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This letter proposes a data-driven method for estimating the probability of wind ramping events without exploiting the exact probability distribution function (PDF) of wind power. Actual wind data validates the proposed method.

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-03-23 Cheng Wang , Wei Wei , Jianhui Wang , Feng Qiu

A phenomenological model for the dissipation of scalar fluctuations due to the straining by the fluid motion is proposed in this letter. An explicit equation is obtained for the time evolution of the probability distribution function of a…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2015-06-26 Antoine Venaille , Joel Sommeria

Time evolution equation for the Probability Distribution Function (PDF) is derived for system of weakly interacting waves. It is shown that a steady state for such system may correspond to strong intermittency.

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2009-11-10 Yeontaek Choi , Yuri V. Lvov , Sergey Nazarenko , Boris Pokorni

The mild-slope equation and its various modifications aim to model, with varying degrees of success, linear water wave propagation over sloping or undulating seabed topography. However, despite multiple modifications and attempted…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-06-26 Chengnian Xiao

Atmospheric wind speeds and their fluctuations at different locations (onshore and offshore) are examined. One of the most striking features is the marked intermittency of probability density functions (PDF) of velocity differences -- no…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2007-05-23 F. Böttcher , St. Barth , J. Peinke

A recent Maxey--Riley theory for \sarg raft motion, which models a raft as a network of elastically interacting finite-size, buoyant particles, predicts the carrying flow velocity to be given by the weighted sum of the water and air…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-11-15 M. J. Olascoaga , F. J. Beron-Vera , R. T. Beyea , G. Bonner , M. Castellucci , G. J. Goni , C. Guigand , N. F. Putman

The class of $\alpha$-stable distributions with a wide range of applications in economics, telecommunications, biology, applied, and theoretical physics. This is due to the fact that it possesses both the skewness and heavy tails. Since…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-11-13 Mahdi Teimouri

Intermittency in fluid turbulence can be emphasized through the analysis of Probability Distribution Functions (PDF) for velocity fluctuations, which display a strong non-gaussian behavior at small scales. Castaing et al. (1990) have…

The class of $\alpha$-stable distributions is widely used in various applications, especially for modelling heavy-tailed data. Although the $\alpha$-stable distributions have been used in practice for many years, new methods for…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-12-29 Kewin Pączek , Damian Jelito , Marcin Pitera , Agnieszka Wyłomańska

On the basis of the author's earlier results, a new source function for a numerical wind-wave model optimized by the criterion of accuracy and speed of calculation is substantiated. The proposed source function includes (a) an optimized…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2010-06-30 Vladislav Polnikov

Applying probability-related knowledge to accurately explore and exploit the inherent uncertainty of wind power output is one of the key issues that need to be solved urgently in the development of smart grid. This letter develops an…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-08-19 Libao Shi , Yang Pan , Yixin Ni

We consider a flow-level model of a network operating under an $\alpha$-fair bandwidth sharing policy (with $\alpha>0$) proposed by Roberts and Massouli\'{e} [Telecomunication Systems 15 (2000) 185-201]. This is a probabilistic model that…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-01-16 D. Shah , J. N. Tsitsiklis , Y. Zhong

To aid in prediction of turbulent boundary layer flows over rough surfaces, a new model is proposed to estimate hydrodynamic roughness based solely on geometric surface information. The model is based on a fluid-mechanics motivated…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2024-12-18 Charles Meneveau , Nicholas Hutchins , Daniel Chung

Through a discussion of some typical unsteady hydrodynamic flows, we argue that the time averaged hydrodynamic functions at each point give a rather sparse filling of the local jet space. This situation then suggests a set of time dependent…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2014-07-08 Clifford Chafin

Stable distributions provide a flexible framework for modeling heavy-tailed and skewed data, with the stability index $\alpha$ quantifying tail heaviness. We propose a new semiparametric estimator for $\alpha$ that leverages the two-sum…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-19 Cornelis J. Potgieter , Jacques van Appel , Sudharshan Samaratunga

The class of $\alpha$-stable distributions received much interest for modelling impulsive phenomena occur in engineering, economics, insurance, and physics. The lack of non-analytical form for probability density function is considered as…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-09-18 Mahdi Teimouri

This article provides a survey on some main results and recent developments in the mathematical theory of water waves. More precisely, we briefly discuss the mathematical modeling of water waves and then we give an overview of local and…

History and Overview · Mathematics 2018-05-17 Wolf-Patrick Düll

Some data of the drift current, Ud, measured on a wavy surface of water in a laboratory and the field, are briefly described. Empirical formulas for Ud are given, and their incompleteness is noted, regarding to absence of the drift current…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2019-06-26 Vladislav G. Polnikov

We present a data-driven approach for probabilistic wind power forecasting based on conditional normalizing flow (CNF). In contrast with the existing, this approach is distribution-free (as for non-parametric and quantile-based approaches)…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-07-20 Honglin Wen , Pierre Pinson , Jinghuan Ma , Jie Gu , Zhijian Jin

Heavy-tailed distributions are widely used in robust mixture modelling due to possessing thick tails. As a computationally tractable subclass of the stable distributions, sub-Gaussian $\alpha$-stable distribution received much interest in…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-01-25 Mahdi Teimouri , Saeid Rezakhah , Adel Mohammdpour
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