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Related papers: Robust Estimation of Mean Values

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We propose a novel, succinct, and effective approach for distribution prediction to quantify uncertainty in machine learning. It incorporates adaptively flexible distribution prediction of $\mathbb{P}(\mathbf{y}|\mathbf{X}=x)$ in regression…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-21 Xing Yan , Yonghua Su , Wenxuan Ma

This paper provides a framework for estimating the mean and variance of a high-dimensional normal density. The main setting considered is a fixed number of vector following a high-dimensional normal distribution with unknown mean and…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-05-07 Shyamalendu Sinha , Jeffrey D. Hart

This paper is devoted to the multivariate estimation of a vector of Poisson means. A novel loss function that penalises bad estimates of each of the parameters and the sum (or equivalently the mean) of the parameters is introduced. Under…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-04-25 Emil Aas Stoltenberg , Nils Lid Hjort

We herein propose a new robust estimation method based on random projections that is adaptive and, automatically produces a robust estimate, while enabling easy computations for high or infinite dimensional data. Under some restricted…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-12-29 Ricardo Fraiman , Marcela Svarc

In the context of large samples, a small number of individuals might spoil basic statistical indicators like the mean. It is difficult to detect automatically these atypical individuals, and an alternative strategy is using robust…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-04-04 Antoine Godichon-Baggioni , Wei Lu

Valuations, as additive functionals, allow various applications in Stochastic Geometry, yielding mean value formulas for specific random closed sets and processes of convex or polyconvex particles. In particular, valuations are especially…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-10-28 Julia Hörrmann , Wolfgang Weil

We investigate the accuracy of the two most common estimators for the maximum expected value of a general set of random variables: a generalization of the maximum sample average, and cross validation. No unbiased estimator exists and we…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2013-03-04 Hado van Hasselt

Neural networks make accurate predictions but often fail to provide reliable uncertainty estimates, especially under covariate distribution shifts between training and testing. To address this problem, we propose a Bayesian framework for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-12-22 Yuli Slavutsky , David M. Blei

This paper considers the problem of estimating the population mean using information on auxiliary variable in presence of non response. Exponential ratio and exponential product type estimators have been suggested and their properties are…

General Mathematics · Mathematics 2009-06-16 Rajesh Singh , Mukesh Kumar , Manoj K. Chaudhary , Florentin Smarandache

Gaussian Process Regression is a popular nonparametric regression method based on Bayesian principles that provides uncertainty estimates for its predictions. However, these estimates are of a Bayesian nature, whereas for some important…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-09 Christian Fiedler , Carsten W. Scherer , Sebastian Trimpe

In this article we have suggested an improved estimator for estimating the population mean in simple random sampling using auxiliary information under the presence of measurement errors. The mean square error (MSE) of the proposed estimator…

Applications · Statistics 2013-12-05 Sachin Malik , Jayant Singh , Rajesh Singh

Tomographic reconstruction, despite its revolutionary impact on a wide range of applications, suffers from its ill-posed nature in that there is no unique solution because of limited and noisy measurements. Therefore, in the absence of…

Applications · Statistics 2023-04-10 Agnimitra Dasgupta , Carlo Graziani , Zichao Wendy Di

We show how clustering standard errors in one or more dimensions can be justified in M-estimation when there is sampling or assignment uncertainty. Since existing procedures for variance estimation are either conservative or invalid, we…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-11-21 Ruonan Xu , Luther Yap

This paper tackles the challenge of detecting unreliable behavior in regression algorithms, which may arise from intrinsic variability (e.g., aleatoric uncertainty) or modeling errors (e.g., model uncertainty). First, we formally introduce…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-12 Andres Altieri , Marco Romanelli , Georg Pichler , Florence Alberge , Pablo Piantanida

Mean plausible values can be computed when Bayesian structural equation modeling (BSEM) is performed. As mean plausible values do not preserve the inter-factor correlations, they yield path coefficients that are different from the estimated…

Applications · Statistics 2022-08-25 André Beauducel , Norbert Hilger

Turing's estimator allows one to estimate the probabilities of outcomes that either do not appear or only rarely appear in a given random sample. We perform a simulation study to understand the finite sample performance of several related…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-03-19 Jie Chang , Michael Grabchak , Jialin Zhang

Stated choice probabilities are increasingly used in conjunction with the random-coefficient model (RCM) to describe individual preferences. They allow survey respondents to express uncertainty about the future or the incompleteness of a…

General Economics · Economics 2025-03-19 Romuald Meango

Statistical inference for extreme values of random events is difficult in practice due to low sample sizes and inaccurate models for the studied rare events. If prior knowledge for extreme values is available, Bayesian statistics can be…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-05-18 Tobias Kallehauge

This note explores probabilistic sampling weighted by uncertainty in active learning. This method has been previously used and authors have tangentially remarked on its efficacy. The scheme has several benefits: (1) it is computationally…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-09-12 Vinay Jethava

Many modern datasets are collected automatically and are thus easily contaminated by outliers. This led to a regain of interest in robust estimation, including new notions of robustness such as robustness to adversarial contamination of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-05-05 Pierre Alquier , Mathieu Gerber