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Related papers: Translated Poisson approximation for Markov chains

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The insurance model when the amount of claims depends on the state of the insured person (healthy, ill, or dead) and claims are connected in a Markov chain is investigated. The signed compound Poisson approximation is applied to the…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-01-13 Gabija Liaudanskaitė , Vydas Čekanavičius

Consider the family of power divergence statistics based on $n$ trials, each leading to one of $r$ possible outcomes. This includes the log-likelihood ratio and Pearson's statistic as important special cases. It is known that in certain…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-11-08 Fraser Daly

We consider the approximation of a convolution of possibly different probability measures by (compound) Poisson distributions and also by related signed measures of higher order. We present new total variation bounds having a better…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-03-08 Bero Roos

In this paper we use a Malliavin-Stein type method to investigate Poisson and normal approximations for the measurable functions of infinitely many independent random variables. We combine Stein's method with the difference operators in…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-08-13 Nguyen Tien Dung

We study the distribution of entries of a random permutation matrix under a "randomized basis," i.e., we conjugate the random permutation matrix by an independent random orthogonal matrix drawn from Haar measure. It is shown that under…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-05-08 Benjamin Tsou

This paper derives normal approximation results for subgraph counts written as multiparameter stochastic integrals in a random-connection model based on a Poisson point process. By combinatorial arguments we express the cumulants of general…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-11-11 Qingwei Liu , Nicolas Privault

Poisson approximation using Stein's method has been extensively studied in the literature. The main focus has been on bounding the total variation distance. This paper is a first attempt on moderate deviations in Poisson approximation for…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-06-21 Louis H. Y. Chen , Xiao Fang , Qi-Man Shao

We consider distributional approximation by generalized Dickman distributions, which appear in number theory, perpetuities, logarithmic combinatorial structures and many other areas. We prove bounds in the Kolmogorov distance for the…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-11-21 Chinmoy Bhattacharjee , Matthias Schulte

We consider local alignments without gaps of two independent Markov chains from a finite alphabet, and we derive sufficient conditions for the number of essentially different local alignments with a score exceeding a high threshold to be…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Niels Richard Hansen

The accuracy of compound Poisson approximation to the sum $S=w_1S_1+w_2S_2+...+w_NS_N$ is estimated. Here $S_i$ are sums of independent or weakly dependent random variables, and $w_i$ denote weights. The overall smoothing effect of $S$ on…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-03-04 Vydas Cekanavicius , Aiste Elijio

We use Stein's method to establish the rates of normal approximation in terms of the total variation distance for a large class of sums of score functions of marked Poisson point processes on $\mathbb{R}^d$. As in the study under the weaker…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-11-17 Tianshu Cong , Aihua Xia

Let $\mathbb{X}=\{X_{ij}: 1\le i,j\le n\}$ be an $n\times n$ array of independent random variables where $n\ge2$. Let $\pi$ be a uniform random permutation of $\{1,2,\dots,n\}$, independent of $\mathbb{X}$, and let…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-04-14 Louis H. Y. Chen , Xiao Fang

The well-known "Janson's inequality" gives Poisson-like upper bounds for the lower tail probability \Pr(X \le (1-\eps)\E X) when X is the sum of dependent indicator random variables of a special form. We show that, for large deviations,…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-12-12 Svante Janson , Lutz Warnke

We present an algorithm for the problem of linear distributed estimation of a parameter in a network where a set of agents are successively taking measurements. The approach considers a roaming token in a network that carries the estimate,…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-07-05 Lucas Balthazar , João Xavier , Bruno Sinopoli

We establish two theorems for assessing the accuracy in total variation of multivariate discrete normal approximation to the distribution of an integer valued random vector $W$. The first is for sums of random vectors whose dependence…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-07-19 A. D. Barbour , A. Xia

We give a number of results on approximations of Markov kernels in total variation and Wasserstein norms weighted by a Lyapunov function. The results are applied to examples from Bayesian statistics where approximations to transition…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-07-09 James E. Johndrow , Jonathan C. Mattingly

We study the rate of convergence of the Markov chain on $S_n$ which starts with a random $(n-k)$-cycle for a fixed $k \geq 1$, followed by random transpositions. The convergence to the stationary distribution turns out to be of order $n$.…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-03-26 Alperen Y. Özdemir

Suppose that $X_1,X_2,\ldots$ are a stream of independent, identically distributed Poisson random variables with mean $\mu$. This work presents a new estimate $\mu_k$ for $\mu$ with the property that the distribution of the relative error…

Computation · Statistics 2016-06-01 Mark Huber

We prove deviation bounds for the random variable $\sum_{i=1}^{n} f_i(Y_i)$ in which $\{Y_i\}_{i=1}^{\infty}$ is a Markov chain with stationary distribution and state space $[N]$, and $f_i: [N] \rightarrow [-a_i, a_i]$. Our bound improves…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-04-02 Shravas Rao

The effect that weighted summands have on each other in approximations of $S=w_1S_1+w_2S_2+\cdots+w_NS_N$ is investigated. Here, $S_i$'s are sums of integer-valued random variables, and $w_i$ denote weights, $i=1,\dots,N$. Two cases are…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-06-12 Vydas Čekanavičius , Palaniappan Vellaisamy