper, a purely measurement-based method is proposed to estimate the dynamic system state matrix by applying the regression theorem of the multivariate Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process. The proposed method employs a recursive algorithm to…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-05-29 Hao Sheng , Xiaozhe Wang

Model-based geostatistical design involves the selection of locations to collect data to minimise an expected loss function over a set of all possible locations. The loss function is specified to reflect the aim of data collection, which,…

Computation · Statistics 2021-12-03 S. G. Jagath Senarathne , Werner G. Müller , James M. McGree

This paper aims to project a climate change scenario using a stochastic paleotemperature time series model and compare it with the prevailing consensus. The ARIMA - Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average Process model was used for this…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-04-15 Gilmar V. F. Santos , Lucas G. Cordeiro , Claudio A. Rojo , Edison L. Leismann

Data analyses typically rely upon assumptions about missingness mechanisms that lead to observed versus missing data. When the data are missing not at random, direct assumptions about the missingness mechanism, and indirect assumptions…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-03-22 Alexander M Franks , Edoardo M Airoldi , Donald B Rubin

Accurate and timely prediction of heavy rainfall events is crucial for effective flood risk management and disaster preparedness. By monitoring, analysing, and evaluating rainfall data at a local level, it is not only possible to take…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-24 Edwin Salcedo

Imputing missing values is an important preprocessing step in data analysis, but the literature offers little guidance on how to choose between different imputation models. This letter suggests adopting the imputation model that generates a…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-07-13 Moritz Marbach

The Hayashi-Yoshida (\HY)-estimator exhibits an intrinsic, telescoping property that leads to an often overlooked computational bias, which we denote,formulaic or intrinsic bias. This formulaic bias results in data loss by cancelling out…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-04-30 Evangelos Georgiadis

Machine Learning for aviation weather is a growing area of research for providing low-cost alternatives for traditional, expensive weather sensors; however, in the area of atmospheric visibility estimation, publicly available datasets,…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-06-27 Chad Mourning , Zhewei Wang , Justin Murray

We consider the situation where the observed sample contains some observations whose class of origin is known (that is, they are classified with respect to the g underlying classes of interest), and where the remaining observations in the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-04-15 Geoffrey J. McLachlan , Daniel Ahfock

Flood mapping is crucial for assessing and mitigating flood impacts, yet traditional methods like numerical modeling and aerial photography face limitations in efficiency and reliability. To address these challenges, we propose PIFF, a…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-11-13 ChunLiang Wu , Tsunhua Yang , Hungying Chen

Varying weather conditions, including rainfall and snowfall, are generally regarded as a challenge for computer vision algorithms. One proposed solution to the challenges induced by rain and snowfall is to artificially remove the rain from…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2018-10-31 Chris H. Bahnsen , Thomas B. Moeslund

The Meteorology is a field where huge amounts of data are generated, mainly collected by sensors at weather stations, where different variables can be measured. Those data have some particularities such as high volume and dimensionality,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-27 Shadi Aljawarneh , Juan A. Lara , Muneer Bani Yassein

This paper presents a novel methodology for modelling precipitation patterns in a specific geographical region using Hidden Markov Models (HMMs). Departing from conventional HMMs, where the hidden state process is assumed to be Markovian,…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-05 M. L. Gamiz , D. Montoro , M. C Segovia-Garcia

While discriminative classifiers often yield strong predictive performance, missing feature values at prediction time can still be a challenge. Classifiers may not behave as expected under certain ways of substituting the missing values,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-06-04 Pasha Khosravi , Yitao Liang , YooJung Choi , Guy Van den Broeck

Extreme events pose significant risks and are challenging to predict. Assessing climate hazards requires placing quantitative constraints on geophysical fields under observable but fluctuating conditions. We propose a framework for…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-01-27 Andrew Brettin , Laure Zanna
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