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Bayesian inference for nonlinear diffusions, observed at discrete times, is a challenging task that has prompted the development of a number of algorithms, mainly within the computational statistics community. We propose a new direction,…

Computation · Statistics 2022-01-11 Matthew M. Graham , Alexandre H. Thiery , Alexandros Beskos

Active multi-target tracking requires a mobile robot to balance exploration for undetected targets with exploitation of uncertain tracked ones. Diffusion policies have emerged as a powerful approach for capturing diverse behavioral…

Robotics · Computer Science 2026-04-07 Haotian Xiang , Qin Lu , Yaakov Bar-Shalom

Exoplanet research is carried out at the limits of the capabilities of current telescopes and instruments. The studied signals are weak, and often embedded in complex systematics from instrumental, telluric, and astrophysical sources.…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2019-02-06 Hannu Parviainen

In this paper we consider parameter estimation for discretely observed diffusion processes. In particular, we focus on data that are observed at low frequency and methodology that can estimate parameters with uncertainty quantification.…

Computation · Statistics 2026-05-01 Jingning Yao , Ajay Jasra , Sheng Jiang

Determination of the thermal properties of a material is an important task in many scientific and engineering applications. How a material behaves when subjected to high or fluctuating temperatures can be critical to the safety and…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-02-20 James Rynn , Simon Cotter , Catherine E Powell , Louise Wright

A method is developed for estimating the emission rates of contaminants into the atmosphere from multiple point sources using measurements of particulate material deposited at ground level. The approach is based on a Gaussian plume type…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2010-06-11 Enkeleida Lushi , John M. Stockie

Despite their theoretical importance, dynamic Bayesian networks associated with quantum processes are currently not accessible experimentally. We here describe a general scheme to determine the multi-time path probability of a Bayesian…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2021-04-06 Kaonan Micadei , Gabriel T. Landi , Eric Lutz

This paper presents a Bayesian parameter estimation approach and identifiability analysis for a lithium-ion battery model, to determine the uniqueness, evaluate the sensitivity and quantify the uncertainty of a subset of the model…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-09-04 Antti Aitio , Scott G. Marquis , Pedro Ascencio , David Howey

Optical spectroscopic sensors are powerful tools for analysing gas mixtures in industrial and scientific applications. Whilst highly sensitive spectrometers tend to have a large footprint, miniaturized optical devices usually lack…

Diffuse emission is observed in galaxies in many tracers across the electromagnetic spectrum, including tracers of star formation, such as H$\alpha$ and ultraviolet (UV), and tracers of gas mass, such as carbon monoxide (CO) transition…

The release of a gas limited by surface desorption, or by diffusion from the bulk of spherical pebbles is revisited. A method is proposed to identify the release limiting process, by comparing a partial temperature ramp, up to slightly…

Other Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-11-13 Ricardo E. Avila

We consider a hidden Markov model, where the signal process, given by a diffusion, is only indirectly observed through some noisy measurements. The article develops a variational method for approximating the hidden states of the signal…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-10-26 Tobias Sutter , Arnab Ganguly , Heinz Koeppl

This article is concerned with the mathematical analysis of a family of adaptive importance sampling algorithms applied to diffusion processes. These methods, referred to as Adaptive Biasing Potential methods, are designed to efficiently…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-05-10 Michel Benaïm , Charles-Edouard Bréhier

We present a new transport-based approach to efficiently perform sequential Bayesian inference of static model parameters. The strategy is based on the extraction of conditional distribution from the joint distribution of parameters and…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-08-29 Paul-Baptiste Rubio , Youssef Marzouk , Matthew Parno

In this work we study systems consisting of a group of moving particles. In such systems, often some important parameters are unknown and have to be estimated from observed data. Such parameter estimation problems can often be solved via a…

Applications · Statistics 2023-07-11 Chen Cheng , Linjie Wen , Jinglai Li

Conventional approximations to Bayesian inference rely on either approximations by statistics such as mean and covariance or by point particles. Recent advances such as the ensemble Gaussian mixture filter have generalized these notions to…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-04-10 Andrey A Popov

This paper proposes a novel method for testing observability in Gaussian models using discrete density approximations (deterministic samples) of (multivariate) Gaussians. Our notion of observability is defined by the existence of the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-08-19 Ariane Hanebeck , Claudia Czado

We propose two distributed set-based observers using strip-based and set-propagation approaches for linear discrete-time dynamical systems with bounded modeling and measurement uncertainties. Both algorithms utilize a set-based diffusion…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-06-21 Amr Alanwar , Jagat Jyoti Rath , Hazem Said , Karl Henrik Johansson , Matthias Althoff

This paper presents a Bayesian method for identification of jump Markov linear system parameters. A primary motivation is to provide accurate quantification of parameter uncertainty without relying on asymptotic in data-length arguments. To…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-02-11 Mark P. Balenzuela , Adrian G. Wills , Christopher Renton , Brett Ninness

Object pose estimation from a single view remains a challenging problem. In particular, partial observability, occlusions, and object symmetries eventually result in pose ambiguity. To account for this multimodality, this work proposes…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-12-03 Christian Möller , Niklas Funk , Jan Peters