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Related papers: A Bayesian Framework for Opinion Updates

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This work introduces a Bayesian framework that unifies a wide class of opinion dynamics models. In this framework, an individual's opinion on a topic is the expected value of their belief, represented as a random variable with a prior…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-08-25 Yen-Shao Chen , Tauhid Zaman

Traditional models of opinion dynamics provide a simple approach to understanding human behavior in basic social scenarios. However, when it comes to issues such as polarization and extremism, we require a more nuanced understanding of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-03-08 Andre C. R. Martins

In this article, I investigate the use of Bayesian updating rules applied to modeling social agents in the case of continuos opinions models. Given another agent statement about the continuous value of a variable $x$, we will see that…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-04-04 Andre C. R. Martins

In this paper, we introduce a new framework for modelling the exchange of multiple arguments across agents in a social network. To date, most modelling work concerned with opinion dynamics, testimony, or communication across social networks…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2025-04-15 Leon Assaad , Rafael Fuchs , Ammar Jalalimanesh , Kirsty Phillips , Klee Schöppl , Ulrike Hahn

We propose a modeling framework to develop a continuum description of opinion dynamics on networks as an alternative to other models, like the ones based on graphons. In a nutshell, the continuum model that we propose aims at approximating…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2026-03-16 Gianluca Favre , Gaspard Jankowiak , Sara Merino-Aceituno , Lara Trussardi

It has been observed people tend to have opinions that are far more internally consistent than it would be reasonable to expect. Here, we study how that observation might emerge from changing how agents trust the opinions of their peers in…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-07-15 Marcelo V. Maciel , André C. R. Martins

Frequently we revise our first opinions after talking over with other individuals because we get convinced. Argumentation is a verbal and social process aimed at convincing. It includes conversation and persuasion. In this case, the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2017-04-26 Juan Pablo Pinasco , Viktoriya Semeshenko , Pablo Balenzuela

We present a model of opinion dynamics in which agents adjust continuous opinions as a result of random binary encounters whenever their difference in opinion is below a given threshold. High thresholds yield convergence of opinions towards…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2007-05-23 Gerard Weisbuch , Guillaume Deffuant , Frederic Amblard , Jean Pierre Nadal

In this paper, we apply the stochastic search dynamic optimization framework for steering opinion dynamics in a partially active population. The framework is grounded on stochastic optimization theory and relies on sampling of candidate…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-04-08 Ziyi Wang , Evangelos A. Theodorou

Under certain circumstances such as lack of information or bounded rationality, human players can take decisions on which strategy to choose in a game on the basis of simple opinions. These opinions can be modified after each round by…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-06-05 Floriana Gargiulo , Jose J. Ramasco

Background: Confirmation bias is the tendency to acquire or evaluate new information in a way that is consistent with one's preexisting beliefs. It is omnipresent in psychology, economics, and even scientific practices. Prior theoretical…

Physics and Society · Physics 2014-11-18 A. E. Allahverdyan , Aram Galstyan

We propose a framework for general Bayesian inference. We argue that a valid update of a prior belief distribution to a posterior can be made for parameters which are connected to observations through a loss function rather than the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-02-29 Pier Giovanni Bissiri , Chris Holmes , Stephen Walker

We present an introduction to a novel model of an individual and group opinion dynamics, taking into account different ways in which different sources of information are filtered due to cognitive biases. The agent based model, using…

Physics and Society · Physics 2017-03-07 Pawel Sobkowicz

Social media has emerged as a significant source of information for people. As agents interact with each other through social media platforms, they create numerous complex social networks. Within these networks, information spread among…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-03-07 Jiarui Dong , Yi-Cheng Zhang , Yixiu Kong

We survey a range of models of opinion exchange. From the introduction: "The exchange of opinions between individuals is a fundamental social interaction... Moreover, many models in this field are an excellent playground for mathematicians,…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-07-11 Elchanan Mossel , Omer Tamuz

We present an opinion dynamics model framework discarding two common assumptions in the literature: (a) that there is direct influence between beliefs of neighbouring agents, and (b) that agent belief is static in the absence of social…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-05-17 Benedikt V. Meylahn , Christa Searle

Social interactions influence people's opinions. In some situations, these interactions eventually yield a consensus opinion; in others, they can lead to opinion fragmentation and the formation of different opinion groups in the form of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-08-01 Lasse Mohr , Poul G. Hjorth , Mason A. Porter

Motivated by the literature on opinion dynamics and evolutionary game theory, we propose a novel mathematical framework to model the intertwined coevolution of opinions and decision-making in a complex social system. In the proposed…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2021-03-02 Lorenzo Zino , Mengbin Ye , Ming Cao

Networked multi-agent dynamical systems have been used to model how individual opinions evolve over time due to the opinions of other agents in the network. Particularly, such a model has been used to study how a planning agent can be used…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2026-03-19 Sheryl Paul , Leslie Cruz Juarez , Jyotirmoy V. Deshmukh , Ketan Savla

We hereby propose a model of opinion dynamics where individuals update their beliefs because of interactions in acquaintances' group. The model exhibit a non trivial behavior that we discuss as a function of the main involved parameters.…

Physics and Society · Physics 2008-08-04 Timoteo Carletti , Simone Righi
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