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Clinical trials with longitudinal outcomes typically include missing data due to missed assessments or structural missingness of outcomes after intercurrent events handled with a hypothetical strategy. Approaches based on Bayesian random…

In this article we propose a general class of risk measures which can be used for data based evaluation of parametric models. The loss function is defined as generalized quadratic distance between the true density and the proposed model.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-10-02 Surajit Ray , Bruce G. Lindsay

For the multivariate linear regression model with unknown covariance, the corrected Akaike information criterion is the minimum variance unbiased estimator of the expected Kullback--Leibler discrepancy. In this study, based on the loss…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-03-20 Takeru Matsuda

Longitudinal data tracking repeated measurements on individuals are highly valued for research because they offer controls for unmeasured individual heterogeneity that might otherwise bias results. Random effects or mixed models approaches,…

Applications · Statistics 2009-09-29 J. R. Lockwood , Daniel F. McCaffrey

Many problems in statistics and machine learning can be formulated as model selection problems, where the goal is to choose an optimal parsimonious model among a set of candidate models. It is typical to conduct model selection by…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-04-29 Qingyuan Zhang , Hien Duy Nguyen

This paper applies the minimum message length principle to inference of linear regression models with Student-t errors. A new criterion for variable selection and parameter estimation in Student-t regression is proposed. By exploiting…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-02-21 Chi Kuen Wong , Enes Makalic , Daniel F. Schmidt

Structural equation modeling (SEM) is a statistical method used to investigate relationships among latent variables. In SEM, the model must be specified in advance. However, in practice, statisticians often have several candidate models and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-11-19 Shogo Kusano , Masayuki Uchida

There is a growing interest in the so-called Bayesian Predictive Inference approach, which allows to perform Bayesian inference without specifying the likelihood and prior of the model, or the need of any MCMC. Instead, only a sequence of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-09-30 Marco Battiston , Lorenzo Cappello

The likelihood for the parameters of a generalized linear mixed model involves an integral which may be of very high dimension. Because of this intractability, many approximations to the likelihood have been proposed, but all can fail when…

Computation · Statistics 2014-09-01 Helen Ogden

Shi and Tsai (JRSSB, 2002) proposed an interesting residual information criterion (RIC) for model selection in regression. Their RIC was motivated by the principle of minimizing the Kullback-Leibler discrepancy between the residual…

Methodology · Statistics 2007-11-14 Chenlei Leng

We introduce a generalized information criterion that contains other well-known information criteria, such as Bayesian information Criterion (BIC) and Akaike information criterion (AIC), as special cases. Furthermore, the proposed spectral…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-08-21 L. Martino , R. San Millan-Castillo , E. Morgado

Information theoretic criteria (ITC) have been widely adopted in engineering and statistics for selecting, among an ordered set of candidate models, the one that better fits the observed sample data. The selected model minimizes a penalized…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-10-10 Andrea Mariani , Andrea Giorgetti , Marco Chiani

In a Gaussian graphical model, the conditional independence between two variables are characterized by the corresponding zero entries in the inverse covariance matrix. Maximum likelihood method using the smoothly clipped absolute deviation…

Methodology · Statistics 2009-09-07 Xin Gao , Daniel Q. Pu , Yuehua Wu , Hong Xu

This paper compares three approaches to the problem of selecting among probability models to fit data (1) use of statistical criteria such as Akaike's information criterion and Schwarz's "Bayesian information criterion," (2) maximization of…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-11-04 William B. Poland , Ross D. Shachter

The Cox proportional hazards model, commonly used in clinical trials, assumes proportional hazards. However, it does not hold when, for example, there is a delayed onset of the treatment effect. In such a situation, an acute change in the…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-04-22 Ryoto Ozaki , Yoshiyuki Ninomiya

Many important modeling tasks in linear regression, including variable selection (in which slopes of some predictors are set equal to zero) and simplified models based on sums or differences of predictors (in which slopes of those…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-09-22 Sen Tian , Clifford M. Hurvich , Jeffrey S. Simonoff

When performing regression or classification, we are interested in the conditional probability distribution for an outcome or class variable Y given a set of explanatoryor input variables X. We consider Bayesian models for this task. In…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-02-08 David Heckerman , Christopher Meek

Poisson random effect models with a shared random effect have been widely used in actuarial science for analyzing the number of claims. In particular, the random effect is a key factor in a posteriori risk classification. However, the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-11-13 Woojoo Lee , Jeonghwan Kim , Jae Youn Ahn

The inferential model (IM) framework provides valid prior-free probabilistic inference by focusing on predicting unobserved auxiliary variables. But, efficient IM-based inference can be challenging when the auxiliary variable is of higher…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-01-20 Ryan Martin , Chuanhai Liu

In prediction problems with more predictors than observations, it can sometimes be helpful to use a joint probability model, $\pi(Y,X)$, rather than a purely conditional model, $\pi(Y \mid X)$, where $Y$ is a scalar response variable and…

Methodology · Statistics 2010-11-17 P. Richard Hahn , Sayan Mukherjee , Carlos Carvalho
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