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Two crucial elements facilitate the understanding and control of communicable disease spread within a social setting. These components are, the underlying contact structure among individuals that determines the pattern of disease…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2013-05-29 Pierre-Andre Noel , Bahman Davoudi , Louis J. Dube , Robert C. Brunham , Babak Pourbohloul

In this paper we consider a model for the spread of a stochastic SIR (Susceptible $\to$ Infectious $\to$ Recovered) epidemic on a network of individuals described by a random intersection graph. Individuals belong to a random number of…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-04-29 Frank G. Ball , David J. Sirl , Pieter Trapman

With the premise that social interactions are described by power-law distributions, we study a SIR stochastic dynamic on a static scale-free random network generated via configuration model. We verify our model with respect to deterministic…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-05-10 Sara Sottile , Ozan Kahramanoğulları , Mattia Sensi

Consider a graph where the sites are distributed in space according to a Poisson point process on $\mathbb R^n$. We study a population evolving on this network, with individuals jumping between sites with a rate which decreases…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-04-05 Vincent Bansaye , Michele Salvi

We study the level spacing distribution p(s) in the spectrum of random networks. According to our numerical results, the shape of p(s) in the Erdos-Renyi (E-R) random graph is determined by the average degree <k>, and p(s) undergoes a…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2007-05-23 Gergely Palla , Gabor Vattay

Infection dynamics have been studied extensively on complex networks, yielding insight into the effects of heterogeneity in contact patterns on disease spread. Somewhat separately, metapopulations have provided a paradigm for modeling…

Physics and Society · Physics 2013-08-09 Jason Hindes , Sarabjeet Singh , Christopher R. Myers , David J. Schneider

Can evolving networks be inferred and modeled without directly observing their nodes and edges? In many applications, the edges of a dynamic network might not be observed, but one can observe the dynamics of stochastic cascading processes…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-02-26 Elahe Ghalebi , Baharan Mirzasoleiman , Radu Grosu , Jure Leskovec

We introduce a rigorous framework for stochastic cell transmission models for general traffic networks. The performance of traffic systems is evaluated based on preference functionals and acceptable designs. The numerical implementation…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-25 Zachary Feinstein , Marcel Kleiber , Stefan Weber

The dynamics of infection spread in populations has received popular attention since the outbreak of Covid-19 and many statistical models have been developed. One of the interesting areas of research is short-time dynamics in confined,…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-01-22 Rahul Sheshanarayana , Prateek K. Jha

Our main goal is to examine the role of communities in epidemic spread in a random graph model. More precisely, we consider a random graph model which consists of overlapping complete graphs, representing households, workplaces, school…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-08-25 Ágnes Backhausz , György J. Székely

A new class of probabilistic models for cascading failure propagation in interconnected systems is proposed. The models take into account important characteristics of real systems that are not considered in existing generic approaches.…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2010-03-31 Jörg Lehmann , Jakob Bernasconi

The Susceptible-Infected-Susceptible model is a canonical model for emerging disease outbreaks. Such outbreaks are naturally modeled as taking place on networks. A theoretical challenge in network epidemiology is the dynamic correlations…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-06-29 Chao-Ran Cai , Zhi-Xi Wu , Michael Z. Q. Chen , Petter Holme , Jian-Yue Guan

We obtain tight thresholds for bond percolation on one-dimensional small-world graphs, and apply such results to obtain tight thresholds for the \emph{Independent Cascade} process and the \emph{Reed-Frost} process in such graphs. These are…

The importation and subsequent establishment of novel pathogenic strains in a population is subject to a large degree of uncertainty due to the stochastic nature of the disease dynamics. Mathematical models need to take this stochasticity…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-12-02 Jacob Curran-Sebastian , Frederik Mølkjær Andersen , Samir Bhatt

Mathematical modeling of epidemic propagation on networks is extended to hypergraphs in order to account for both the community structure and the nonlinear dependence of the infection pressure on the number of infected neighbours. The exact…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2016-10-31 Ágnes Bodó , Gyula Y. Katona , Péter L. Simon

A simple model to study cooperation is the two-species symbiotic contact process (2SCP), in which two different species spread on a graph and interact by a reduced death rate if both occupy the same vertex, representing a symbiotic…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-08-31 Guilherme S. Costa , Marcelo M. de Oliveira , Silvio C. Ferreira

The contact process is a simple infection spreading model showcasing an out-of-equilibrium phase transition between a macroscopically active and an inactive phase. Such absorbing state phase transitions are often sensitive to the presence…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-09-22 Leone V. Luzzatto , Juan Felipe Barrera López , István A. Kovács

We study the dynamics of the Stochastic Sandpile Model on finite graphs, with two main results. First, we describe a procedure to exactly sample from the stationary distribution of the model in all connected finite graphs, extending a…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-23 Concetta Campailla , Nicolas Forien

We propose generalizations of a number of standard network models, including the classic random graph, the configuration model, and the stochastic block model, to the case of time-varying networks. We assume that the presence and absence of…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2018-05-02 Xiao Zhang , Cristopher Moore , M. E. J. Newman

We consider stochastic reaction-diffusion equations on a finite network represented by a finite graph. On each edge in the graph a multiplicative cylindrical Gaussian noise driven reaction-diffusion equation is given supplemented by a…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-06-22 Mihály Kovács , Eszter Sikolya