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In many statistical problems the hypotheses are naturally divided into groups, and the investigators are interested to perform group-level inference, possibly along with inference on individual hypotheses. We consider the goal of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-05-20 Marina Bogomolov

In many settings, robust data analysis involves computational methods for uncertainty quantification and statistical inference. To design frequentist studies that leverage robust analysis methods, suitable sample sizes to achieve desired…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-19 Luke Hagar , Andrew J. Martin

As increasingly complex hypothesis-testing scenarios are considered in many scientific fields, analytic derivation of null distributions is often out of reach. To the rescue comes Monte Carlo testing, which may appear deceptively simple: as…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-04-13 Egil Ferkingstad , Lars Holden , Geir Kjetil Sandve

The difference Delta F between free energies has applications in biology, chemistry, and pharmacology. The value of Delta F can be estimated from experiments or simulations, via fluctuation theorems developed in statistical mechanics.…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-06-03 Nicole Yunger Halpern , Christopher Jarzynski

The use of weights provides an effective strategy to incorporate prior domain knowledge in large-scale inference. This paper studies weighted multiple testing in a decision-theoretic framework. We develop oracle and data-driven procedures…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-05-10 Pallavi Basu , T. Tony Cai , Kiranmoy Das , Wenguang Sun

A popular framework for false discovery control is the random effects model in which the null hypotheses are assumed to be independent. This paper generalizes the random effects model to a conditional dependence model which allows…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-12-18 Wei Biao Wu

A new method based on the rejection sampling for finding statistical tests is proposed. This method is conceptually intuitive, easy to implement, and applicable for arbitrary dimension. To illustrate its potential applicability, three…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-11 Markku Kuismin

An important aspect of multiple hypothesis testing is controlling the significance level, or the level of Type I error. When the test statistics are not independent it can be particularly challenging to deal with this problem, without…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-03-04 Sandy Clarke , Peter Hall

Two variational formulas for the power of the binary hypothesis testing problem are derived. The first is given as the Legendre transform of a certain function and the second, induced from the first, is given in terms of the Cumulative…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2016-01-27 Nir Elkayam , Meir Feder

The false discovery rate (FDR) and false nondiscovery rate (FNDR) have received considerable attention in the literature on multiple testing. These performance measures are also appropriate for classification, and in this work we develop…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-01-28 Clayton Scott , Gowtham Bellala , Rebecca Willett

Many testing problems are readily amenable to randomised tests such as those employing data splitting. However despite their usefulness in principle, randomised tests have obvious drawbacks. Firstly, two analyses of the same dataset may…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-09-05 F. Richard Guo , Rajen D. Shah

Large Language Models (LLMs) frequently hallucinate plausible but incorrect assertions, a vulnerability often missed by uncertainty metrics when models are confidently wrong. We propose DiffuTruth, an unsupervised framework that…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2026-02-13 Arpit Singh Gautam , Kailash Talreja , Saurabh Jha

We investigate the multiplicity model with m values of some test statistic independently drawn from a mixture of no effect (null) and positive effect (alternative), where we seek to identify, the alternative test results with a controlled…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-06 Zhiwen Jiang , Stephan Morgenthaler

Nonparametric two sample testing deals with the question of consistently deciding if two distributions are different, given samples from both, without making any parametric assumptions about the form of the distributions. The current…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-11-25 Aaditya Ramdas , Sashank J. Reddi , Barnabas Poczos , Aarti Singh , Larry Wasserman

Many published research results are false, and controversy continues over the roles of replication and publication policy in improving the reliability of research. Addressing these problems is frustrated by the lack of a formal framework…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2015-08-27 Richard McElreath , Paul E. Smaldino

As large and powerful neural language models are developed, researchers have been increasingly interested in developing diagnostic tools to probe them. There are many papers with conclusions of the form "observation X is found in model Y",…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2022-02-28 Zining Zhu , Jixuan Wang , Bai Li , Frank Rudzicz

A resurgence of interest in multiple hypothesis testing has occurred in the last decade. Motivated by studies in genomics, microarrays, DNA sequencing, drug screening, clinical trials, bioassays, education and psychology, statisticians have…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Arthur Cohen , Harold B. Sackrowitz

When designing experimental studies with human participants, experimenters must decide how many trials each participant will complete, as well as how many participants to test. Most discussion of statistical power (the ability of a study…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2021-08-30 Daniel H. Baker , Greta Vilidaite , Freya A. Lygo , Anika K. Smith , Tessa R. Flack , Andre D. Gouws , Timothy J. Andrews

We theoretically analyze the problem of testing for $p$-hacking based on distributions of $p$-values across multiple studies. We provide general results for when such distributions have testable restrictions (are non-increasing) under the…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-05-13 Graham Elliott , Nikolay Kudrin , Kaspar Wuthrich

We propose a frequentist testing procedure that maintains a defined coverage and is optimal in the sense that it gives maximal power to detect deviations from a null hypothesis when the alternative to the null hypothesis is sampled from a…

Applications · Statistics 2020-07-07 Christian Bartels , Johanna Mielke , Ekkehard Glimm