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Using generating functional and replica techniques, respectively, we study the dynamics and statics of a spherical Minority Game (MG), which in contrast with a spherical MG previously presented in J.Phys A: Math. Gen. 36 11159 (2003)…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2009-11-11 Tobias Galla , David Sherrington

We present an exact dynamical solution of a spherical version of the batch minority game (MG) with random external information. The control parameters in this model are the ratio of the number of possible values for the public information…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2009-11-10 T. Galla , A. C. C. Coolen , D. Sherrington

In this paper the extended model of Minority game (MG), incorporating variable number of agents and therefore called Grand Canonical, is used for prediction. We proved that the best MG-based predictor is constituted by a tremendously…

Applications · Statistics 2013-09-16 Karol Wawrzyniak , Wojciech Wiślicki

Ergodic stationary states of Minority Games with S strategies per agent can be characterised in terms of the asymptotic probabilities $\phi_a$ with which an agent uses $a$ of his strategies. We propose here a simple and general method to…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-11-13 A. De Martino , I. Perez Castillo , D. Sherrington

We solve the dynamics of large spherical Minority Games (MG) in the presence of non-negligible time dependent external contributions to the overall market bid. The latter represent the actions of market regulators, or other major natural or…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2009-11-13 P. Papadopoulos , A. C. C. Coolen

Both the phenomenology and the theory of minority games (MG) with more than two strategies per agent are different from those of the conventional and extensively studied case S=2. MGs with $S>2$ exhibit nontrivial statistics of the…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2009-11-11 N. Shayeghi , A. C. C. Coolen

Mean field games model equilibria in games with a continuum of players as limiting systems of symmetric $n$-player games with weak interaction between the players. We consider a finite-state, infinite-horizon problem with two cost criteria:…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2022-11-17 Asaf Cohen , Ethan Zell

We discuss a simple version of the Minority Game (MG) in which agents hold only one strategy each, but in which their capitals evolve dynamically according to their success and in which the total trading volume varies in time accordingly.…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-05-13 Tobias Galla , Yi-Cheng Zhang

The existence of a phase transition with diverging susceptibility in batch Minority Games (MGs) is the mark of informationally efficient regimes and is linked to the specifics of the agents' learning rules. Here we study how the standard…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-11-13 Tobias Galla , Andrea De Martino

We propose a payoff function extending Minority Games (MG) that captures the competition between agents to make money. In constrast with previous MG, the best strategies are not always targeting the minority but are shifting…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-11-07 Jorgen Vitting Andersen , Didier Sornette

Mean Field Game (MFG) systems describe equilibrium configurations in games with infinitely many interacting controllers. We are interested in the behavior of this system as the horizon becomes large, or as the discount factor tends to $0$.…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-03-13 Pierre Cardaliaguet , Alessio Porretta

We show that a simple evolutionary scheme, when applied to the minority game (MG), changes the phase structure of the game. In this scheme each agent evolves individually whenever his wealth reaches the specified bankruptcy level, in…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-10 Baosheng Yuan , Kan Chen

We analyze grand-canonical minority games with infinite and finite score memory and different updating timescales (from `on-line' games to `batch' games) in detail with various complementary methods, both analytical and numerical. We focus…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2007-05-23 Damien Challet , Andrea De Martino , Matteo Marsili , Isaac Perez Castillo

Hypothesis Testing Minority Game (HMG) is a variant of the standard Minority Game (MG) that models the inertial behavior of agents in the market. In the earlier study of our group, we find that agents cooperate better in HMG than in the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-11-13 H. F. Chau , V. H. Chan , F. K. Chow

We consider deterministic Mean Field Games (MFG) in all Euclidean space with a cost functional continuous with respect to the distribution of the agents and attaining its minima in a compact set. We first show that the static MFG with such…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2024-03-18 Martino Bardi , Hicham Kouhkouh

The minority game (MG) model introduced recently provides promising insights into the understanding of the evolution of prices, indices and rates in the financial markets. In this paper we perform a time series analysis of the model…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2008-12-02 Fernando F. Ferreira , Gerson Francisco , Birajara S. Machado , Paulsamy Muruganandam

Canonical models of Markov decision processes (MDPs) usually consider geometric discounting based on a constant discount factor. While this standard modeling approach has led to many elegant results, some recent studies indicate the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-07-21 Jiarui Gan , Annika Hennes , Rupak Majumdar , Debmalya Mandal , Goran Radanovic

The Full Strategy Minority Game (FSMG) is an instance of the Minority Game (MG) which includes a single copy of every potential agent. In this work, we explicitly solve the FSMG thanks to certain symmetries of this game. Furthermore, by…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-05-27 Gabriel Acosta , Inés Caridi , Sebastián Guala , Javier Marenco

We develop a game theoretical model of $N$ heterogeneous interacting agents called the intelligent minority game. The ``intelligent'' agents play the basic minority game and depending on their performances, generate new strategies using the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 Marko Sysi-Aho , Anirban Chakraborti , Kimmo Kaski

In this paper we study the continuum time dynamics of a stock in a market where agents behavior is modeled by a Minority Game and a Grand Canonical Minority Game. The dynamics derived is a generalized geometric Brownian motion; from the…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2013-05-17 Matteo Ortisi , Valerio Zuccolo
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