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Related papers: Skewness Premium with L\'evy Processes

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This paper proposes a class of asymmetric priors to perform Bayesian wavelet shrinkage in the standard nonparametric regression model with Gaussian error. The priors are composed by mixtures of a point mass function at zero and one of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-03 Alex Rodrigo dos Santos Sousa

In bayesian wavelet shrinkage, the already proposed priors to wavelet coefficients are assumed to be symmetric around zero. Although this assumption is reasonable in many applications, it is not general. The present paper proposes the use…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-10-12 Alex Rodrigo dos Santos Sousa

This article is dedicated to the study of an SPDE of the form $$Lu(t,x)=\sigma(u(t,x))\dot{Z}(t,x) \quad t>0, x \in \cO$$ with zero initial conditions and Dirichlet boundary conditions, where $\sigma$ is a Lipschitz function, $L$ is a…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-03-11 Raluca Balan

The skew-normal and the skew-$t$ distributions are parametric families which are currently under intense investigation since they provide a more flexible formulation compared to the classical normal and $t$ distributions by introducing a…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-03-13 Adelchi Azzalini , Reinaldo B. Arellano-Valle

A skew corner is a triple of points in $\mathbb{Z} \times \mathbb{Z}$ of the form $(x,y), (x, y + a)$ and $(x + a, y')$. Pratt posed the following question: how large can a set $A \subseteq [n] \times [n]$ be, provided it contains no…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2024-04-16 Luka Milićević

Skew normal model suffers from inferential drawbacks, namely singular Fisher information in the vicinity of symmetry and diverging of maximum likelihood estimation. To address the above drawbacks, Azzalini and Arellano-Valle (2013)…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-01-25 Jian Zhang , Tong Wang

We present a new uncertainty principle for risk-aware statistical estimation, effectively quantifying the inherent trade-off between mean squared error ($\mse$) and risk, the latter measured by the associated average predictive squared…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2021-12-13 Nikolas P. Koumpis , Dionysios S. Kalogerias

We present extensive evidence that ``risk premium'' is strongly correlated with tail-risk skewness but very little with volatility. We introduce a new, intuitive definition of skewness and elicit an approximately linear relation between the…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-11-02 Y. Lempérière , C. Deremble , T. T. Nguyen , P. Seager , M. Potters , J. P. Bouchaud

The main goal of this paper is an application of Bayesian model comparison, based on the posterior probabilities and posterior odds ratios, in testing the explanatory power of the set of competing GARCH (ang. Generalised Autoregressive…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2008-10-06 Mateusz Pipien

In the 1960s, Shiryaev developed a Bayesian theory of change-point detection in the i.i.d. case, which was generalized in the beginning of the 2000s by Tartakovsky and Veeravalli for general stochastic models assuming a certain stability of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-07-05 Chen-Der Fuh , Alexander G. Tartakovsky

The inversion of a Levy measure was first introduced (under a different name) in Sato 2007. We generalize the definition and give some properties. We then use inversions to derive a relationship between weak convergence of a Levy process to…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-01-27 Michael Grabchak

Conditional Autoregressive Value-at-Risk and Conditional Autoregressive Expectile have become two popular approaches for direct measurement of market risk. Since their introduction several improvements both in the Bayesian and in the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-10-01 Marco Bottone , Mauro Bernardi , Lea Petrella

The present paper proposes a bayesian approach for wavelet shrinkage with the use of a shrinkage prior based on the generalized secant hyperbolic distribution symmetric around zero in a nonparemetric regression problem. This shrinkage prior…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-08-13 Alex Rodrigo dos Santos Sousa

We study the Jeffreys prior of the skewness parameter of a general class of scalar skew--symmetric models. It is shown that this prior is symmetric about 0, proper, and with tails $O(\lambda^{-3/2})$ under mild regularity conditions. We…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-11-22 F. J. Rubio , B. Liseo

We use a continuous version of the standard deviation premium principle for pricing in incomplete equity markets by assuming that the investor issuing an unhedgeable derivative security requires compensation for this risk in the form of a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2008-12-02 Erhan Bayraktar , Virginia R. Young

We call a right-continuous increasing process $K_x$ a partial right inverse (PRI) of a given L\'{e}vy process $X$ if $X_{K_x}=x$ for at least all $x$ in some random interval $[0,\zeta)$ of positive length. In this paper, we give a necessary…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-10-22 Ron Doney , Mladen Savov

In these notes, we refine Mitsui's Prime Number Theorem from 1957, which for a number field $K$ predicts how many prime elements there are in bounded convex sets in $K \otimes_{\mathbf Q} \mathbf R$, by incorporating potential Siegel zeros…

Number Theory · Mathematics 2023-07-28 Wataru Kai

Skewness is a common occurrence in statistical applications. In recent years, various distribution families have been proposed to model skewed data by introducing unequal scales based on the median or mode. However, we argue that the point…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-01-10 Yiyuan She , Xiaoqiang Wu , Lizhu Tao , Debajyoti Sinha

L\'evy processes, known for their ability to model complex dynamics with skewness, heavy tails and discontinuities, play a critical role in stochastic modeling across various domains. However, inference for most L\'evy processes, whether in…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-29 Bill Z. Lin , Simon Godsill

We study a first passage time of a L\'evy process over a positive constant level. In the spectrally negative case we give conditions for absolutely continuity of the distributions of the first passage times. The tail asymptotics of their…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-03-16 Shunsuke Kaji , Muneya Matsui
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