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Missing time-series data is a prevalent practical problem. Imputation methods in time-series data often are applied to the full panel data with the purpose of training a model for a downstream out-of-sample task. For example, in finance,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-04-13 Jose Blanchet , Fernando Hernandez , Viet Anh Nguyen , Markus Pelger , Xuhui Zhang

We develop a simple stock selection model to explain why active equity managers tend to underperform a benchmark index. We motivate our model with the empirical observation that the best performing stocks in a broad market index often…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2018-01-16 J. B. Heaton , N. G. Polson , J. H. Witte

The stochastic nature of iterative optimization heuristics leads to inherently noisy performance measurements. Since these measurements are often gathered once and then used repeatedly, the number of collected samples will have a…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2022-04-25 Diederick Vermetten , Hao Wang , Manuel López-Ibañez , Carola Doerr , Thomas Bäck

Hedge Funds are considered as one of the portfolio management sectors which shows a fastest growing for the past decade. An optimal Hedge Fund management requires an appropriate risk metrics. The classic CAPM theory and its Ratio Sharpe…

Physics and Society · Physics 2008-12-02 Josep Perello

This work explores facial expression bias as a security vulnerability of face recognition systems. Despite the great performance achieved by state-of-the-art face recognition systems, the algorithms are still sensitive to a large range of…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-06-21 Alejandro Peña , Ignacio Serna , Aythami Morales , Julian Fierrez , Agata Lapedriza

We investigate the impact of big winner stocks on the performance of active and passive investment strategies using a combination of numerical and analytical techniques. Our analysis is based on historical stock price data from 2006 to 2021…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-10-11 Maxime Markov , Vladimir Markov

We address the problem of partial index tracking, replicating a benchmark index using a small number of assets. Accurate tracking with a sparse portfolio is extensively studied as a classic finance problem. However in practice, a tracking…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-02-04 Yu Zheng , Timothy M. Hospedales , Yongxin Yang

Portfolio managers are typically constrained by turnover limits, minimum and maximum stock positions, cardinality, a target market capitalization and sometimes the need to hew to a style (such as growth or value). In addition, portfolio…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2012-01-04 Andrew Clark , Jeff Kenyon

Backtests on historical data are the basis for practical evaluations of portfolio selection rules, but their reliability is often limited by reliance on a single sample path. This can lead to high estimation variance. Resampling techniques…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-10-14 Andrew Paskaramoorthy , Terence van Zyl , Tim Gebbie

American cities devote significant resources to the implementation of traffic safety countermeasures that prevent pedestrian fatalities. However, the before-after comparisons typically used to evaluate the success of these countermeasures…

Applications · Statistics 2018-09-10 Jonathan Auerbach , Christopher Eshleman , Rob Trangucci

The success of a cross-sectional systematic strategy depends critically on accurately ranking assets prior to portfolio construction. Contemporary techniques perform this ranking step either with simple heuristics or by sorting outputs from…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2020-12-15 Daniel Poh , Bryan Lim , Stefan Zohren , Stephen Roberts

Credit risk assessment is a crucial aspect of financial decision-making, enabling institutions to predict the likelihood of default and make informed lending decisions. Two prominent methodologies in credit risk modeling are logistic…

Applications · Statistics 2026-04-30 Cheng Lee , Hsi Lee

We focus on parameterized policy search for reinforcement learning over continuous action spaces. Typically, one assumes the score function associated with a policy is bounded, which fails to hold even for Gaussian policies. To properly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-01 Amrit Singh Bedi , Souradip Chakraborty , Anjaly Parayil , Brian Sadler , Pratap Tokekar , Alec Koppel

With the industry trend of shifting from a traditional hierarchical approach to flatter management structure, crowdsourced performance assessment gained mainstream popularity. One fundamental challenge of crowdsourced performance assessment…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-10-15 Yifei Huang , Matt Shum , Xi Wu , Jason Zezhong Xiao

Although being a crucial question for the development of machine learning algorithms, there is still no consensus on how to compare classifiers over multiple data sets with respect to several criteria. Every comparison framework is…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-07-06 Christoph Jansen , Malte Nalenz , Georg Schollmeyer , Thomas Augustin

Machine learning models are becoming increasingly popular in different types of settings. This is mainly caused by their ability to achieve a level of predictive performance that is hard to match by human experts in this new era of big…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-09-20 Luis Torgo , Paulo Azevedo , Ines Areosa

We introduce When Alpha Disappears, a paired evaluation benchmark for diagnosing decision-time leakage in financial machine-learning backtests. Rather than treating leakage as a binary property, the benchmark estimates protocol-induced…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2026-05-26 Fan Zhang , Zhen Li , Sijia Peng , Yu Chen

In the rapidly evolving domain of Recommender Systems (RecSys), new algorithms frequently claim state-of-the-art performance based on evaluations over a limited set of arbitrarily selected datasets. However, this approach may fail to…

Structuring a viable pension plan is a problem that arises in the study of financial contracts pricing and bears special importance these days. Deterministic pension models often rely on projections that are based on several assumptions…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2014-07-03 Paz Grimberg , Zeev Schuss

Large Language Model (LLM) leaderboards based on benchmark rankings are regularly used to guide practitioners in model selection. Often, the published leaderboard rankings are taken at face value - we show this is a (potentially costly)…