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We study some regularity properties in locally stationary Markov models which are fundamental for controlling the bias of nonparametric kernel estimators. In particular, we provide an alternative to the standard notion of derivative process…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-12-07 Lionel Truquet

This paper presents a novel theoretical Monte Carlo Markov chain procedure in the framework of graphs. It specifically deals with the construction of a Markov chain whose empirical distribution converges to a given reference one. The Markov…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-07-02 Roy Cerqueti , Emilio De Santis

Less rigid than phylogenetic trees, phylogenetic networks allow the description of a wider range of evolutionary events. In this note, we explain how to extend the rank invariants from phylogenetic trees to phylogenetic networks evolving…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-04-28 Marta Casanellas , Jesús Fernández-Sánchez

Starting with a likelihood or preference order on worlds, we extend it to a likelihood ordering on sets of worlds in a natural way, and examine the resulting logic. Lewis earlier considered such a notion of relative likelihood in the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2016-08-31 J. Y. Halpern

We examine the issue of stability of probability in reasoning about complex systems with uncertainty in structure. Normally, propositions are viewed as probability functions on an abstract random graph where it is implicitly assumed that…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2017-12-14 Subhash Kak

In this paper, we abstract a kind of stochastic processes from evolving processes of growing networks, this process is called growing network Markov chains. Thus the existence and the formulas of degree distribution are transformed to the…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2015-05-13 Zhenting Hou , Xiangxing Kong , Dinghua Shi , Guanrong Chen , Qinggui Zhao

We analyze quasi-stationary distributions $\{\mu^{\varepsilon}\}_{\varepsilon>0}$ of a family of Markov chains $\{X^{\varepsilon}\}_{\varepsilon>0}$ that are random perturbations of a bounded, continuous map $F:M\to M$, where $M$ is a…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-04-16 Mathieu Faure , Sebastian J. Schreiber

In this article, we consider inverse problems of determining a source term and a coefficient of a first-order partial differential equation and prove conditional stability estimates with minimum boundary observation data and relaxed…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2015-09-02 Fikret Gölgeleyen , Masahiro Yamamoto

We analyze ecological systems that are influenced by random environmental fluctuations. We first provide general conditions which ensure that the species coexist and the system converges to a unique invariant probability measure (stationary…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-05-19 Alexandru Hening , Yao Li

In this review-type paper written at the occasion of the Oberwolfach workshop {\em One-sided vs. Two-sided stochastic processes} (february 22-29, 2020), we discuss and compare Markov properties and generalisations thereof in more…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-12-01 Aernout van Enter , Arnaud Le Ny , Frédéric Paccaut

We study a class of Markov chains that model the evolution of a quantum system subject to repeated measurements. Each Markov chain in this class is defined by a measure on the space of matrices. It is then given by a random product of…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-04-03 Tristan Benoist , Martin Fraas , Yan Pautrat , Clément Pellegrini

The stability of iterations of affine linear maps $\Psi_{n}(x)=A_{n}x+B_{n}$, $n=1,2,\ldots$, is studied in the presence of a Markovian environment, more precisely, for the situation when $(A_{n},B_{n})_{n\ge 1}$ is modulated by an ergodic…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-03-09 Gerold Alsmeyer , Fabian Buckmann

The conventional perspective on Markov chains considers decision problems concerning the probabilities of temporal properties being satisfied by traces of visited states. However, consider the following query made of a stochastic system…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2024-06-24 Rajab Aghamov , Christel Baier , Toghrul Karimov , Joris Nieuwveld , Joël Ouaknine , Jakob Piribauer , Mihir Vahanwala

The partial sum of the states of a Markov chain or more generally a Markov source is asymptotically normally distributed under suitable conditions. One of these conditions is that the variance is unbounded. A simple combinatorial…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2023-06-22 Sara Kropf

For a Markov chain both the detailed balance condition and the cycle Kolmogorov condition are algebraic binomials. This remark suggests to study reversible Markov chains with the tool of Algebraic Statistics, such as toric statistical…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-03-31 Giovanni Pistone , Maria Piera Rogantin

When the initial and transition probabilities of a finite Markov chain in discrete time are not well known, we should perform a sensitivity analysis. This can be done by considering as basic uncertainty models the so-called credal sets that…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-11-24 Gert de Cooman , Filip Hermans , Erik Quaeghebeur

We consider a discrete-time Markov chain $(X^t,Y^t)$, $t=0,1,2,...$, where the $X$-component forms a Markov chain itself. Assume that $(X^t)$ is Harris-ergodic and consider an auxiliary Markov chain ${\hat{Y}^t}$ whose transition…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-02-13 Sergey Foss , Seva Shneer , Andrey Tyurlikov

We derive the conditions for recurrence and transience for time-inhomogeneous birth-and-death processes considered as random walks with positively biased drifts. We establish a general result, from which the earlier known particular results…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-05-11 Vyacheslav M. Abramov

A transition matrix $[U_{i,j}]_{i,j\geq 0}$ on $\mathbb{N}$ is said to be almost upper triangular if $U_{i,j}\geq 0\Rightarrow j\geq i-1$, so that the increments of the corresponding Markov chains are at least $-1$; a transition matrix…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-09-15 Luis Fredes , Jean-Francois Marckert

We generalize the concept of ascending and descending runs from permutations to rooted labelled trees and mappings, i.e., functions from the set $\{1, \dots, n\}$ into itself. A combinatorial decomposition of the corresponding functional…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2020-07-06 Marie-Louise Lackner , Alois Panholzer