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A recent result presented the expansion for the entropy rate of a Hidden Markov Process (HMP) as a power series in the noise variable $\eps$. The coefficients of the expansion around the noiseless ($\eps = 0$) limit were calculated up to…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2009-11-11 Or Zuk , Eytan Domany , Ido Kanter , Michael Aizenman

The entropy of a binary symmetric Hidden Markov Process is calculated as an expansion in the noise parameter epsilon. We map the problem onto a one-dimensional Ising model in a large field of random signs and calculate the expansion…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2009-11-11 O. Zuk , I. Kanter , E. Domany

Hidden Markov chains are widely applied statistical models of stochastic processes, from fundamental physics and chemistry to finance, health, and artificial intelligence. The hidden Markov processes they generate are notoriously…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2021-05-26 Alexandra M. Jurgens , James P. Crutchfield

We consider a pair of correlated processes {Z_n} and {S_n} (two sided), where the former is observable and the later is hidden. The uncertainty in the estimation of Z_n upon its finite past history is H(Z_n|Z_0^{n-1}), and for estimation of…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2007-07-13 Mohammad Rezaeian

Finding the entropy rate of Hidden Markov Processes is an active research topic, of both theoretical and practical importance. A recently used approach is studying the asymptotic behavior of the entropy rate in various regimes. In this…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2016-11-17 Or Zuk , Eytan Domany , Ido Kanter , Michael Aizenman

De-interleaving of the mixtures of Hidden Markov Processes (HMPs) generally depends on its representation model. Existing representation models consider Markov chain mixtures rather than hidden Markov, resulting in the lack of robustness to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-06-04 Jiadi Bao , Mengtao Zhu , Yunjie Li , Shafei Wang

Determining entropy rates of stochastic processes is a fundamental and difficult problem, with closed-form solutions known only for specific cases. This paper pushes the state-of-the-art by solving the problem for Hidden Markov Models…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2017-09-29 Joachim Breitner , Maciej Skorski

Loosely speaking, the Shannon entropy rate is used to gauge a stochastic process' intrinsic randomness; the statistical complexity gives the cost of predicting the process. We calculate, for the first time, the entropy rate and statistical…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2017-09-13 S. E. Marzen , J. P. Crutchfield

We demonstrate an efficient formula to compute the entropy rate $H(\mu)$ of a hidden Markov process with $q$ output symbols where at least one symbol is unambiguously received. Using an approximation to $H(\mu)$ to the first $N$ terms we…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2014-02-19 Jaideep Mulherkar

We show that maximum entropy (maxent) models can be modeled with certain kinds of HMMs, allowing us to construct maxent models with hidden variables, hidden state sequences, or other characteristics. The models can be trained using the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-01-07 Joshua Goodman

We present a proof of strong consistency of a Ziv-Merhav-type estimator of the cross entropy rate for pairs of hidden-Markov processes. Our proof strategy has two novel aspects: the focus on decoupling properties of the laws and the use of…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2024-10-23 Nicholas Barnfield , Raphaël Grondin , Gaia Pozzoli , Renaud Raquépas

Consider a stationary discrete random process with alphabet size d, which is assumed to be the output process of an unknown stationary Hidden Markov Model (HMM). Given the joint probabilities of finite length strings of the process, we are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-12-15 Qingqing Huang , Rong Ge , Sham Kakade , Munther Dahleh

Even simply-defined, finite-state generators produce stochastic processes that require tracking an uncountable infinity of probabilistic features for optimal prediction. For processes generated by hidden Markov chains the consequences are…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-09-15 Alexandra M. Jurgens , James P. Crutchfield

Hidden Markov Models, HMM's, are mathematical models of Markov processes with state that is hidden, but from which information can leak. They are typically represented as 3-way joint-probability distributions. We use HMM's as denotations of…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2023-06-22 Annabelle McIver , Carroll Morgan , Tahiry Rabehaja

The analyticity of the entropy and relative entropy rates of continuous-state hidden Markov models is studied here. Using the analytic continuation principle and the stability properties of the optimal filter, the analyticity of these rates…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2019-09-02 Vladislav Z. B. Tadic , Arnaud Doucet

Finding the correct encoding for a generic dynamical system's trajectory is a complicated task: the symbolic sequence needs to preserve the invariant properties from the system's trajectory. In theory, the solution to this problem is found…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2018-04-18 Nicolás Rubido , Celso Grebogi , Murilo S. Baptista

We describe a generalization of the Hierarchical Dirichlet Process Hidden Markov Model (HDP-HMM) which is able to encode prior information that state transitions are more likely between "nearby" states. This is accomplished by defining a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-07-24 Colin Reimer Dawson , Chaofan Huang , Clayton T. Morrison

Living systems operate far from thermal equilibrium by converting the chemical potential of ATP into mechanical work to achieve growth, replication or locomotion. Given time series observations of intra-, inter- or multicellular processes,…

Biological Physics · Physics 2021-11-03 Dominic J. Skinner , Jörn Dunkel

The conformational kinetics of enzymes can be reliably revealed when they are governed by Markovian dynamics. Hidden Markov Models (HMMs) are appropriate especially in the case of conformational states that are hardly distinguishable.…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2009-02-05 A. Kovalev , N. Zarrabi , F. Werz , M. Boersch , Z. Ristic , H. Lill , D. Bald , C. Tietz , J. Wrachtrup

Control applications often feature tasks with similar, but not identical, dynamics. We introduce the Hidden Parameter Markov Decision Process (HiP-MDP), a framework that parametrizes a family of related dynamical systems with a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-08-19 Finale Doshi-Velez , George Konidaris
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