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Max-stable distributions and processes are important models for extreme events and the assessment of tail risks. The full, multivariate likelihood of a parametric max-stable distribution is complicated and only recent advances enable its…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-08-08 Clement Dombry , Sebastian Engelke , Marco Oesting

We consider the problems of parameter estimation for several models of threshold ergodic diffusion processes in the asymptotics of large samples. These models are the direct continuous time analogues of the well-known in time series…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-03-19 Yury A. Kutoyants

We find limiting distributions of the nonparametric maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) of a log-concave density, that is, a density of the form $f_0=\exp\varphi_0$ where $\varphi_0$ is a concave function on $\mathbb{R}$. The pointwise…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-04-17 Fadoua Balabdaoui , Kaspar Rufibach , Jon A. Wellner

We have shown in previous work that statistical inference for cooperative sequential adsorption model can be based on maximum likelihood estimation. In this paper we continue this research and establish asymptotic normality of the maximum…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-05-14 Mathew D. Penrose , Vadim Shcherbakov

While the asymptotic normality of the maximum likelihood estimator under regularity conditions is long established, this paper derives explicit bounds for the bounded Wasserstein distance between the distribution of the maximum likelihood…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-09-29 Andreas Anastasiou , Gesine Reinert

This paper introduces a Monte Carlo method for maximum likelihood inference in the context of discretely observed diffusion processes. The method gives unbiased and a.s.\@ continuous estimators of the likelihood function for a family of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-03-03 Alexandros Beskos , Omiros Papaspiliopoulos , Gareth Roberts

We discuss parametric estimation of a degenerate diffusion system from time-discrete observations. The first component of the degenerate diffusion system has a parameter $\theta_1$ in a non-degenerate diffusion coefficient and a parameter…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-02-25 Arnaud Gloter , Nakahiro Yoshida

We study the $N \to \infty$ limit of the normalized largest component in some systems of $N$ diffusive particles with mean-field interaction. By applying a universal time change, the interaction in noises is transferred to the drift terms,…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-01-17 Nikolaos Kolliopoulos , David Sanchez , Amy Xiao

The H\"usler-Reiss distribution describes the limit of the pointwise maxima of a bivariate normal distribution. This distribution is defined by a single parameter, $\lambda$. We provide asymptotic theory for maximum likelihood estimation of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-10-16 Hank Flury , Jan Hannig , Richard Smith

The existence and consistency of a maximum likelihood estimator for the joint probability distribution of random parameters in discrete-time abstract parabolic systems are established by taking a nonparametric approach in the context of a…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-04-26 Lernik Asserian , Susan E. Luczak , I. G. Rosen

We consider the problem of parameter estimation for a stochastic McKean-Vlasov equation, and the associated system of weakly interacting particles. We study two cases: one in which we observe multiple independent trajectories of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-11-28 Louis Sharrock , Nikolas Kantas , Panos Parpas , Grigorios A. Pavliotis

We show that the SDE $dX_t = \sigma(X_{t-}) \, dL_t$, $X_0 \sim \mu$ driven by a one-dimensional symnmetric $\alpha$-stable L\'evy process $(L_t)_{t \geq 0}$, $\alpha \in (0,2]$, has a unique weak solution for any continuous function…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-06-14 Franziska Kühn

We investigate the fractional Vasicek model described by the stochastic differential equation $dX_t=(\alpha -\beta X_t)\,dt+\gamma \,dB^H_t$, $X_0=x_0$, driven by the fractional Brownian motion $B^H$ with the known Hurst parameter $H\in…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-01-09 Stanislav Lohvinenko , Kostiantyn Ralchenko

This paper presents a tractable sufficient condition for the consistency of maximum likelihood estimators (MLEs) in partially observed diffusion models, stated in terms of stationary distribution of the associated fully observed diffusion,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-12-10 Sergey Nadtochiy , Yuan Yin

The assumption of log-concavity is a flexible and appealing nonparametric shape constraint in distribution modelling. In this work, we study the log-concave maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) of a probability mass function (pmf). We show…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-04-17 Fadoua Balabdaoui , Hanna Jankowski , Kaspar Rufibach , Marios Pavlides

We consider a stochastic differential equation of the form $dr_t = (a - b r_t) dt + \sigma r_t^\beta dW_t$, where $a$, $b$ and $\sigma$ are positive constants, $\beta\in(\frac12,1)$. We study the estimation of an unknown drift parameter…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-05-31 Yuliya Mishura , Kostiantyn Ralchenko , Olena Dehtiar

In this paper, we study the nonparametric maximum likelihood estimator for an event time distribution function at a point in the current status model with observation times supported on a grid of potentially unknown sparsity and with…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-05-29 Runlong Tang , Moulinath Banerjee , Michael R. Kosorok

We study maximum likelihood estimation for the statistical model for undirected random graphs, known as the $\beta$-model, in which the degree sequences are minimal sufficient statistics. We derive necessary and sufficient conditions, based…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2013-06-19 Alessandro Rinaldo , Sonja Petrović , Stephen E. Fienberg

In this paper, enlightened by the asymptotic expansion methodology developed by Li(2013b) and Li and Chen (2016), we propose a Taylor-type approximation for the transition densities of the stochastic differential equations (SDEs) driven by…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-03-16 Fan Jiang , Xin Zang , Jingping Yang

We prove the strong consistency and the asymptotic normality of the maximum likelihood estimator of the parameters of a general conditionally heteroscedastic model with $\alpha$-stable innovations. Then, we relax the assumptions and only…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-01-01 Guillaume Lepage