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Variability on external conditions has important consequences for the dynamics and the organization of biological systems. In many cases, the characteristic timescale of environmental changes as well as their correlations play a fundamental…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2017-10-03 Tommaso Spanio , Jorge Hidalgo , Miguel A. Muñoz

We are interested in the long time behavior of a two-type density-dependent biological population conditioned to non-extinction, in both cases of competition or weak cooperation between the two species. This population is described by a…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-11-04 Patrick Cattiaux , Sylvie Méléard

Effects of non-Gaussian $\alpha-$stable L\'evy noise on the Gompertz tumor growth model are quantified by considering the mean exit time and escape probability of the cancer cell density from inside a safe or benign domain. The mean exit…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2016-12-21 Jian Ren , Chujin Li , Ting Gao , Xingye Kan , Jinqiao Duan

Environmental stochasticity is known to be a destabilizing factor, increasing abundance fluctuations and extinction rates of populations. However, the stability of a community may benefit from the differential response of species to…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2016-02-10 Matan Danino , Nadav M. Shnerb , Sandro Azaele , William E. Kunin , David A. Kessler

We study the evolutionary dynamics of a phenotypically structured population in a changing environment , where the environmental conditions vary with a linear trend but in an oscillatory manner. Such phenomena can be described by parabolic…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2021-05-04 Susely Figueroa Iglesias , Sepideh Mirrahimi

We consider two dimensional Lotka-Volterra systems in fluctuating environment. Relying on recent results on stochastic persistence and piecewise deterministic Markov processes, we show that random switching between two environments both…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-12-16 Michel Benaïm , Claude Lobry

Population dynamics in random ecological networks are investigated by analyzing a simple deterministic equation. It is found that a sequence of abrupt changes of populations punctuating quiescent states characterize the long time behavior.…

chao-dyn · Physics 2008-02-03 Shin-ichi Sasa , Tsuyoshi Chawanya

It is well-established that including spatial structure and stochastic noise in models for predator-prey interactions invalidates the classical deterministic Lotka-Volterra picture of neutral population cycles. In contrast, stochastic…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2011-09-20 Uwe C. Tauber

We study species abundance in the empirical plant-pollinator mutualistic networks exhibiting broad degree distributions, with uniform intra-group competition assumed, by the Lotka-Volterra equation. The stability of a fixed point is found…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-01-25 Hyun Woo Lee , Jae Woo Lee , Deok-Sun Lee

We present a novel approach allowing the study of rare events like fixation under fluctuating environments, modeled as extrinsic noise, in evolutionary processes characterized by the dominance of one species. Our treatment consists of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2013-12-16 Michael Assaf , Mauro Mobilia , Elijah Roberts

The extinction time of an isolated population can be exponentially reduced by a periodic modulation of its environment. We investigate this effect using, as an example, a stochastic branching-annihilation process with a time-dependent…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2014-08-06 Michael Assaf , Alex Kamenev , Baruch Meerson

We have analyzed the interplay between noise and periodic modulations in a classical Lotka-Volterra model of two-species competition. We have found that the consideration of noise changes drastically the behavior of the system and leads to…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 J. M. G. Vilar , R. V. Solé

The question of whether a population will persist or go extinct is of key interest throughout ecology and biology. Various mathematical techniques allow us to generate knowledge regarding individual behaviour, which can be analysed to…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-04-28 Stuart T. Johnston , Matthew J. Simpson , Edmund J. Crampin

In large but finite populations, weak demographic stochasticity due to random birth and death events can lead to population extinction. The process is analogous to the escaping problem of trapped particles under random forces. Methods…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2018-11-28 Xiaoquan Yu , Xiang-Yi Li

Populations interact non-linearly and are influenced by environmental fluctuations. In order to have realistic mathematical models, one needs to take into account that the environmental fluctuations are inherently stochastic. Often,…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-07-29 Alexandru Hening , Siddharth Sabharwal

Sexually reproducing populations with small number of individuals may go extinct by stochastic fluctuations in sex determination, causing all their members to become male or female in a generation. In this work we calculate the time to…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2012-10-24 David M. Schneider , Eduardo do Carmo , Yaneer Bar-Yam , Marcus A. M. de Aguiar

In this paper we consider the global qualitative properties of a stochastically perturbed logistic model of population growth. In this model, the stochastic perturbations are assumed to be of the white noise type and are proportional to the…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2020-09-29 Andrei Korobeinikov , Leonid Shaikhet

Conventional wisdom suggests that environmental noise drives populations toward extinction. In contrast, we report a paradoxical phenomenon in which stochasticity reverses a deterministic tipping point, thereby preventing collapse. Using a…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-07-08 Vinesh Vijayan , B Priyadharshini , R Sathish Kumar , G Janaki

In this work, we examine a kinetic framework for modeling the time evolution of size distribution densities of two populations governed by predator-prey interactions. The model builds upon the classical Boltzmann-type equations, where the…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2025-11-27 Andrea Bondesan , Marco Menale , Giuseppe Toscani , Mattia Zanella

We show that two dynamical systems exhibiting very different deterministic behaviours possess very similar stationary distributions when stabilized by a multiplicative Gaussian white noise. We also discuss practical aspects of numerically…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 P. F. Gora
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